How Important Is the New Goods Margin in International Trade?

We propose a methodology for studying changes in bilateral commodity trade due to goods not exported previously or exported only in small quantities. Using a panel of 1,900 country pairs, we find that increased trade of these “least-traded goods” is an important factor in trade growth. This extensiv...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of political economy 2013-04, Vol.121 (2), p.358-392
Hauptverfasser: Kehoe, Timothy J., Ruhl, Kim J.
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Ruhl, Kim J.
description We propose a methodology for studying changes in bilateral commodity trade due to goods not exported previously or exported only in small quantities. Using a panel of 1,900 country pairs, we find that increased trade of these “least-traded goods” is an important factor in trade growth. This extensive margin accounts for 10 percent of the growth in trade for NAFTA country pairs, for example, and 26 percent in trade between the United States and Chile, China, and Korea. Looking at country pairs with no major trade policy change or structural change, however, we find little change in the extensive margin.
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subjects Asia
Changes
Chile
Commodities trading
Economic fluctuations
Economic theory
Exporters
Exports
Growth models
Imports
International trade
Latin America
Marginality
Panel data
Political economy
Profit margins
Shipments
South Korea
Structural change
Studies
Trade barriers
Trade development
Trade liberalization
Trade policy
U.S.A
title How Important Is the New Goods Margin in International Trade?
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