Avoidable colorectal cancer cases in Denmark – The impact of red and processed meat
•36,767 CRCs could be avoided in Denmark up to 2045 by eliminating red and processed meat intake.•16,964 cases could be avoided with modest reductions in intake over the same period.•The highest impact is observed for men, and for the elimination or reduction of processed meat intake. High red and p...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Cancer epidemiology 2018-08, Vol.55, p.1-7 |
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| creator | Lourenço, Sofia Gunge, Vibeke Berglund Andersson, Therese M.-L. Andersen, Camilla Liv Erthmann Lund, Anne-Sofie Q. Køster, Brian Hansen, Gitte Laub |
| description | •36,767 CRCs could be avoided in Denmark up to 2045 by eliminating red and processed meat intake.•16,964 cases could be avoided with modest reductions in intake over the same period.•The highest impact is observed for men, and for the elimination or reduction of processed meat intake.
High red and processed meat intakes are associated with increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. The effect of eliminating or reducing red and processed meat consumption on CRC burden was not previously quantified in Denmark. The aim of this study was to calculate the possible effects of reductions in red and processed meat consumption on future CRC incidence in the Danish adult population.
Under six scenarios of prevalence exposure (meat consumption) the number of CRC cases in Denmark for a 30-year period (2016-2045) was estimated and compared to the projected number of CRCs if the prevalence of meat consumption remains constant. Data was obtained from the NORDCAN register, Statistics Denmark, and from the Danish dietary survey data (DANSDA). Analyses were conducted using the Prevent model.
During the 30-year period, a total of 36,767 (19.8%) CRC cases out of 185,937 expected could be avoided in Denmark by eliminating the consumption of both red and processed meat. For the same period, a modest reduction in both red and processed meat consumption could lead to the prevention of 16,964 (9.1%) CRC cases. The greatest reductions were seen among men, and the highest impact was estimated for the elimination or reduction of processed meat consumption.
Decreased red and processed meat consumption could reduce the burden of CRC markedly in Denmark. These results can assist public health planners and help highlight the important role of a modest but realistic reduction in meat consumption in the prevention of CRC. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.canep.2018.04.010 |
| format | Article |
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High red and processed meat intakes are associated with increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. The effect of eliminating or reducing red and processed meat consumption on CRC burden was not previously quantified in Denmark. The aim of this study was to calculate the possible effects of reductions in red and processed meat consumption on future CRC incidence in the Danish adult population.
Under six scenarios of prevalence exposure (meat consumption) the number of CRC cases in Denmark for a 30-year period (2016-2045) was estimated and compared to the projected number of CRCs if the prevalence of meat consumption remains constant. Data was obtained from the NORDCAN register, Statistics Denmark, and from the Danish dietary survey data (DANSDA). Analyses were conducted using the Prevent model.
During the 30-year period, a total of 36,767 (19.8%) CRC cases out of 185,937 expected could be avoided in Denmark by eliminating the consumption of both red and processed meat. For the same period, a modest reduction in both red and processed meat consumption could lead to the prevention of 16,964 (9.1%) CRC cases. The greatest reductions were seen among men, and the highest impact was estimated for the elimination or reduction of processed meat consumption.
Decreased red and processed meat consumption could reduce the burden of CRC markedly in Denmark. These results can assist public health planners and help highlight the important role of a modest but realistic reduction in meat consumption in the prevention of CRC.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1877-7821</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1877-783X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.canep.2018.04.010</identifier><identifier>PMID: 29753206</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Netherlands: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Adolescent ; Adult ; Age groups ; Aged ; Avoidable cancer ; Cancer ; Colorectal cancer ; Colorectal carcinoma ; Colorectal Neoplasms - epidemiology ; Consumption ; Data processing ; Denmark - epidemiology ; Diet - statistics & numerical data ; Epidemiology ; Estimates ; Female ; Gender ; Health risk assessment ; Health risks ; Humans ; Incidence ; Male ; Meat ; Meat - adverse effects ; Meat processing ; Medical research ; Middle Aged ; Population ; Population attributable fraction ; Potential impact fraction ; Prevalence ; Prevention ; Processed meat ; Public health ; Red meat ; Reduction ; Risk ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Women ; Young Adult</subject><ispartof>Cancer epidemiology, 2018-08, Vol.55, p.1-7</ispartof><rights>2018 The Authors</rights><rights>Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.</rights><rights>Copyright Elsevier Limited Aug 2018</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c470t-82a4ddd425577c6d8bf60e33f99b78a82a04d50632839b80ad0b1aa5114e1f5c3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c470t-82a4ddd425577c6d8bf60e33f99b78a82a04d50632839b80ad0b1aa5114e1f5c3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877782118301310$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,550,776,780,881,3536,27903,27904,65309</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29753206$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttp://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:138766580$$DView record from Swedish Publication Index$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Lourenço, Sofia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gunge, Vibeke Berglund</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Andersson, Therese M.-L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Andersen, Camilla Liv Erthmann</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lund, Anne-Sofie Q.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Køster, Brian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hansen, Gitte Laub</creatorcontrib><title>Avoidable colorectal cancer cases in Denmark – The impact of red and processed meat</title><title>Cancer epidemiology</title><addtitle>Cancer Epidemiol</addtitle><description>•36,767 CRCs could be avoided in Denmark up to 2045 by eliminating red and processed meat intake.•16,964 cases could be avoided with modest reductions in intake over the same period.•The highest impact is observed for men, and for the elimination or reduction of processed meat intake.
High red and processed meat intakes are associated with increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. The effect of eliminating or reducing red and processed meat consumption on CRC burden was not previously quantified in Denmark. The aim of this study was to calculate the possible effects of reductions in red and processed meat consumption on future CRC incidence in the Danish adult population.
Under six scenarios of prevalence exposure (meat consumption) the number of CRC cases in Denmark for a 30-year period (2016-2045) was estimated and compared to the projected number of CRCs if the prevalence of meat consumption remains constant. Data was obtained from the NORDCAN register, Statistics Denmark, and from the Danish dietary survey data (DANSDA). Analyses were conducted using the Prevent model.
During the 30-year period, a total of 36,767 (19.8%) CRC cases out of 185,937 expected could be avoided in Denmark by eliminating the consumption of both red and processed meat. For the same period, a modest reduction in both red and processed meat consumption could lead to the prevention of 16,964 (9.1%) CRC cases. The greatest reductions were seen among men, and the highest impact was estimated for the elimination or reduction of processed meat consumption.
Decreased red and processed meat consumption could reduce the burden of CRC markedly in Denmark. These results can assist public health planners and help highlight the important role of a modest but realistic reduction in meat consumption in the prevention of CRC.</description><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Age groups</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Avoidable cancer</subject><subject>Cancer</subject><subject>Colorectal cancer</subject><subject>Colorectal carcinoma</subject><subject>Colorectal Neoplasms - epidemiology</subject><subject>Consumption</subject><subject>Data processing</subject><subject>Denmark - epidemiology</subject><subject>Diet - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>Estimates</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Gender</subject><subject>Health risk assessment</subject><subject>Health risks</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Meat</subject><subject>Meat - adverse effects</subject><subject>Meat processing</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Population</subject><subject>Population attributable fraction</subject><subject>Potential impact fraction</subject><subject>Prevalence</subject><subject>Prevention</subject><subject>Processed meat</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Red meat</subject><subject>Reduction</subject><subject>Risk</subject><subject>Surveys and Questionnaires</subject><subject>Women</subject><subject>Young Adult</subject><issn>1877-7821</issn><issn>1877-783X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><sourceid>D8T</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kc1u3CAQgK2qUZOmfYJKFVIvudgZwBh86CFKf6VIvSRSbwjDWGVjGxfsRL3lHfqGfZKy3e0ecsiJAb4ZhvmK4g2FigJtzjeVNRPOFQOqKqgroPCsOKFKylIq_v35IWb0uHiZ0gagaSgVL4pj1krBGTQnxc3FXfDOdAMSG4YQ0S5mILmwxZiXhIn4iXzAaTTxlvx5-E2ufyDx42zsQkJPIjpiJkfmGCymlHcjmuVVcdSbIeHr_Xpa3Hz6eH35pbz69vnr5cVVaWsJS6mYqZ1zNRNCSts41fUNIOd923ZSmXwNtRPQcKZ42ykwDjpqjKC0RtoLy0-Lclc33eO8dnqOPvf5Swfj9f7oNkeoa6XqRmT-bMfndn-umBY9-mRxGPIgw5o0A66Y5C1ARt89QjdhjVP-TaYkpUwooTLFd5SNIaWI_aEFCnprSW_0P0t6a0lDrbOlnPV2X3vtRnSHnP9aMvB-B2Ae3p3HqJP1mJ04vzWkXfBPPvAXrz2jqw</recordid><startdate>20180801</startdate><enddate>20180801</enddate><creator>Lourenço, Sofia</creator><creator>Gunge, Vibeke Berglund</creator><creator>Andersson, Therese M.-L.</creator><creator>Andersen, Camilla Liv Erthmann</creator><creator>Lund, Anne-Sofie Q.</creator><creator>Køster, Brian</creator><creator>Hansen, Gitte Laub</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Elsevier Limited</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7TO</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88C</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M0T</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>ADTPV</scope><scope>AOWAS</scope><scope>D8T</scope><scope>ZZAVC</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20180801</creationdate><title>Avoidable colorectal cancer cases in Denmark – The impact of red and processed meat</title><author>Lourenço, Sofia ; Gunge, Vibeke Berglund ; Andersson, Therese M.-L. ; Andersen, Camilla Liv Erthmann ; Lund, Anne-Sofie Q. ; Køster, Brian ; Hansen, Gitte Laub</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c470t-82a4ddd425577c6d8bf60e33f99b78a82a04d50632839b80ad0b1aa5114e1f5c3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2018</creationdate><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Age groups</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Avoidable cancer</topic><topic>Cancer</topic><topic>Colorectal cancer</topic><topic>Colorectal carcinoma</topic><topic>Colorectal Neoplasms - epidemiology</topic><topic>Consumption</topic><topic>Data processing</topic><topic>Denmark - epidemiology</topic><topic>Diet - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Epidemiology</topic><topic>Estimates</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Gender</topic><topic>Health risk assessment</topic><topic>Health risks</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Meat</topic><topic>Meat - adverse effects</topic><topic>Meat processing</topic><topic>Medical research</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Population</topic><topic>Population attributable fraction</topic><topic>Potential impact fraction</topic><topic>Prevalence</topic><topic>Prevention</topic><topic>Processed meat</topic><topic>Public health</topic><topic>Red meat</topic><topic>Reduction</topic><topic>Risk</topic><topic>Surveys and Questionnaires</topic><topic>Women</topic><topic>Young Adult</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Lourenço, Sofia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gunge, Vibeke Berglund</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Andersson, Therese M.-L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Andersen, Camilla Liv Erthmann</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lund, Anne-Sofie Q.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Køster, Brian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hansen, Gitte Laub</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Database</collection><collection>Oncogenes and Growth Factors Abstracts</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Healthcare Administration Database (Alumni)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Pharma Collection</collection><collection>Public Health Database</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Research Library (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>Research Library Prep</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Healthcare Administration Database</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Research Library</collection><collection>Research Library (Corporate)</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>SwePub</collection><collection>SwePub Articles</collection><collection>SWEPUB Freely available online</collection><collection>SwePub Articles full text</collection><jtitle>Cancer epidemiology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Lourenço, Sofia</au><au>Gunge, Vibeke Berglund</au><au>Andersson, Therese M.-L.</au><au>Andersen, Camilla Liv Erthmann</au><au>Lund, Anne-Sofie Q.</au><au>Køster, Brian</au><au>Hansen, Gitte Laub</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Avoidable colorectal cancer cases in Denmark – The impact of red and processed meat</atitle><jtitle>Cancer epidemiology</jtitle><addtitle>Cancer Epidemiol</addtitle><date>2018-08-01</date><risdate>2018</risdate><volume>55</volume><spage>1</spage><epage>7</epage><pages>1-7</pages><issn>1877-7821</issn><eissn>1877-783X</eissn><abstract>•36,767 CRCs could be avoided in Denmark up to 2045 by eliminating red and processed meat intake.•16,964 cases could be avoided with modest reductions in intake over the same period.•The highest impact is observed for men, and for the elimination or reduction of processed meat intake.
High red and processed meat intakes are associated with increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. The effect of eliminating or reducing red and processed meat consumption on CRC burden was not previously quantified in Denmark. The aim of this study was to calculate the possible effects of reductions in red and processed meat consumption on future CRC incidence in the Danish adult population.
Under six scenarios of prevalence exposure (meat consumption) the number of CRC cases in Denmark for a 30-year period (2016-2045) was estimated and compared to the projected number of CRCs if the prevalence of meat consumption remains constant. Data was obtained from the NORDCAN register, Statistics Denmark, and from the Danish dietary survey data (DANSDA). Analyses were conducted using the Prevent model.
During the 30-year period, a total of 36,767 (19.8%) CRC cases out of 185,937 expected could be avoided in Denmark by eliminating the consumption of both red and processed meat. For the same period, a modest reduction in both red and processed meat consumption could lead to the prevention of 16,964 (9.1%) CRC cases. The greatest reductions were seen among men, and the highest impact was estimated for the elimination or reduction of processed meat consumption.
Decreased red and processed meat consumption could reduce the burden of CRC markedly in Denmark. These results can assist public health planners and help highlight the important role of a modest but realistic reduction in meat consumption in the prevention of CRC.</abstract><cop>Netherlands</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><pmid>29753206</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.canep.2018.04.010</doi><tpages>7</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Adolescent Adult Age groups Aged Avoidable cancer Cancer Colorectal cancer Colorectal carcinoma Colorectal Neoplasms - epidemiology Consumption Data processing Denmark - epidemiology Diet - statistics & numerical data Epidemiology Estimates Female Gender Health risk assessment Health risks Humans Incidence Male Meat Meat - adverse effects Meat processing Medical research Middle Aged Population Population attributable fraction Potential impact fraction Prevalence Prevention Processed meat Public health Red meat Reduction Risk Surveys and Questionnaires Women Young Adult |
| title | Avoidable colorectal cancer cases in Denmark – The impact of red and processed meat |
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