Impact of HPV vaccination on cervical screening performance: a population-based cohort study

Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is predicted to lower the positive predictive value (PPV) of cytology. Methods We included 153,250 girls born between 1989 and 1993, resident in Sweden since the introduction of HPV vaccines (October 2006) and attending cervical screening at age 23 y...

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Veröffentlicht in:British journal of cancer 2020-07, Vol.123 (1), p.155-160
Hauptverfasser: Lei, Jiayao, Ploner, Alexander, Lehtinen, Matti, Sparén, Pär, Dillner, Joakim, Elfström, K. Miriam
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container_title British journal of cancer
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creator Lei, Jiayao
Ploner, Alexander
Lehtinen, Matti
Sparén, Pär
Dillner, Joakim
Elfström, K. Miriam
description Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is predicted to lower the positive predictive value (PPV) of cytology. Methods We included 153,250 girls born between 1989 and 1993, resident in Sweden since the introduction of HPV vaccines (October 2006) and attending cervical screening at age 23 years. We assessed their first cytology and following histopathological diagnosis using Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). By linkage with the national Swedish HPV vaccination registry, we determined PPV of abnormal cytology for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and the differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) according to vaccination status. Results The PPV of high-grade cytology for CIN2+ was 69.9% (95% CI, 67.9–71.9), 64.9% (95% CI, 59.8–69.8) and 57.4% (95% CI, 50.9–63.7) among women unvaccinated, initiating vaccination at age 17–22 years and initiating vaccination before age 17 years, corresponding to reduction in PPV by 8% (95% CI, 0–15%) and 17% (95% CI, 7–26%) in vaccinated groups after adjustment for birth cohort, respectively. Conclusion The PPV of cytology for CIN2+ decreased among vaccinated women, and the decrease was stronger for girls vaccinated at younger ages. A switch from cytology to HPV testing might potentially improve the screening performance.
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41416-020-0850-6
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Miriam</creator><creatorcontrib>Lei, Jiayao ; Ploner, Alexander ; Lehtinen, Matti ; Sparén, Pär ; Dillner, Joakim ; Elfström, K. Miriam</creatorcontrib><description>Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is predicted to lower the positive predictive value (PPV) of cytology. Methods We included 153,250 girls born between 1989 and 1993, resident in Sweden since the introduction of HPV vaccines (October 2006) and attending cervical screening at age 23 years. We assessed their first cytology and following histopathological diagnosis using Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). By linkage with the national Swedish HPV vaccination registry, we determined PPV of abnormal cytology for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and the differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) according to vaccination status. Results The PPV of high-grade cytology for CIN2+ was 69.9% (95% CI, 67.9–71.9), 64.9% (95% CI, 59.8–69.8) and 57.4% (95% CI, 50.9–63.7) among women unvaccinated, initiating vaccination at age 17–22 years and initiating vaccination before age 17 years, corresponding to reduction in PPV by 8% (95% CI, 0–15%) and 17% (95% CI, 7–26%) in vaccinated groups after adjustment for birth cohort, respectively. Conclusion The PPV of cytology for CIN2+ decreased among vaccinated women, and the decrease was stronger for girls vaccinated at younger ages. 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Miriam</creatorcontrib><title>Impact of HPV vaccination on cervical screening performance: a population-based cohort study</title><title>British journal of cancer</title><addtitle>Br J Cancer</addtitle><addtitle>Br J Cancer</addtitle><description>Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is predicted to lower the positive predictive value (PPV) of cytology. Methods We included 153,250 girls born between 1989 and 1993, resident in Sweden since the introduction of HPV vaccines (October 2006) and attending cervical screening at age 23 years. We assessed their first cytology and following histopathological diagnosis using Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). By linkage with the national Swedish HPV vaccination registry, we determined PPV of abnormal cytology for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and the differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) according to vaccination status. 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Miriam</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Impact of HPV vaccination on cervical screening performance: a population-based cohort study</atitle><jtitle>British journal of cancer</jtitle><stitle>Br J Cancer</stitle><addtitle>Br J Cancer</addtitle><date>2020-07-07</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>123</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>155</spage><epage>160</epage><pages>155-160</pages><issn>0007-0920</issn><eissn>1532-1827</eissn><abstract>Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is predicted to lower the positive predictive value (PPV) of cytology. Methods We included 153,250 girls born between 1989 and 1993, resident in Sweden since the introduction of HPV vaccines (October 2006) and attending cervical screening at age 23 years. We assessed their first cytology and following histopathological diagnosis using Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). By linkage with the national Swedish HPV vaccination registry, we determined PPV of abnormal cytology for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and the differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) according to vaccination status. Results The PPV of high-grade cytology for CIN2+ was 69.9% (95% CI, 67.9–71.9), 64.9% (95% CI, 59.8–69.8) and 57.4% (95% CI, 50.9–63.7) among women unvaccinated, initiating vaccination at age 17–22 years and initiating vaccination before age 17 years, corresponding to reduction in PPV by 8% (95% CI, 0–15%) and 17% (95% CI, 7–26%) in vaccinated groups after adjustment for birth cohort, respectively. Conclusion The PPV of cytology for CIN2+ decreased among vaccinated women, and the decrease was stronger for girls vaccinated at younger ages. A switch from cytology to HPV testing might potentially improve the screening performance.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>32362659</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41416-020-0850-6</doi><tpages>6</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4718-1414</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects 692/308/174
692/699/67
Adolescent
Adult
Age
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Biomedicine
Cancer Research
Cellular biology
Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - epidemiology
Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - immunology
Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - prevention & control
Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - virology
Cervix Uteri - pathology
Cervix Uteri - virology
Cohort analysis
Cohort Studies
Colposcopy
Cytology
Drug Resistance
Early Detection of Cancer
Epidemiology
Female
Human papillomavirus
Human papillomavirus 16 - pathogenicity
Human papillomavirus 18 - pathogenicity
Humans
Immunization
Medical screening
Middle Aged
Molecular Medicine
Oncology
Papillomavirus Infections - epidemiology
Papillomavirus Infections - pathology
Papillomavirus Infections - prevention & control
Papillomavirus Infections - virology
Papillomavirus Vaccines
Population studies
Population-based studies
Pregnancy
Sweden - epidemiology
Uterine Cervical Neoplasms - epidemiology
Uterine Cervical Neoplasms - immunology
Uterine Cervical Neoplasms - prevention & control
Uterine Cervical Neoplasms - virology
Vaccination - methods
Young Adult
title Impact of HPV vaccination on cervical screening performance: a population-based cohort study
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