In silico trials for treatment of acute ischemic stroke: Design and implementation

An in silico trial simulates a disease and its corresponding therapies on a cohort of virtual patients to support the development and evaluation of medical devices, drugs, and treatment. In silico trials have the potential to refine, reduce cost, and partially replace current in vivo studies, namely...

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Veröffentlicht in:Computers in biology and medicine 2021-10, Vol.137, p.104802-104802, Article 104802
Hauptverfasser: Miller, Claire, Padmos, Raymond M., van der Kolk, Max, Józsa, Tamás I., Samuels, Noor, Xue, Yidan, Payne, Stephen J., Hoekstra, Alfons G.
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container_issue
container_start_page 104802
container_title Computers in biology and medicine
container_volume 137
creator Miller, Claire
Padmos, Raymond M.
van der Kolk, Max
Józsa, Tamás I.
Samuels, Noor
Xue, Yidan
Payne, Stephen J.
Hoekstra, Alfons G.
description An in silico trial simulates a disease and its corresponding therapies on a cohort of virtual patients to support the development and evaluation of medical devices, drugs, and treatment. In silico trials have the potential to refine, reduce cost, and partially replace current in vivo studies, namely clinical trials and animal testing. We present the design and implementation of an in silico trial for treatment of acute ischemic stroke. We propose an event-based modelling approach for the simulation of a disease and injury, where changes to the state of the system (the events) are assumed to be instantaneous. Using this approach we are able to combine a diverse set of models, spanning multiple time scales, to model acute ischemic stroke, treatment, and resulting brain tissue injury. The in silico trial is designed to be modular to aid development and reproducibility. It provides a comprehensive framework for application to any potential in silico trial. A statistical population model is used to generate cohorts of virtual patients. Patient functional outcomes are also predicted with a statistical model, using treatment and injury results and the patient's clinical parameters. We demonstrate the functionality of the event-based modelling approach and trial framework by running proof of concept in silico trials. The proof of concept trials simulate the same cohort of patients twice: once with successful treatment (successful recanalisation) and once with unsuccessful treatment (unsuccessful treatment). Ways to overcome some of the challenges and difficulties in setting up such an in silico trial are discussed, such as validation and computational limitations. •Details the implementation of an in silico clinical trial for acute ischemic stroke and demonstrates proof of concept trials.•Event-based modelling approach combines a diverse set of models for simulating acute ischemic stroke injury and therapies.•A generalisable modular framework has been developed for running in silico clinical trials for event-based simulations.•A challenge for in silico trials is proving credibility, including access to in vitro and clinical data for trial validation.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2021.104802
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subjects Acute ischemic stroke
Biology
Blood pressure
Brain injury
Brain Ischemia - drug therapy
Clinical trials
Computational biology
Computational neuroscience
Computer Science
Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
Computer Simulation
Disease
Drug development
Engineering
Engineering, Biomedical
Event-based modelling
Health services
Humans
In silico clinical trial
In vivo methods and tests
Injuries
Ischemia
Ischemic Stroke
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics
Mathematical & Computational Biology
Mathematical models
Medical equipment
Medical research
Modular design
Patients
Precision medicine
Product development
Regulatory approval
Reproducibility of Results
Science & Technology
Simulation
Statistical models
Stroke
Stroke - drug therapy
Technology
Traumatic brain injury
title In silico trials for treatment of acute ischemic stroke: Design and implementation
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