Avoidable cancer cases in the Nordic countries – The impact of overweight and obesity

Abstract Background Several types of cancers are causally linked to overweight and obesity, which are increasing in the Nordic countries. The aim of this study was to quantify the proportion of the cancer burden linked to overweight and obesity in the Nordic countries and estimate the potential for...

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Veröffentlicht in:European journal of cancer (1990) 2017-07, Vol.79, p.106-118
Hauptverfasser: Andersson, Therese M.-L, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Engholm, Gerda, Lund, Anne-Sofie Q, Olafsdottir, Elinborg, Pukkala, Eero, Stenbeck, Magnus, Storm, Hans
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container_end_page 118
container_issue
container_start_page 106
container_title European journal of cancer (1990)
container_volume 79
creator Andersson, Therese M.-L
Weiderpass, Elisabete
Engholm, Gerda
Lund, Anne-Sofie Q
Olafsdottir, Elinborg
Pukkala, Eero
Stenbeck, Magnus
Storm, Hans
description Abstract Background Several types of cancers are causally linked to overweight and obesity, which are increasing in the Nordic countries. The aim of this study was to quantify the proportion of the cancer burden linked to overweight and obesity in the Nordic countries and estimate the potential for cancer prevention. Methods Under different prevalence scenarios of overweight and obesity, the number of cancer cases in the Nordic countries in the next 30 years (i.e. 2016–2045) was estimated for 13 cancer sites and compared to the projected number of cancer cases if the prevalence stayed constant. The Prevent macro-simulation model was used. Results Over the period 2016–2045, 205,000 cancer cases out of the 2.1 million expected for the 13 cancer sites (9.5%) that have been studied, could be avoided in the Nordic countries by totally eliminating overweight and obesity in the target population. The largest proportional impact was found for oesophageal adenocarcinoma (24%), and the highest absolute impact was observed for colon (44638) and postmenopausal breast cancer (41135). Conclusion Decreased prevalence of overweight and obesity would reduce the cancer burden in the Nordic countries. The results from this study form an important step to increase awareness and priorities in cancer control by controlling overweight and obesity in the population.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.ejca.2017.03.028
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The aim of this study was to quantify the proportion of the cancer burden linked to overweight and obesity in the Nordic countries and estimate the potential for cancer prevention. Methods Under different prevalence scenarios of overweight and obesity, the number of cancer cases in the Nordic countries in the next 30 years (i.e. 2016–2045) was estimated for 13 cancer sites and compared to the projected number of cancer cases if the prevalence stayed constant. The Prevent macro-simulation model was used. Results Over the period 2016–2045, 205,000 cancer cases out of the 2.1 million expected for the 13 cancer sites (9.5%) that have been studied, could be avoided in the Nordic countries by totally eliminating overweight and obesity in the target population. The largest proportional impact was found for oesophageal adenocarcinoma (24%), and the highest absolute impact was observed for colon (44638) and postmenopausal breast cancer (41135). Conclusion Decreased prevalence of overweight and obesity would reduce the cancer burden in the Nordic countries. The results from this study form an important step to increase awareness and priorities in cancer control by controlling overweight and obesity in the population.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0959-8049</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1879-0852</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1879-0852</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.ejca.2017.03.028</identifier><identifier>PMID: 28477489</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Adenocarcinoma ; Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Body weight ; Breast cancer ; Cancer ; Clinical medical disciplines: 750 ; Colon ; Computer simulation ; Disease prevention ; Esophageal cancer ; Esophagus ; Female ; Hematology, Oncology and Palliative Medicine ; Humans ; Incidence ; Klinisk medisinske fag: 750 ; Male ; Medical disciplines: 700 ; Medicin och hälsovetenskap ; Medisinske Fag: 700 ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasms - epidemiology ; Neoplasms - prevention &amp; control ; Obesity ; Obesity - epidemiology ; Oncology: 762 ; Onkologi: 762 ; Overweight ; Overweight - epidemiology ; Population attributable fraction ; Post-menopause ; Potential impact fraction ; Prevalence ; Prevention ; Risk Factors ; Scandinavian and Nordic Countries - epidemiology ; VDP ; Young Adult</subject><ispartof>European journal of cancer (1990), 2017-07, Vol.79, p.106-118</ispartof><rights>Elsevier Ltd</rights><rights>2017 Elsevier Ltd</rights><rights>Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. 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The aim of this study was to quantify the proportion of the cancer burden linked to overweight and obesity in the Nordic countries and estimate the potential for cancer prevention. Methods Under different prevalence scenarios of overweight and obesity, the number of cancer cases in the Nordic countries in the next 30 years (i.e. 2016–2045) was estimated for 13 cancer sites and compared to the projected number of cancer cases if the prevalence stayed constant. The Prevent macro-simulation model was used. Results Over the period 2016–2045, 205,000 cancer cases out of the 2.1 million expected for the 13 cancer sites (9.5%) that have been studied, could be avoided in the Nordic countries by totally eliminating overweight and obesity in the target population. The largest proportional impact was found for oesophageal adenocarcinoma (24%), and the highest absolute impact was observed for colon (44638) and postmenopausal breast cancer (41135). Conclusion Decreased prevalence of overweight and obesity would reduce the cancer burden in the Nordic countries. 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control</subject><subject>Obesity</subject><subject>Obesity - epidemiology</subject><subject>Oncology: 762</subject><subject>Onkologi: 762</subject><subject>Overweight</subject><subject>Overweight - epidemiology</subject><subject>Population attributable fraction</subject><subject>Post-menopause</subject><subject>Potential impact fraction</subject><subject>Prevalence</subject><subject>Prevention</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Scandinavian and Nordic Countries - epidemiology</subject><subject>VDP</subject><subject>Young Adult</subject><issn>0959-8049</issn><issn>1879-0852</issn><issn>1879-0852</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2017</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>3HK</sourceid><recordid>eNp9ksuKFDEUhgtRnHH0BVxogRs31Z4kVbmACMPgDQZdOOLykE6dctJTXWmTqh565zv4hj6JafoiDOgq4c_3n5Pk_EXxlMGMAZOvFjNaODvjwNQMxAy4vlecMq1MBbrh94tTMI2pNNTmpHiU0gIAlK7hYXHCda1Urc1p8e18HXxr5z2Vzg6OYl4SpdIP5XhN5acQW-9KF6ZhjD7rv3_-Kq_ygV-urBvL0JVhTfGW_PfrsbRDW4Y5JT9uHhcPOtsnerJfz4qv795eXXyoLj-__3hxflm5xjRjpXQLtRW1ZrKxprbkHO9Ux40zWZQNaGEb1kLbGCU7Jp2ZGyGyTsJApsVZUe3qpltaTXNcRb-0cYPBetxLN3lHWBtpjMm8-Se_iqH9azoYmci9tVEse5_vvC76NPoBhxAtMgChkPFGQiZe7ohc6sdEacSlT4763g4UpoRMG1lz4LzJ6Is76CJMcch_hRwEr6XQmmeKH1qGlCJ1xwszwG0IcIHbEOA2BAgCcwiy6dm-9DRfUnu0HKaegdc7gPJk1p4iJucpT7_1kdyIbfD_r__mjt31fvDO9je0oXR8B8PEEfDLNobbFDIlQEspxB_v4daJ</recordid><startdate>20170701</startdate><enddate>20170701</enddate><creator>Andersson, Therese M.-L</creator><creator>Weiderpass, Elisabete</creator><creator>Engholm, Gerda</creator><creator>Lund, Anne-Sofie Q</creator><creator>Olafsdottir, Elinborg</creator><creator>Pukkala, Eero</creator><creator>Stenbeck, Magnus</creator><creator>Storm, Hans</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Elsevier Science Ltd</general><general>Elsevier</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7TO</scope><scope>7U7</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>3HK</scope><scope>ADTPV</scope><scope>AOWAS</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20170701</creationdate><title>Avoidable cancer cases in the Nordic countries – The impact of overweight and obesity</title><author>Andersson, Therese M.-L ; 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The aim of this study was to quantify the proportion of the cancer burden linked to overweight and obesity in the Nordic countries and estimate the potential for cancer prevention. Methods Under different prevalence scenarios of overweight and obesity, the number of cancer cases in the Nordic countries in the next 30 years (i.e. 2016–2045) was estimated for 13 cancer sites and compared to the projected number of cancer cases if the prevalence stayed constant. The Prevent macro-simulation model was used. Results Over the period 2016–2045, 205,000 cancer cases out of the 2.1 million expected for the 13 cancer sites (9.5%) that have been studied, could be avoided in the Nordic countries by totally eliminating overweight and obesity in the target population. The largest proportional impact was found for oesophageal adenocarcinoma (24%), and the highest absolute impact was observed for colon (44638) and postmenopausal breast cancer (41135). Conclusion Decreased prevalence of overweight and obesity would reduce the cancer burden in the Nordic countries. The results from this study form an important step to increase awareness and priorities in cancer control by controlling overweight and obesity in the population.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><pmid>28477489</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.ejca.2017.03.028</doi><tpages>13</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adenocarcinoma
Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Body weight
Breast cancer
Cancer
Clinical medical disciplines: 750
Colon
Computer simulation
Disease prevention
Esophageal cancer
Esophagus
Female
Hematology, Oncology and Palliative Medicine
Humans
Incidence
Klinisk medisinske fag: 750
Male
Medical disciplines: 700
Medicin och hälsovetenskap
Medisinske Fag: 700
Middle Aged
Neoplasms - epidemiology
Neoplasms - prevention & control
Obesity
Obesity - epidemiology
Oncology: 762
Onkologi: 762
Overweight
Overweight - epidemiology
Population attributable fraction
Post-menopause
Potential impact fraction
Prevalence
Prevention
Risk Factors
Scandinavian and Nordic Countries - epidemiology
VDP
Young Adult
title Avoidable cancer cases in the Nordic countries – The impact of overweight and obesity
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