Longitudinal serum bicarbonate and mortality risk in older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: analyses from the EQUAL cohort

ABSTRACT Background We aimed to explore the relationship between serum bicarbonate (SBC) and mortality in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) during three distinct treatment periods: during the pre-kidney replacement therapy (KRT) period, during the transition phase surrounding the start of KRT (t...

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Veröffentlicht in:Clinical kidney journal 2024-11, Vol.17 (11), p.sfae254
Hauptverfasser: Lombardi, Gianmarco, Chesnaye, Nicholas C, Caskey, Fergus J, Dekker, Friedo W, Evans, Marie, Heimburger, Olof, Pippias, Maria, Torino, Claudia, Szymczak, Maciej, Drechsler, Christiane, Wanner, Christoph, Gambaro, Giovanni, Stel, Vianda S, Jager, Kitty J, Ferraro, Pietro Manuel
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container_end_page
container_issue 11
container_start_page sfae254
container_title Clinical kidney journal
container_volume 17
creator Lombardi, Gianmarco
Chesnaye, Nicholas C
Caskey, Fergus J
Dekker, Friedo W
Evans, Marie
Heimburger, Olof
Pippias, Maria
Torino, Claudia
Szymczak, Maciej
Drechsler, Christiane
Wanner, Christoph
Gambaro, Giovanni
Stel, Vianda S
Jager, Kitty J
Ferraro, Pietro Manuel
description ABSTRACT Background We aimed to explore the relationship between serum bicarbonate (SBC) and mortality in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) during three distinct treatment periods: during the pre-kidney replacement therapy (KRT) period, during the transition phase surrounding the start of KRT (transition-CKD) and during KRT. Methods Using the European QUALity Study on treatment in advanced CKD (EQUAL) cohort, which includes patients aged ≥65 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries, we explored the association between longitudinal SBC and all-cause mortality in three separate CKD populations: pre-KRT, transition-CKD and in the KRT populations, using multivariable time-dependent Cox regression models. We evaluated effect modification by pre-specified variables on the relationship between SBC and mortality. Results We included 1485 patients with a median follow-up of 2.9 (interquartile range 2.7) years, during which 529 (35.6%) patients died. A U-shaped relationship between SBC levels and all-cause mortality was observed in the pre-KRT population (P = .03). Low cumulative exposure, defined as the area under the SBC trajectory before KRT initiation, was associated with increased mortality risk after transitioning to KRT (P = .01). Similarly, in the KRT population, low SBC levels showed a trend towards increased mortality risk (P = .13). We observed effect modification by subjective global assessment category (P-value for interaction = .02) and KRT (P-value for interaction = .02). Conclusions A U-shaped relationship describes the association between SBC and mortality in the advanced CKD pre-KRT population, whereas in the KRT population a trend towards an increased mortality risk was observed for low SBC levels. Video Abstract 10.1093/ckj/sfae254 Video Abstract  Watch the video abstract of this contribution sfae254Media1 6363834913112
doi_str_mv 10.1093/ckj/sfae254
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Methods Using the European QUALity Study on treatment in advanced CKD (EQUAL) cohort, which includes patients aged ≥65 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries, we explored the association between longitudinal SBC and all-cause mortality in three separate CKD populations: pre-KRT, transition-CKD and in the KRT populations, using multivariable time-dependent Cox regression models. We evaluated effect modification by pre-specified variables on the relationship between SBC and mortality. Results We included 1485 patients with a median follow-up of 2.9 (interquartile range 2.7) years, during which 529 (35.6%) patients died. A U-shaped relationship between SBC levels and all-cause mortality was observed in the pre-KRT population (P = .03). Low cumulative exposure, defined as the area under the SBC trajectory before KRT initiation, was associated with increased mortality risk after transitioning to KRT (P = .01). Similarly, in the KRT population, low SBC levels showed a trend towards increased mortality risk (P = .13). We observed effect modification by subjective global assessment category (P-value for interaction = .02) and KRT (P-value for interaction = .02). Conclusions A U-shaped relationship describes the association between SBC and mortality in the advanced CKD pre-KRT population, whereas in the KRT population a trend towards an increased mortality risk was observed for low SBC levels. 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Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA.</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2024 Oxford University Press</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c406t-f16ea6ade27143e0086d766d618ebbe4c6d11f93691681ab90f3031561f6f5b43</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-2298-1420 ; 0000-0001-9507-5301 ; 0000-0002-1379-022X ; 0000-0002-0007-1947 ; 0000-0001-5733-2370 ; 0000-0003-0444-8569 ; 0000-0001-8650-5795</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11635373/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11635373/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,550,723,776,780,860,881,1598,27903,27904,53769,53771</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39669396$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttp://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:160009168$$DView record from Swedish Publication Index$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Lombardi, Gianmarco</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chesnaye, Nicholas C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Caskey, Fergus J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dekker, Friedo W</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Evans, Marie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Heimburger, Olof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pippias, Maria</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Torino, Claudia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Szymczak, Maciej</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Drechsler, Christiane</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wanner, Christoph</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gambaro, Giovanni</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stel, Vianda S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jager, Kitty J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferraro, Pietro Manuel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>EQUAL study investigators</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>the EQUAL study investigators</creatorcontrib><title>Longitudinal serum bicarbonate and mortality risk in older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: analyses from the EQUAL cohort</title><title>Clinical kidney journal</title><addtitle>Clin Kidney J</addtitle><description>ABSTRACT Background We aimed to explore the relationship between serum bicarbonate (SBC) and mortality in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) during three distinct treatment periods: during the pre-kidney replacement therapy (KRT) period, during the transition phase surrounding the start of KRT (transition-CKD) and during KRT. Methods Using the European QUALity Study on treatment in advanced CKD (EQUAL) cohort, which includes patients aged ≥65 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries, we explored the association between longitudinal SBC and all-cause mortality in three separate CKD populations: pre-KRT, transition-CKD and in the KRT populations, using multivariable time-dependent Cox regression models. We evaluated effect modification by pre-specified variables on the relationship between SBC and mortality. Results We included 1485 patients with a median follow-up of 2.9 (interquartile range 2.7) years, during which 529 (35.6%) patients died. A U-shaped relationship between SBC levels and all-cause mortality was observed in the pre-KRT population (P = .03). Low cumulative exposure, defined as the area under the SBC trajectory before KRT initiation, was associated with increased mortality risk after transitioning to KRT (P = .01). Similarly, in the KRT population, low SBC levels showed a trend towards increased mortality risk (P = .13). We observed effect modification by subjective global assessment category (P-value for interaction = .02) and KRT (P-value for interaction = .02). Conclusions A U-shaped relationship describes the association between SBC and mortality in the advanced CKD pre-KRT population, whereas in the KRT population a trend towards an increased mortality risk was observed for low SBC levels. 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Chesnaye, Nicholas C ; Caskey, Fergus J ; Dekker, Friedo W ; Evans, Marie ; Heimburger, Olof ; Pippias, Maria ; Torino, Claudia ; Szymczak, Maciej ; Drechsler, Christiane ; Wanner, Christoph ; Gambaro, Giovanni ; Stel, Vianda S ; Jager, Kitty J ; Ferraro, Pietro Manuel</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c406t-f16ea6ade27143e0086d766d618ebbe4c6d11f93691681ab90f3031561f6f5b43</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>Aged patients</topic><topic>Bicarbonates</topic><topic>Carbonates</topic><topic>Chronic kidney failure</topic><topic>Health aspects</topic><topic>Measurement</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Netherlands</topic><topic>Original</topic><topic>Patient outcomes</topic><topic>Physiological aspects</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Lombardi, Gianmarco</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chesnaye, Nicholas C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Caskey, Fergus J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dekker, Friedo W</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Evans, Marie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Heimburger, Olof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pippias, Maria</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Torino, Claudia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Szymczak, Maciej</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Drechsler, Christiane</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wanner, Christoph</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gambaro, Giovanni</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stel, Vianda S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jager, Kitty J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferraro, Pietro Manuel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>EQUAL study investigators</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>the EQUAL study investigators</creatorcontrib><collection>Oxford Journals Open Access Collection</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><collection>SwePub</collection><collection>SwePub Articles</collection><collection>SWEPUB Freely available online</collection><collection>SwePub Articles full text</collection><jtitle>Clinical kidney journal</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Lombardi, Gianmarco</au><au>Chesnaye, Nicholas C</au><au>Caskey, Fergus J</au><au>Dekker, Friedo W</au><au>Evans, Marie</au><au>Heimburger, Olof</au><au>Pippias, Maria</au><au>Torino, Claudia</au><au>Szymczak, Maciej</au><au>Drechsler, Christiane</au><au>Wanner, Christoph</au><au>Gambaro, Giovanni</au><au>Stel, Vianda S</au><au>Jager, Kitty J</au><au>Ferraro, Pietro Manuel</au><aucorp>EQUAL study investigators</aucorp><aucorp>the EQUAL study investigators</aucorp><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Longitudinal serum bicarbonate and mortality risk in older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: analyses from the EQUAL cohort</atitle><jtitle>Clinical kidney journal</jtitle><addtitle>Clin Kidney J</addtitle><date>2024-11-01</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>17</volume><issue>11</issue><spage>sfae254</spage><pages>sfae254-</pages><issn>2048-8505</issn><eissn>2048-8513</eissn><abstract>ABSTRACT Background We aimed to explore the relationship between serum bicarbonate (SBC) and mortality in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) during three distinct treatment periods: during the pre-kidney replacement therapy (KRT) period, during the transition phase surrounding the start of KRT (transition-CKD) and during KRT. Methods Using the European QUALity Study on treatment in advanced CKD (EQUAL) cohort, which includes patients aged ≥65 years and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries, we explored the association between longitudinal SBC and all-cause mortality in three separate CKD populations: pre-KRT, transition-CKD and in the KRT populations, using multivariable time-dependent Cox regression models. We evaluated effect modification by pre-specified variables on the relationship between SBC and mortality. Results We included 1485 patients with a median follow-up of 2.9 (interquartile range 2.7) years, during which 529 (35.6%) patients died. A U-shaped relationship between SBC levels and all-cause mortality was observed in the pre-KRT population (P = .03). Low cumulative exposure, defined as the area under the SBC trajectory before KRT initiation, was associated with increased mortality risk after transitioning to KRT (P = .01). Similarly, in the KRT population, low SBC levels showed a trend towards increased mortality risk (P = .13). We observed effect modification by subjective global assessment category (P-value for interaction = .02) and KRT (P-value for interaction = .02). Conclusions A U-shaped relationship describes the association between SBC and mortality in the advanced CKD pre-KRT population, whereas in the KRT population a trend towards an increased mortality risk was observed for low SBC levels. 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subjects Aged patients
Bicarbonates
Carbonates
Chronic kidney failure
Health aspects
Measurement
Mortality
Netherlands
Original
Patient outcomes
Physiological aspects
Prognosis
title Longitudinal serum bicarbonate and mortality risk in older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: analyses from the EQUAL cohort
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