Risk analysis of extended reach wells in the Liuhua Oilfield, South China Sea, based on comprehensive fuzzy evaluation method

Drilling engineering has great uncertainty and it always involves huge investment and high risk. Risk analysis of extended reach drilling (ERD) is very important to prevent complex failures and to improve drilling efficiency. Nowadays there are few reports on how to analyze quantitatively the drilli...

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Veröffentlicht in:Petroleum science 2009-06, Vol.6 (2), p.172-175
Hauptverfasser: Zhang, Hui, Gao, Deli, Hao, Zhiwei
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Hao, Zhiwei
description Drilling engineering has great uncertainty and it always involves huge investment and high risk. Risk analysis of extended reach drilling (ERD) is very important to prevent complex failures and to improve drilling efficiency. Nowadays there are few reports on how to analyze quantitatively the drilling risk for extended reach wells (ERWs). Based on the fuzzy set theory, a comprehensive fuzzy evaluation model for analyzing risks of ERD is proposed in this paper. Well B6ERW07 is a planned 8,000-meter ERW with a high ratio of horizontal displacement (HD) to vertical depth (VD) in the Liuhua Oilfield, the South China Sea, China. On the basis of the evaluation model developed in this study, the risk for drilling Well B6ERW07 was evaluated before drilling. The evaluation result shows that the success rate of drilling this well is predicted to be 51.9%, providing important rational and scientific information for the decisionmakers.
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subjects Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Economics and Management
Energy Policy
Industrial and Production Engineering
Industrial Chemistry/Chemical Engineering
Mineral Resources
南中国海
大位移井
模糊综合评价方法
模糊综合评价模型
模糊集理论
钻井工程
风险分析
title Risk analysis of extended reach wells in the Liuhua Oilfield, South China Sea, based on comprehensive fuzzy evaluation method
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