Longitudinal Analysis of Mortality for Older Adults Receiving or Waiting for Aging Network Services

OBJECTIVES For older adults screened by an Area Agency on Aging (AAA) in the National Aging Network, we aimed to examine the 12‐month mortality rate for wait‐listed callers compared with those who received services within 12 months, and to assess whether the mortality rate differed according to how...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) 2020-03, Vol.68 (3), p.519-525
Hauptverfasser: Gum, Amber M., Green, Ohad, Schonfeld, Lawrence, Conner, Kyaien, Rigg, Khary K., Wagoner, Frank, Melling, Kristina A., Parkinson, Katie
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container_end_page 525
container_issue 3
container_start_page 519
container_title Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS)
container_volume 68
creator Gum, Amber M.
Green, Ohad
Schonfeld, Lawrence
Conner, Kyaien
Rigg, Khary K.
Wagoner, Frank
Melling, Kristina A.
Parkinson, Katie
description OBJECTIVES For older adults screened by an Area Agency on Aging (AAA) in the National Aging Network, we aimed to examine the 12‐month mortality rate for wait‐listed callers compared with those who received services within 12 months, and to assess whether the mortality rate differed according to how quickly they received services. DESIGN The design was a longitudinal analysis of 3 years of AAA administrative data, using survival analysis. SETTING The data source was administrative data from an AAA spanning a five‐county region in west central Florida. PARTICIPANTS All older adults (age 60 y and older) screened for service eligibility from July 15, 2013, to August 15, 2015, who completed initial screening during the study period were included (N = 6288). MEASUREMENTS The outcome was mortality within 12 months of the initial screening. Covariates included demographics, caregiver status, health status, access to healthcare, and AAA service status. RESULTS In the first survival analysis, the strongest predictor was waiting for services compared with receiving services; waiting increased the odds to die vs not to die by 141%, after controlling for health status and other covariates. In the second survival analysis, those who received services within 0 to 3 months had a higher mortality risk compared with those who received services within 6 to 9 months or 9 to 12 months. CONCLUSION Older adults placed on aging service waiting lists may be at a greater risk of mortality within 12 months than those receiving services. Given that rapid receipt of services was less protective than receiving services later, those prioritized to receive services quickly may be at very high risk of adverse outcomes. Findings raise the possibility that aging services may lower mortality, although additional services may benefit those waiting long periods for services, as well as those eligible for services rapidly. Research is needed to replicate and extend these findings. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:519–525, 2020
doi_str_mv 10.1111/jgs.16232
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DESIGN The design was a longitudinal analysis of 3 years of AAA administrative data, using survival analysis. SETTING The data source was administrative data from an AAA spanning a five‐county region in west central Florida. PARTICIPANTS All older adults (age 60 y and older) screened for service eligibility from July 15, 2013, to August 15, 2015, who completed initial screening during the study period were included (N = 6288). MEASUREMENTS The outcome was mortality within 12 months of the initial screening. Covariates included demographics, caregiver status, health status, access to healthcare, and AAA service status. RESULTS In the first survival analysis, the strongest predictor was waiting for services compared with receiving services; waiting increased the odds to die vs not to die by 141%, after controlling for health status and other covariates. In the second survival analysis, those who received services within 0 to 3 months had a higher mortality risk compared with those who received services within 6 to 9 months or 9 to 12 months. CONCLUSION Older adults placed on aging service waiting lists may be at a greater risk of mortality within 12 months than those receiving services. Given that rapid receipt of services was less protective than receiving services later, those prioritized to receive services quickly may be at very high risk of adverse outcomes. Findings raise the possibility that aging services may lower mortality, although additional services may benefit those waiting long periods for services, as well as those eligible for services rapidly. Research is needed to replicate and extend these findings. 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DESIGN The design was a longitudinal analysis of 3 years of AAA administrative data, using survival analysis. SETTING The data source was administrative data from an AAA spanning a five‐county region in west central Florida. PARTICIPANTS All older adults (age 60 y and older) screened for service eligibility from July 15, 2013, to August 15, 2015, who completed initial screening during the study period were included (N = 6288). MEASUREMENTS The outcome was mortality within 12 months of the initial screening. Covariates included demographics, caregiver status, health status, access to healthcare, and AAA service status. RESULTS In the first survival analysis, the strongest predictor was waiting for services compared with receiving services; waiting increased the odds to die vs not to die by 141%, after controlling for health status and other covariates. In the second survival analysis, those who received services within 0 to 3 months had a higher mortality risk compared with those who received services within 6 to 9 months or 9 to 12 months. CONCLUSION Older adults placed on aging service waiting lists may be at a greater risk of mortality within 12 months than those receiving services. Given that rapid receipt of services was less protective than receiving services later, those prioritized to receive services quickly may be at very high risk of adverse outcomes. Findings raise the possibility that aging services may lower mortality, although additional services may benefit those waiting long periods for services, as well as those eligible for services rapidly. Research is needed to replicate and extend these findings. 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DESIGN The design was a longitudinal analysis of 3 years of AAA administrative data, using survival analysis. SETTING The data source was administrative data from an AAA spanning a five‐county region in west central Florida. PARTICIPANTS All older adults (age 60 y and older) screened for service eligibility from July 15, 2013, to August 15, 2015, who completed initial screening during the study period were included (N = 6288). MEASUREMENTS The outcome was mortality within 12 months of the initial screening. Covariates included demographics, caregiver status, health status, access to healthcare, and AAA service status. RESULTS In the first survival analysis, the strongest predictor was waiting for services compared with receiving services; waiting increased the odds to die vs not to die by 141%, after controlling for health status and other covariates. In the second survival analysis, those who received services within 0 to 3 months had a higher mortality risk compared with those who received services within 6 to 9 months or 9 to 12 months. CONCLUSION Older adults placed on aging service waiting lists may be at a greater risk of mortality within 12 months than those receiving services. Given that rapid receipt of services was less protective than receiving services later, those prioritized to receive services quickly may be at very high risk of adverse outcomes. Findings raise the possibility that aging services may lower mortality, although additional services may benefit those waiting long periods for services, as well as those eligible for services rapidly. Research is needed to replicate and extend these findings. 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subjects Aged
Aging
aging network
Demography
Female
Florida
Geriatrics & Gerontology
Gerontology
Health Services Accessibility - statistics & numerical data
Health Status
Humans
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Longitudinal Studies
Male
Mortality
Mortality - trends
Older people
Science & Technology
screening
Survival
Survival analysis
waiting lists
Waiting Lists - mortality
title Longitudinal Analysis of Mortality for Older Adults Receiving or Waiting for Aging Network Services
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