Long working hours, socioeconomic status, and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of published and unpublished data from 222 120 individuals

Summary Background Working long hours might have adverse health effects, but whether this is true for all socioeconomic status groups is unclear. In this meta-analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, we investigated the role of long working hours as a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Methods We...

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Veröffentlicht in:The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology 2015, Vol.3 (1), p.27-34
Hauptverfasser: Kivimäki, Mika, Prof, Virtanen, Marianna, Prof, Kawachi, Ichiro, Prof, Nyberg, Solja T, MSc, Alfredsson, Lars, Prof, Batty, G David, PhD, Bjorner, Jakob B, Prof, Borritz, Marianne, MD, Brunner, Eric J, Prof, Burr, Hermann, PhD, Dragano, Nico, Prof, Ferrie, Jane E, PhD, Fransson, Eleonor I, PhD, Hamer, Mark, PhD, Heikkilä, Katriina, PhD, Knutsson, Anders, Prof, Koskenvuo, Markku, Prof, Madsen, Ida E H, PhD, Nielsen, Martin L, MD, Nordin, Maria, PhD, Oksanen, Tuula, PhD, Pejtersen, Jan H, PhD, Pentti, Jaana, PhD, Rugulies, Reiner, Prof, Salo, Paula, PhD, Siegrist, Johannes, Prof, Steptoe, Andrew, PhD, Suominen, Sakari, Prof, Theorell, Töres, Prof, Vahtera, Jussi, Prof, Westerholm, Peter J M, Prof, Westerlund, Hugo, Prof, Singh-Manoux, Archana, PhD, Jokela, Markus, PhD
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container_issue 1
container_start_page 27
container_title The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology
container_volume 3
creator Kivimäki, Mika, Prof
Virtanen, Marianna, Prof
Kawachi, Ichiro, Prof
Nyberg, Solja T, MSc
Alfredsson, Lars, Prof
Batty, G David, PhD
Bjorner, Jakob B, Prof
Borritz, Marianne, MD
Brunner, Eric J, Prof
Burr, Hermann, PhD
Dragano, Nico, Prof
Ferrie, Jane E, PhD
Fransson, Eleonor I, PhD
Hamer, Mark, PhD
Heikkilä, Katriina, PhD
Knutsson, Anders, Prof
Koskenvuo, Markku, Prof
Madsen, Ida E H, PhD
Nielsen, Martin L, MD
Nordin, Maria, PhD
Oksanen, Tuula, PhD
Pejtersen, Jan H, PhD
Pentti, Jaana, PhD
Rugulies, Reiner, Prof
Salo, Paula, PhD
Siegrist, Johannes, Prof
Steptoe, Andrew, PhD
Suominen, Sakari, Prof
Theorell, Töres, Prof
Vahtera, Jussi, Prof
Westerholm, Peter J M, Prof
Westerlund, Hugo, Prof
Singh-Manoux, Archana, PhD
Jokela, Markus, PhD
description Summary Background Working long hours might have adverse health effects, but whether this is true for all socioeconomic status groups is unclear. In this meta-analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, we investigated the role of long working hours as a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Methods We identified four published studies through a systematic literature search of PubMed and Embase up to April 30, 2014. Study inclusion criteria were English-language publication; prospective design (cohort study); investigation of the effect of working hours or overtime work; incident diabetes as an outcome; and relative risks, odds ratios, or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs, or sufficient information to calculate these estimates. Additionally, we used unpublished individual-level data from 19 cohort studies from the Individual-Participant-Data Meta-analysis in Working-Populations Consortium and international open-access data archives. Effect estimates from published and unpublished data from 222 120 men and women from the USA, Europe, Japan, and Australia were pooled with random-effects meta-analysis. Findings During 1·7 million person-years at risk, 4963 individuals developed diabetes (incidence 29 per 10 000 person-years). The minimally adjusted summary risk ratio for long (≥55 h per week) compared with standard working hours (35–40 h) was 1·07 (95% CI 0·89–1·27, difference in incidence three cases per 10 000 person-years) with significant heterogeneity in study-specific estimates ( I2 =53%, p=0·0016). In an analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, the association between long working hours and diabetes was evident in the low socioeconomic status group (risk ratio 1·29, 95% CI 1·06–1·57, difference in incidence 13 per 10 000 person-years, I2 =0%, p=0·4662), but was null in the high socioeconomic status group (1·00, 95% CI 0·80–1·25, incidence difference zero per 10 000 person-years, I2 =15%, p=0·2464). The association in the low socioeconomic status group was robust to adjustment for age, sex, obesity, and physical activity, and remained after exclusion of shift workers. Interpretation In this meta-analysis, the link between longer working hours and type 2 diabetes was apparent only in individuals in the low socioeconomic status groups. Funding Medical Research Council, European Union New and Emerging Risks in Occupational Safety and Health research programme, Finnish Work Environment Fund, Swedish Research Council for Working Life and Social Research, Germ
doi_str_mv 10.1016/S2213-8587(14)70178-0
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In this meta-analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, we investigated the role of long working hours as a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Methods We identified four published studies through a systematic literature search of PubMed and Embase up to April 30, 2014. Study inclusion criteria were English-language publication; prospective design (cohort study); investigation of the effect of working hours or overtime work; incident diabetes as an outcome; and relative risks, odds ratios, or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs, or sufficient information to calculate these estimates. Additionally, we used unpublished individual-level data from 19 cohort studies from the Individual-Participant-Data Meta-analysis in Working-Populations Consortium and international open-access data archives. Effect estimates from published and unpublished data from 222 120 men and women from the USA, Europe, Japan, and Australia were pooled with random-effects meta-analysis. Findings During 1·7 million person-years at risk, 4963 individuals developed diabetes (incidence 29 per 10 000 person-years). The minimally adjusted summary risk ratio for long (≥55 h per week) compared with standard working hours (35–40 h) was 1·07 (95% CI 0·89–1·27, difference in incidence three cases per 10 000 person-years) with significant heterogeneity in study-specific estimates ( I2 =53%, p=0·0016). In an analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, the association between long working hours and diabetes was evident in the low socioeconomic status group (risk ratio 1·29, 95% CI 1·06–1·57, difference in incidence 13 per 10 000 person-years, I2 =0%, p=0·4662), but was null in the high socioeconomic status group (1·00, 95% CI 0·80–1·25, incidence difference zero per 10 000 person-years, I2 =15%, p=0·2464). The association in the low socioeconomic status group was robust to adjustment for age, sex, obesity, and physical activity, and remained after exclusion of shift workers. Interpretation In this meta-analysis, the link between longer working hours and type 2 diabetes was apparent only in individuals in the low socioeconomic status groups. Funding Medical Research Council, European Union New and Emerging Risks in Occupational Safety and Health research programme, Finnish Work Environment Fund, Swedish Research Council for Working Life and Social Research, German Social Accident Insurance, Danish National Research Centre for the Working Environment, Academy of Finland, Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment (Netherlands), Economic and Social Research Council, US National Institutes of Health, and British Heart Foundation.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2213-8587</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 2213-8595</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2213-8595</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/S2213-8587(14)70178-0</identifier><identifier>PMID: 25262544</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Adult ; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology ; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - etiology ; Endocrinology &amp; Metabolism ; Female ; Humans ; Incidence ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Other ; Risk Factors ; Social Class ; Work Schedule Tolerance</subject><ispartof>The lancet. 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Diabetes &amp; endocrinology</title><addtitle>Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol</addtitle><description>Summary Background Working long hours might have adverse health effects, but whether this is true for all socioeconomic status groups is unclear. In this meta-analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, we investigated the role of long working hours as a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Methods We identified four published studies through a systematic literature search of PubMed and Embase up to April 30, 2014. Study inclusion criteria were English-language publication; prospective design (cohort study); investigation of the effect of working hours or overtime work; incident diabetes as an outcome; and relative risks, odds ratios, or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs, or sufficient information to calculate these estimates. Additionally, we used unpublished individual-level data from 19 cohort studies from the Individual-Participant-Data Meta-analysis in Working-Populations Consortium and international open-access data archives. Effect estimates from published and unpublished data from 222 120 men and women from the USA, Europe, Japan, and Australia were pooled with random-effects meta-analysis. Findings During 1·7 million person-years at risk, 4963 individuals developed diabetes (incidence 29 per 10 000 person-years). The minimally adjusted summary risk ratio for long (≥55 h per week) compared with standard working hours (35–40 h) was 1·07 (95% CI 0·89–1·27, difference in incidence three cases per 10 000 person-years) with significant heterogeneity in study-specific estimates ( I2 =53%, p=0·0016). In an analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, the association between long working hours and diabetes was evident in the low socioeconomic status group (risk ratio 1·29, 95% CI 1·06–1·57, difference in incidence 13 per 10 000 person-years, I2 =0%, p=0·4662), but was null in the high socioeconomic status group (1·00, 95% CI 0·80–1·25, incidence difference zero per 10 000 person-years, I2 =15%, p=0·2464). The association in the low socioeconomic status group was robust to adjustment for age, sex, obesity, and physical activity, and remained after exclusion of shift workers. Interpretation In this meta-analysis, the link between longer working hours and type 2 diabetes was apparent only in individuals in the low socioeconomic status groups. Funding Medical Research Council, European Union New and Emerging Risks in Occupational Safety and Health research programme, Finnish Work Environment Fund, Swedish Research Council for Working Life and Social Research, German Social Accident Insurance, Danish National Research Centre for the Working Environment, Academy of Finland, Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment (Netherlands), Economic and Social Research Council, US National Institutes of Health, and British Heart Foundation.</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - etiology</subject><subject>Endocrinology &amp; Metabolism</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Other</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Social Class</subject><subject>Work Schedule Tolerance</subject><issn>2213-8587</issn><issn>2213-8595</issn><issn>2213-8595</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2015</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>D8T</sourceid><recordid>eNqNk8tu1DAUhiMEotXQRwB5CaIB3xI7LFpV5SqNxILL1nJsZ8YziT2yk6lmx5LH4Nl4EpyZYUqRoF0d2_nO56PkT5Y9RvAFgqh8-QljRHJecPYU0WcMIsZzeC873h9Xxf3DmrOj7CTGBYQQwYKUHD7MjnCBS1xQepz9mHo3A1c-LG2qcz-EeAqiV9Yb5Z3vrAKxl_2QTqXToJ8bEGxcAt8A65TVxvWg36wMwEBbWZvexFdAgs70MpdOtpto4wivhrq1cW70VjO4672WvQRN8B3AGP_89h1hmNTarq0eZBsfZQ-aVMzJvk6yL2_ffL58n08_vvtweTHNFaton9dUKglrXRkoJdOkwUXNIG0gIlxqiiCpNCKIoho1rIRNUXKcNrisuKw0ZWSS5TtvvDJpOLEKtpNhI7y0Yn-0TCsjCpRe8Mif_pN_bb9eCB9mYhgELgis_q-_xrtBpEkxQXfTxxGvCON303d2cGmekpHEP7-dny8EpjwNNMnOdnRCO6NV-uhBtjeabj5xdi5mfi0o5iVHNAmKnUAFH2MwzaEXQTEmWmwTLca4CkTFNtFivPjJnxcfun7nNwHnO8CkaKytCSIqa5wy2gajeqG9vfWKs78MqrXOKtkuzcbERfojUoyjQCJiAXeS0YHo1gDJLyuGH0c</recordid><startdate>2015</startdate><enddate>2015</enddate><creator>Kivimäki, Mika, Prof</creator><creator>Virtanen, Marianna, Prof</creator><creator>Kawachi, Ichiro, Prof</creator><creator>Nyberg, Solja T, MSc</creator><creator>Alfredsson, Lars, Prof</creator><creator>Batty, G David, PhD</creator><creator>Bjorner, Jakob B, Prof</creator><creator>Borritz, Marianne, MD</creator><creator>Brunner, Eric J, Prof</creator><creator>Burr, Hermann, PhD</creator><creator>Dragano, Nico, Prof</creator><creator>Ferrie, Jane E, PhD</creator><creator>Fransson, Eleonor I, PhD</creator><creator>Hamer, Mark, PhD</creator><creator>Heikkilä, Katriina, PhD</creator><creator>Knutsson, Anders, Prof</creator><creator>Koskenvuo, Markku, Prof</creator><creator>Madsen, Ida E H, PhD</creator><creator>Nielsen, Martin L, MD</creator><creator>Nordin, Maria, PhD</creator><creator>Oksanen, Tuula, PhD</creator><creator>Pejtersen, Jan H, PhD</creator><creator>Pentti, Jaana, PhD</creator><creator>Rugulies, Reiner, Prof</creator><creator>Salo, Paula, PhD</creator><creator>Siegrist, Johannes, Prof</creator><creator>Steptoe, Andrew, PhD</creator><creator>Suominen, Sakari, Prof</creator><creator>Theorell, Töres, Prof</creator><creator>Vahtera, Jussi, Prof</creator><creator>Westerholm, Peter J M, Prof</creator><creator>Westerlund, Hugo, Prof</creator><creator>Singh-Manoux, Archana, PhD</creator><creator>Jokela, Markus, PhD</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>The Lancet, Diabetes &amp; 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Hamer, Mark, PhD ; Heikkilä, Katriina, PhD ; Knutsson, Anders, Prof ; Koskenvuo, Markku, Prof ; Madsen, Ida E H, PhD ; Nielsen, Martin L, MD ; Nordin, Maria, PhD ; Oksanen, Tuula, PhD ; Pejtersen, Jan H, PhD ; Pentti, Jaana, PhD ; Rugulies, Reiner, Prof ; Salo, Paula, PhD ; Siegrist, Johannes, Prof ; Steptoe, Andrew, PhD ; Suominen, Sakari, Prof ; Theorell, Töres, Prof ; Vahtera, Jussi, Prof ; Westerholm, Peter J M, Prof ; Westerlund, Hugo, Prof ; Singh-Manoux, Archana, PhD ; Jokela, Markus, PhD</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c794t-b4aca0bd9e0aa7d3f25b704f0138ad41039d13141b1f760f568241b2698a9d473</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology</topic><topic>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - etiology</topic><topic>Endocrinology &amp; Metabolism</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Other</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Social Class</topic><topic>Work Schedule Tolerance</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Kivimäki, Mika, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Virtanen, Marianna, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kawachi, Ichiro, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nyberg, Solja T, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Alfredsson, Lars, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Batty, G David, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bjorner, Jakob B, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Borritz, Marianne, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Brunner, Eric J, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Burr, Hermann, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dragano, Nico, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferrie, Jane E, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fransson, Eleonor I, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hamer, Mark, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Heikkilä, Katriina, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Knutsson, Anders, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Koskenvuo, Markku, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Madsen, Ida E H, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nielsen, Martin L, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nordin, Maria, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Oksanen, Tuula, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pejtersen, Jan H, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pentti, Jaana, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rugulies, Reiner, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Salo, Paula, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Siegrist, Johannes, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Steptoe, Andrew, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Suominen, Sakari, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Theorell, Töres, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vahtera, Jussi, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Westerholm, Peter J M, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Westerlund, Hugo, Prof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Singh-Manoux, Archana, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jokela, Markus, PhD</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><collection>SwePub</collection><collection>SwePub Articles</collection><collection>SWEPUB Högskolan i Jönköping</collection><collection>SWEPUB Mittuniversitetet full text</collection><collection>SWEPUB Freely available online</collection><collection>SWEPUB Mittuniversitetet</collection><collection>SwePub Articles full text</collection><collection>SWEPUB Stockholms universitet full text</collection><collection>SWEPUB Stockholms universitet</collection><collection>SWEPUB Umeå universitet full text</collection><collection>SWEPUB Umeå universitet</collection><collection>SWEPUB Uppsala universitet full text</collection><collection>SWEPUB Uppsala universitet</collection><jtitle>The lancet. Diabetes &amp; endocrinology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Kivimäki, Mika, Prof</au><au>Virtanen, Marianna, Prof</au><au>Kawachi, Ichiro, Prof</au><au>Nyberg, Solja T, MSc</au><au>Alfredsson, Lars, Prof</au><au>Batty, G David, PhD</au><au>Bjorner, Jakob B, Prof</au><au>Borritz, Marianne, MD</au><au>Brunner, Eric J, Prof</au><au>Burr, Hermann, PhD</au><au>Dragano, Nico, Prof</au><au>Ferrie, Jane E, PhD</au><au>Fransson, Eleonor I, PhD</au><au>Hamer, Mark, PhD</au><au>Heikkilä, Katriina, PhD</au><au>Knutsson, Anders, Prof</au><au>Koskenvuo, Markku, Prof</au><au>Madsen, Ida E H, PhD</au><au>Nielsen, Martin L, MD</au><au>Nordin, Maria, PhD</au><au>Oksanen, Tuula, PhD</au><au>Pejtersen, Jan H, PhD</au><au>Pentti, Jaana, PhD</au><au>Rugulies, Reiner, Prof</au><au>Salo, Paula, PhD</au><au>Siegrist, Johannes, Prof</au><au>Steptoe, Andrew, PhD</au><au>Suominen, Sakari, Prof</au><au>Theorell, Töres, Prof</au><au>Vahtera, Jussi, Prof</au><au>Westerholm, Peter J M, Prof</au><au>Westerlund, Hugo, Prof</au><au>Singh-Manoux, Archana, PhD</au><au>Jokela, Markus, PhD</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Long working hours, socioeconomic status, and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of published and unpublished data from 222 120 individuals</atitle><jtitle>The lancet. Diabetes &amp; endocrinology</jtitle><addtitle>Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol</addtitle><date>2015</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>3</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>27</spage><epage>34</epage><pages>27-34</pages><issn>2213-8587</issn><issn>2213-8595</issn><eissn>2213-8595</eissn><abstract>Summary Background Working long hours might have adverse health effects, but whether this is true for all socioeconomic status groups is unclear. In this meta-analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, we investigated the role of long working hours as a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Methods We identified four published studies through a systematic literature search of PubMed and Embase up to April 30, 2014. Study inclusion criteria were English-language publication; prospective design (cohort study); investigation of the effect of working hours or overtime work; incident diabetes as an outcome; and relative risks, odds ratios, or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs, or sufficient information to calculate these estimates. Additionally, we used unpublished individual-level data from 19 cohort studies from the Individual-Participant-Data Meta-analysis in Working-Populations Consortium and international open-access data archives. Effect estimates from published and unpublished data from 222 120 men and women from the USA, Europe, Japan, and Australia were pooled with random-effects meta-analysis. Findings During 1·7 million person-years at risk, 4963 individuals developed diabetes (incidence 29 per 10 000 person-years). The minimally adjusted summary risk ratio for long (≥55 h per week) compared with standard working hours (35–40 h) was 1·07 (95% CI 0·89–1·27, difference in incidence three cases per 10 000 person-years) with significant heterogeneity in study-specific estimates ( I2 =53%, p=0·0016). In an analysis stratified by socioeconomic status, the association between long working hours and diabetes was evident in the low socioeconomic status group (risk ratio 1·29, 95% CI 1·06–1·57, difference in incidence 13 per 10 000 person-years, I2 =0%, p=0·4662), but was null in the high socioeconomic status group (1·00, 95% CI 0·80–1·25, incidence difference zero per 10 000 person-years, I2 =15%, p=0·2464). The association in the low socioeconomic status group was robust to adjustment for age, sex, obesity, and physical activity, and remained after exclusion of shift workers. Interpretation In this meta-analysis, the link between longer working hours and type 2 diabetes was apparent only in individuals in the low socioeconomic status groups. Funding Medical Research Council, European Union New and Emerging Risks in Occupational Safety and Health research programme, Finnish Work Environment Fund, Swedish Research Council for Working Life and Social Research, German Social Accident Insurance, Danish National Research Centre for the Working Environment, Academy of Finland, Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment (Netherlands), Economic and Social Research Council, US National Institutes of Health, and British Heart Foundation.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><pmid>25262544</pmid><doi>10.1016/S2213-8587(14)70178-0</doi><tpages>8</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adult
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - etiology
Endocrinology & Metabolism
Female
Humans
Incidence
Male
Middle Aged
Other
Risk Factors
Social Class
Work Schedule Tolerance
title Long working hours, socioeconomic status, and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of published and unpublished data from 222 120 individuals
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