Thyroid-Stimulating Hormone, Age, and Tumor Size are Risk Factors for Progression During Active Surveillance of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma in Adults

Background Active surveillance (AS) of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 and is gradually spreading worldwide. We assessed the effect of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels on PTMC enlargement in patients on AS. Methods We enrolled 2705 pati...

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Veröffentlicht in:World journal of surgery 2023-02, Vol.47 (2), p.392-401
Hauptverfasser: Ito, Yasuhiro, Miyauchi, Akira, Fujishima, Makoto, Noda, Takuya, Sano, Tsutomu, Sasaki, Takahiro, Kishi, Taketoshi, Nakamura, Tomohiko
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container_title World journal of surgery
container_volume 47
creator Ito, Yasuhiro
Miyauchi, Akira
Fujishima, Makoto
Noda, Takuya
Sano, Tsutomu
Sasaki, Takahiro
Kishi, Taketoshi
Nakamura, Tomohiko
description Background Active surveillance (AS) of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 and is gradually spreading worldwide. We assessed the effect of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels on PTMC enlargement in patients on AS. Methods We enrolled 2705 patients with cytologically diagnosed PTMC who had undergone AS between January 2005 and July 2019. Patients with Graves disease were excluded. The median AS period was 5.5 years (range 1.0–15.7 years). Tumor enlargement was defined as a size increase ≥3 mm. Chi-square test, Kaplan–Meier method, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazard, and logistic regression were used to compare variables. Results Ninety-two patients (3.4%) experienced tumor enlargement; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year enlargement rates were 3.0%, 5.5%, and 6.2%, respectively. Young age (
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We assessed the effect of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels on PTMC enlargement in patients on AS. Methods We enrolled 2705 patients with cytologically diagnosed PTMC who had undergone AS between January 2005 and July 2019. Patients with Graves disease were excluded. The median AS period was 5.5 years (range 1.0–15.7 years). Tumor enlargement was defined as a size increase ≥3 mm. Chi-square test, Kaplan–Meier method, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazard, and logistic regression were used to compare variables. Results Ninety-two patients (3.4%) experienced tumor enlargement; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year enlargement rates were 3.0%, 5.5%, and 6.2%, respectively. Young age (&lt;40 years, p  &lt; 0.001), large tumor size (≥9 mm, p  = 0.017), and high detailed TSH score (≥3, higher than the lower normal limit, p  = 0.011) were significant factors relating to tumor enlargement in the multivariate analysis. In a subset of patients aged &lt;40 years, a low detailed TSH score (&lt;3) was an independent factor against tumor enlargement ( p  = 0.039). Only 22 patients (0.8%) experienced novel lymph node metastasis; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year node metastasis rates were very low, at 0.9%, 1.1%, and 1.1%, respectively. Conclusions Young patients with PTMC are more likely to experience tumor growth. Mild TSH suppression to achieve a low normal range may prevent carcinoma enlargement; however, prospective studies are needed to draw more reliable conclusions.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0364-2313</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1432-2323</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00268-022-06770-z</identifier><identifier>PMID: 36182976</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Cham: Springer International Publishing</publisher><subject>Abdominal Surgery ; Adult ; Cardiac Surgery ; Chi-square test ; Enlargement ; General Surgery ; Graves' disease ; Humans ; Lymph nodes ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Metastases ; Metastasis ; Multivariate analysis ; Original Scientific Report ; Rank tests ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk analysis ; Risk Factors ; Surgery ; Surveillance ; Thoracic Surgery ; Thyroid ; Thyroid gland ; Thyroid Neoplasms - pathology ; Thyroid Neoplasms - surgery ; Thyroid-stimulating hormone ; Thyrotropin ; Tumors ; Vascular Surgery ; Watchful Waiting</subject><ispartof>World journal of surgery, 2023-02, Vol.47 (2), p.392-401</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2022. corrected publication 2022</rights><rights>2023 The Author(s)</rights><rights>2022. 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We assessed the effect of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels on PTMC enlargement in patients on AS. Methods We enrolled 2705 patients with cytologically diagnosed PTMC who had undergone AS between January 2005 and July 2019. Patients with Graves disease were excluded. The median AS period was 5.5 years (range 1.0–15.7 years). Tumor enlargement was defined as a size increase ≥3 mm. Chi-square test, Kaplan–Meier method, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazard, and logistic regression were used to compare variables. Results Ninety-two patients (3.4%) experienced tumor enlargement; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year enlargement rates were 3.0%, 5.5%, and 6.2%, respectively. Young age (&lt;40 years, p  &lt; 0.001), large tumor size (≥9 mm, p  = 0.017), and high detailed TSH score (≥3, higher than the lower normal limit, p  = 0.011) were significant factors relating to tumor enlargement in the multivariate analysis. In a subset of patients aged &lt;40 years, a low detailed TSH score (&lt;3) was an independent factor against tumor enlargement ( p  = 0.039). Only 22 patients (0.8%) experienced novel lymph node metastasis; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year node metastasis rates were very low, at 0.9%, 1.1%, and 1.1%, respectively. Conclusions Young patients with PTMC are more likely to experience tumor growth. 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We assessed the effect of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels on PTMC enlargement in patients on AS. Methods We enrolled 2705 patients with cytologically diagnosed PTMC who had undergone AS between January 2005 and July 2019. Patients with Graves disease were excluded. The median AS period was 5.5 years (range 1.0–15.7 years). Tumor enlargement was defined as a size increase ≥3 mm. Chi-square test, Kaplan–Meier method, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazard, and logistic regression were used to compare variables. Results Ninety-two patients (3.4%) experienced tumor enlargement; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year enlargement rates were 3.0%, 5.5%, and 6.2%, respectively. Young age (&lt;40 years, p  &lt; 0.001), large tumor size (≥9 mm, p  = 0.017), and high detailed TSH score (≥3, higher than the lower normal limit, p  = 0.011) were significant factors relating to tumor enlargement in the multivariate analysis. In a subset of patients aged &lt;40 years, a low detailed TSH score (&lt;3) was an independent factor against tumor enlargement ( p  = 0.039). Only 22 patients (0.8%) experienced novel lymph node metastasis; the 5-, 10-, and 15-year node metastasis rates were very low, at 0.9%, 1.1%, and 1.1%, respectively. Conclusions Young patients with PTMC are more likely to experience tumor growth. Mild TSH suppression to achieve a low normal range may prevent carcinoma enlargement; however, prospective studies are needed to draw more reliable conclusions.</abstract><cop>Cham</cop><pub>Springer International Publishing</pub><pmid>36182976</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00268-022-06770-z</doi><tpages>10</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Abdominal Surgery
Adult
Cardiac Surgery
Chi-square test
Enlargement
General Surgery
Graves' disease
Humans
Lymph nodes
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Metastases
Metastasis
Multivariate analysis
Original Scientific Report
Rank tests
Retrospective Studies
Risk analysis
Risk Factors
Surgery
Surveillance
Thoracic Surgery
Thyroid
Thyroid gland
Thyroid Neoplasms - pathology
Thyroid Neoplasms - surgery
Thyroid-stimulating hormone
Thyrotropin
Tumors
Vascular Surgery
Watchful Waiting
title Thyroid-Stimulating Hormone, Age, and Tumor Size are Risk Factors for Progression During Active Surveillance of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma in Adults
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