Predicting common bile duct stones by non-invasive parameters

Common bile duct (CBD) stone affect about 10% of patients with symptomatic cholelithiasis. The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) published a strategy in 2010 for managing patients with suspected choledocholithiasis. This study aimed to assess the performance of different clinica...

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Veröffentlicht in:Hepatobiliary & pancreatic diseases international 2020-06, Vol.19 (3), p.266-270
Hauptverfasser: Kadah, Anas, Khoury, Tawfik, Mahamid, Mahmud, Assy, Nimer, Sbeit, Wisam
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container_issue 3
container_start_page 266
container_title Hepatobiliary & pancreatic diseases international
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creator Kadah, Anas
Khoury, Tawfik
Mahamid, Mahmud
Assy, Nimer
Sbeit, Wisam
description Common bile duct (CBD) stone affect about 10% of patients with symptomatic cholelithiasis. The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) published a strategy in 2010 for managing patients with suspected choledocholithiasis. This study aimed to assess the performance of different clinical parameters in predicting CBD stones. A total of 344 patients suspected to suffer from CBD stone and referred to endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) were included. Parameters were collected and their prediction power for CBD stones was assessed. One hundred and sixty-seven patients without CBD stone according to EUS (group A) were compared to 177 patients with CBD stones (group B). Several predictive factors for CBD stone were identified on univariate analysis. In multivariate regression analysis, CBD width by US (OR = 1.224, 95% CI: 1.073–1.359; P = 0.0026), age (OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.011–1.035; P = 0.0002) and gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) level (OR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000–1.002; P = 0.0018) were significantly correlated with CBD stone, with receiver operator characteristics (ROC) of 0.7259. We generated a diagnostic equation [age (yr) × 0.1 + CBD width (mm) by US × 1 + GGT (U/L) × 0.005] to predict CBD stone with ROC of 0.7287. We suggest this score as a very strong predictor for CBD stones, and to reduce the strength of total bilirubin and transaminases as predictors.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.hbpd.2019.11.003
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The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) published a strategy in 2010 for managing patients with suspected choledocholithiasis. This study aimed to assess the performance of different clinical parameters in predicting CBD stones. A total of 344 patients suspected to suffer from CBD stone and referred to endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) were included. Parameters were collected and their prediction power for CBD stones was assessed. One hundred and sixty-seven patients without CBD stone according to EUS (group A) were compared to 177 patients with CBD stones (group B). Several predictive factors for CBD stone were identified on univariate analysis. In multivariate regression analysis, CBD width by US (OR = 1.224, 95% CI: 1.073–1.359; P = 0.0026), age (OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.011–1.035; P = 0.0002) and gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) level (OR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000–1.002; P = 0.0018) were significantly correlated with CBD stone, with receiver operator characteristics (ROC) of 0.7259. We generated a diagnostic equation [age (yr) × 0.1 + CBD width (mm) by US × 1 + GGT (U/L) × 0.005] to predict CBD stone with ROC of 0.7287. 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The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) published a strategy in 2010 for managing patients with suspected choledocholithiasis. This study aimed to assess the performance of different clinical parameters in predicting CBD stones. A total of 344 patients suspected to suffer from CBD stone and referred to endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) were included. Parameters were collected and their prediction power for CBD stones was assessed. One hundred and sixty-seven patients without CBD stone according to EUS (group A) were compared to 177 patients with CBD stones (group B). Several predictive factors for CBD stone were identified on univariate analysis. In multivariate regression analysis, CBD width by US (OR = 1.224, 95% CI: 1.073–1.359; P = 0.0026), age (OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.011–1.035; P = 0.0002) and gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) level (OR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000–1.002; P = 0.0018) were significantly correlated with CBD stone, with receiver operator characteristics (ROC) of 0.7259. We generated a diagnostic equation [age (yr) × 0.1 + CBD width (mm) by US × 1 + GGT (U/L) × 0.005] to predict CBD stone with ROC of 0.7287. We suggest this score as a very strong predictor for CBD stones, and to reduce the strength of total bilirubin and transaminases as predictors.</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Age Factors</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Case-Control Studies</subject><subject>Choledocholithiasis - diagnosis</subject><subject>Common bile duct</subject><subject>Common Bile Duct - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Common Bile Duct - pathology</subject><subject>Endosonography</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Gallstones - diagnosis</subject><subject>gamma-Glutamyltransferase - blood</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Practice Guidelines as Topic</subject><subject>Predictors</subject><subject>ROC Curve</subject><subject>Stones</subject><issn>1499-3872</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1LxDAQhnNQXF39Ax6kR0FaM0nbbUEPIn6BoAc9hzSZrinbZE3ald1fb5ZVj8JAYHjed8hDyCnQDCiUl1320Sx1xijUGUBGKd8jh5DXdcqrGZuQoxA6SllVFeUBmXCogMY5JNevHrVRg7HzRLm-dzZpzAITPaohCYOzGJJmnVhnU2NXMpgVJkvpZY8D-nBM9lu5CHjy807J-_3d2-1j-vzy8HR785wqXrMhZapqi4LJRkOu8zzns6qkHBqqJHBWQ45Ai0JpkHGpypbmagYQMyVCVTeKT8nFrvdL2lbauejc6G28KObdXK-bzUZsGGXx1xRopM939NK7zxHDIHoTFC4W0qIbg2CcsVleMrZF2Q5V3oXgsRVLb3rp1wKo2IoVndiKFVuxAkDEEzF09tM_Nj3qv8iv1Qhc7QCMTlYGvQjKoFXRtEc1CO3Mf_3fulaKMA</recordid><startdate>20200601</startdate><enddate>20200601</enddate><creator>Kadah, Anas</creator><creator>Khoury, Tawfik</creator><creator>Mahamid, Mahmud</creator><creator>Assy, Nimer</creator><creator>Sbeit, Wisam</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><general>Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Units, The Nazareth Hospital, EMMS, Nazareth, Faculty of Medicine in the Galilee, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel%Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Units, The Nazareth Hospital, EMMS, Nazareth, Faculty of Medicine in the Galilee, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel%Department of Internal Medicine, Galilee Medical Center, Nahariya, Israel, Faculty of Medicine in the Galilee, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel</general><general>Department of Gastroenterology, Galilee Medical Center, Nahariya, Israel, Faculty of Medicine in the Galilee, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel%Department of Gastroenterology, Galilee Medical Center, Nahariya, Israel, Faculty of Medicine in the Galilee, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>2B.</scope><scope>4A8</scope><scope>92I</scope><scope>93N</scope><scope>PSX</scope><scope>TCJ</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20200601</creationdate><title>Predicting common bile duct stones by non-invasive parameters</title><author>Kadah, Anas ; 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pancreatic diseases international</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Kadah, Anas</au><au>Khoury, Tawfik</au><au>Mahamid, Mahmud</au><au>Assy, Nimer</au><au>Sbeit, Wisam</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Predicting common bile duct stones by non-invasive parameters</atitle><jtitle>Hepatobiliary &amp; pancreatic diseases international</jtitle><addtitle>Hepatobiliary Pancreat Dis Int</addtitle><date>2020-06-01</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>19</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>266</spage><epage>270</epage><pages>266-270</pages><issn>1499-3872</issn><abstract>Common bile duct (CBD) stone affect about 10% of patients with symptomatic cholelithiasis. The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) published a strategy in 2010 for managing patients with suspected choledocholithiasis. This study aimed to assess the performance of different clinical parameters in predicting CBD stones. A total of 344 patients suspected to suffer from CBD stone and referred to endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) were included. Parameters were collected and their prediction power for CBD stones was assessed. One hundred and sixty-seven patients without CBD stone according to EUS (group A) were compared to 177 patients with CBD stones (group B). Several predictive factors for CBD stone were identified on univariate analysis. In multivariate regression analysis, CBD width by US (OR = 1.224, 95% CI: 1.073–1.359; P = 0.0026), age (OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.011–1.035; P = 0.0002) and gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) level (OR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000–1.002; P = 0.0018) were significantly correlated with CBD stone, with receiver operator characteristics (ROC) of 0.7259. We generated a diagnostic equation [age (yr) × 0.1 + CBD width (mm) by US × 1 + GGT (U/L) × 0.005] to predict CBD stone with ROC of 0.7287. We suggest this score as a very strong predictor for CBD stones, and to reduce the strength of total bilirubin and transaminases as predictors.</abstract><cop>Singapore</cop><pub>Elsevier B.V</pub><pmid>31810810</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.hbpd.2019.11.003</doi><tpages>5</tpages></addata></record>
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source MEDLINE; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals
subjects Adult
Age Factors
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Case-Control Studies
Choledocholithiasis - diagnosis
Common bile duct
Common Bile Duct - diagnostic imaging
Common Bile Duct - pathology
Endosonography
Female
Gallstones - diagnosis
gamma-Glutamyltransferase - blood
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Practice Guidelines as Topic
Predictors
ROC Curve
Stones
title Predicting common bile duct stones by non-invasive parameters
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