Climate Change, Groundwater Salinization and Road Maintenance Costs in Coastal Bangladesh

The potentially-adverse impact of salinity on paved roads is well-established in the engineering literature. The problem seems destined to grow, as climate-related changes in sea level and riverine flows drive future increases in groundwater salinity. However, data scarcity has prevented systematic...

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Hauptverfasser: Dasgupta, Susmita, Hossain, Md. Moqbul, Huq, Mainul, Wheeler, David
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Hossain, Md. Moqbul
Huq, Mainul
Wheeler, David
description The potentially-adverse impact of salinity on paved roads is well-established in the engineering literature. The problem seems destined to grow, as climate-related changes in sea level and riverine flows drive future increases in groundwater salinity. However, data scarcity has prevented systematic analysis for poor countries. This paper assesses the impact of groundwater salinity on road maintenance expenditures in the coastal region of Bangladesh. The assessment draws on new panel measures of salinity from 41 stations in coastal Bangladesh, and road maintenance expenditures, income, road network length, and road surfaces from 20 coastal municipalities. In a model relating maintenance expenditure for paved roads to groundwater salinity, municipal income, and road network length, large and significant effects are found for salinity. The regression model is used to predict the effect of within-sample salinity variation on road maintenance expenditure share, holding municipal income and road length constant at sample mean values. Increasing salinity from its sample minimum to its sample maximum increases the predicted road maintenance expenditure share by 252 percent. The implied welfare impact may also be substantial, particularly for poor households, if diversion of expenditures to road maintenance reduces support for community sanitation, health, and other infrastructure related programs.
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In a model relating maintenance expenditure for paved roads to groundwater salinity, municipal income, and road network length, large and significant effects are found for salinity. The regression model is used to predict the effect of within-sample salinity variation on road maintenance expenditure share, holding municipal income and road length constant at sample mean values. Increasing salinity from its sample minimum to its sample maximum increases the predicted road maintenance expenditure share by 252 percent. 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In a model relating maintenance expenditure for paved roads to groundwater salinity, municipal income, and road network length, large and significant effects are found for salinity. The regression model is used to predict the effect of within-sample salinity variation on road maintenance expenditure share, holding municipal income and road length constant at sample mean values. Increasing salinity from its sample minimum to its sample maximum increases the predicted road maintenance expenditure share by 252 percent. 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Moqbul ; Huq, Mainul ; Wheeler, David</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-worldbank_openknowledgerepository_10986_211423</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>books</rsrctype><prefilter>books</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2014</creationdate><topic>AGGREGATES</topic><topic>AQUACULTURE</topic><topic>BASIN</topic><topic>BLISTERING</topic><topic>CHLORIDE</topic><topic>CLIMATE CHANGE</topic><topic>COASTAL AREAS</topic><topic>COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS</topic><topic>COASTAL REGIONS</topic><topic>COASTAL ZONE</topic><topic>COASTAL ZONES</topic><topic>CONDUCTIVITY</topic><topic>CONSERVATION</topic><topic>CRACKING</topic><topic>CRYSTALLIZATION</topic><topic>DEMAND ELASTICITY</topic><topic>DIVERSION</topic><topic>DRINKING WATER</topic><topic>ELASTICITIES</topic><topic>ELASTICITY</topic><topic>ELASTICITY OF DEMAND</topic><topic>EQUATIONS</topic><topic>ESTUARIES</topic><topic>FLOODING</topic><topic>HIGHWAYS</topic><topic>HYDROGEOLOGY</topic><topic>INCOME</topic><topic>INUNDATION</topic><topic>JURISDICTION</topic><topic>MAIN ROADS</topic><topic>MONITORING STATIONS</topic><topic>MUNICIPAL ROAD</topic><topic>PAVED ROADS</topic><topic>PROGRAMS</topic><topic>QUANTIFICATION</topic><topic>RAINFALL</topic><topic>RECONSTRUCTION</topic><topic>ROAD</topic><topic>ROAD CONSTRUCTION</topic><topic>ROAD CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS</topic><topic>ROAD DAMAGE</topic><topic>ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE</topic><topic>ROAD LENGTH</topic><topic>ROAD MAINTENANCE</topic><topic>ROAD MAINTENANCE EXPENDITURES</topic><topic>ROAD NETWORK</topic><topic>ROAD NETWORKS</topic><topic>ROAD QUALITY</topic><topic>ROAD SURFACE</topic><topic>ROAD SURFACES</topic><topic>ROAD SYSTEM</topic><topic>ROAD TRANSPORT</topic><topic>ROAD TYPES</topic><topic>ROADS</topic><topic>RUNWAY</topic><topic>RURAL DEVELOPMENT</topic><topic>SALINE WATER</topic><topic>SALINITY</topic><topic>SALTWATER INTRUSION</topic><topic>SANITATION</topic><topic>SCIENCES</topic><topic>SEA</topic><topic>SEA LEVEL RISE</topic><topic>SODIUM</topic><topic>SOILS</topic><topic>SPEED</topic><topic>SUBSIDENCE</topic><topic>SURFACE WATER</topic><topic>TEMPERATURE</topic><topic>TOLL</topic><topic>TRANSPORT QUALITY</topic><topic>WATER TABLE</topic><topic>WEATHERING</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Dasgupta, Susmita</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hossain, Md. Moqbul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huq, Mainul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wheeler, David</creatorcontrib><collection>Open Knowledge Repository</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Dasgupta, Susmita</au><au>Hossain, Md. Moqbul</au><au>Huq, Mainul</au><au>Wheeler, David</au><format>book</format><genre>book</genre><ristype>BOOK</ristype><btitle>Climate Change, Groundwater Salinization and Road Maintenance Costs in Coastal Bangladesh</btitle><seriestitle>Policy Research Working Paper</seriestitle><date>2014-12</date><risdate>2014</risdate><volume>7147</volume><abstract>The potentially-adverse impact of salinity on paved roads is well-established in the engineering literature. The problem seems destined to grow, as climate-related changes in sea level and riverine flows drive future increases in groundwater salinity. However, data scarcity has prevented systematic analysis for poor countries. This paper assesses the impact of groundwater salinity on road maintenance expenditures in the coastal region of Bangladesh. The assessment draws on new panel measures of salinity from 41 stations in coastal Bangladesh, and road maintenance expenditures, income, road network length, and road surfaces from 20 coastal municipalities. In a model relating maintenance expenditure for paved roads to groundwater salinity, municipal income, and road network length, large and significant effects are found for salinity. The regression model is used to predict the effect of within-sample salinity variation on road maintenance expenditure share, holding municipal income and road length constant at sample mean values. Increasing salinity from its sample minimum to its sample maximum increases the predicted road maintenance expenditure share by 252 percent. The implied welfare impact may also be substantial, particularly for poor households, if diversion of expenditures to road maintenance reduces support for community sanitation, health, and other infrastructure related programs.</abstract><pub>World Bank Group, Washington, DC</pub><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects AGGREGATES
AQUACULTURE
BASIN
BLISTERING
CHLORIDE
CLIMATE CHANGE
COASTAL AREAS
COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS
COASTAL REGIONS
COASTAL ZONE
COASTAL ZONES
CONDUCTIVITY
CONSERVATION
CRACKING
CRYSTALLIZATION
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DIVERSION
DRINKING WATER
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
EQUATIONS
ESTUARIES
FLOODING
HIGHWAYS
HYDROGEOLOGY
INCOME
INUNDATION
JURISDICTION
MAIN ROADS
MONITORING STATIONS
MUNICIPAL ROAD
PAVED ROADS
PROGRAMS
QUANTIFICATION
RAINFALL
RECONSTRUCTION
ROAD
ROAD CONSTRUCTION
ROAD CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
ROAD DAMAGE
ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE
ROAD LENGTH
ROAD MAINTENANCE
ROAD MAINTENANCE EXPENDITURES
ROAD NETWORK
ROAD NETWORKS
ROAD QUALITY
ROAD SURFACE
ROAD SURFACES
ROAD SYSTEM
ROAD TRANSPORT
ROAD TYPES
ROADS
RUNWAY
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SALINE WATER
SALINITY
SALTWATER INTRUSION
SANITATION
SCIENCES
SEA
SEA LEVEL RISE
SODIUM
SOILS
SPEED
SUBSIDENCE
SURFACE WATER
TEMPERATURE
TOLL
TRANSPORT QUALITY
WATER TABLE
WEATHERING
title Climate Change, Groundwater Salinization and Road Maintenance Costs in Coastal Bangladesh
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