The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk
•A mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, or market-based policies are used to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic.•Using an event study methodology we assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads.•A higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment r...
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Veröffentlicht in: | The North American journal of economics and finance 2021-11, Vol.58, p.101527-101527, Article 101527 |
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creator | Andrieș, Alin Marius Ongena, Steven Sprincean, Nicu |
description | •A mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, or market-based policies are used to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic.•Using an event study methodology we assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads.•A higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds.•Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted.
Governments around the world are tackling the COVID-19 pandemic with a mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, and/or market-based policies. We assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads using an event study methodology. We find that a higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds. Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted. Moreover, an increased debt-to-GDP ratio significantly boosts the cumulative abnormal change of CDS spreads, which indicates that investors are concerned about countries that are too indebted and thus have a limited capacity to intervene and provide fiscal stimuli and emergency fiscal packages to businesses and households. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101527 |
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Governments around the world are tackling the COVID-19 pandemic with a mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, and/or market-based policies. We assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads using an event study methodology. We find that a higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds. Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted. Moreover, an increased debt-to-GDP ratio significantly boosts the cumulative abnormal change of CDS spreads, which indicates that investors are concerned about countries that are too indebted and thus have a limited capacity to intervene and provide fiscal stimuli and emergency fiscal packages to businesses and households.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1062-9408</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1879-0860</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1062-9408</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101527</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Country risk ; COVID-19 pandemic ; Public health interventions ; Sovereign bonds</subject><ispartof>The North American journal of economics and finance, 2021-11, Vol.58, p.101527-101527, Article 101527</ispartof><rights>2021</rights><rights>2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. 2021</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c436t-973dadcb8ae88129a97788dd388b71a90280fae64c6fc937bf38bf1b5735b2fe3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c436t-973dadcb8ae88129a97788dd388b71a90280fae64c6fc937bf38bf1b5735b2fe3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101527$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,315,781,785,886,3551,27926,27927,45997</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Andrieș, Alin Marius</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ongena, Steven</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sprincean, Nicu</creatorcontrib><title>The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk</title><title>The North American journal of economics and finance</title><description>•A mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, or market-based policies are used to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic.•Using an event study methodology we assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads.•A higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds.•Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted.
Governments around the world are tackling the COVID-19 pandemic with a mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, and/or market-based policies. We assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads using an event study methodology. We find that a higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds. Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted. Moreover, an increased debt-to-GDP ratio significantly boosts the cumulative abnormal change of CDS spreads, which indicates that investors are concerned about countries that are too indebted and thus have a limited capacity to intervene and provide fiscal stimuli and emergency fiscal packages to businesses and households.</description><subject>Country risk</subject><subject>COVID-19 pandemic</subject><subject>Public health interventions</subject><subject>Sovereign bonds</subject><issn>1062-9408</issn><issn>1879-0860</issn><issn>1062-9408</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kMtKw0AUhgdRsFafwE1eIPVMJp3LQkHrrVCoaHU7TGbOtBPbpExiwbc3NSK4cXVufD-cj5BzCiMKlF-Uo8qU6EcZZHS_GWfigAyoFCoFyeGw64FnqcpBHpOTpikBIOdCDEi6WGEymb9Nb1OqkidTOdwEm3Q1eal3GDEsq-Sm7sbn0LyfkiNv1g2e_dQheb2_W0we09n8YTq5nqU2Z7xNlWDOOFtIg1LSTBklhJTOMSkLQY2CTII3yHPLvVVMFJ7JwtNiLNi4yDyyIbnqc7cfxQadxaqNZq23MWxM_NS1CfrvpQorvax3WgkOOUAXwPoAG-umieh_WQp6r0yX-luZ3ivTvbKOuuwp7H7bBYy6sQEriy5EtK12dfiX_wKAiXTy</recordid><startdate>20211101</startdate><enddate>20211101</enddate><creator>Andrieș, Alin Marius</creator><creator>Ongena, Steven</creator><creator>Sprincean, Nicu</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><general>The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>5PM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20211101</creationdate><title>The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk</title><author>Andrieș, Alin Marius ; Ongena, Steven ; Sprincean, Nicu</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c436t-973dadcb8ae88129a97788dd388b71a90280fae64c6fc937bf38bf1b5735b2fe3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Country risk</topic><topic>COVID-19 pandemic</topic><topic>Public health interventions</topic><topic>Sovereign bonds</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Andrieș, Alin Marius</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ongena, Steven</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sprincean, Nicu</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>The North American journal of economics and finance</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Andrieș, Alin Marius</au><au>Ongena, Steven</au><au>Sprincean, Nicu</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk</atitle><jtitle>The North American journal of economics and finance</jtitle><date>2021-11-01</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>58</volume><spage>101527</spage><epage>101527</epage><pages>101527-101527</pages><artnum>101527</artnum><issn>1062-9408</issn><eissn>1879-0860</eissn><eissn>1062-9408</eissn><abstract>•A mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, or market-based policies are used to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic.•Using an event study methodology we assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads.•A higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds.•Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted.
Governments around the world are tackling the COVID-19 pandemic with a mix of public health, fiscal, macroprudential, monetary, and/or market-based policies. We assess the impact of the pandemic in Europe on sovereign CDS spreads using an event study methodology. We find that a higher number of cases and deaths and public health containment responses significantly increase the uncertainty among investors in European government bonds. Other governmental policies magnify the effect in the short run as supply chains are disrupted. Moreover, an increased debt-to-GDP ratio significantly boosts the cumulative abnormal change of CDS spreads, which indicates that investors are concerned about countries that are too indebted and thus have a limited capacity to intervene and provide fiscal stimuli and emergency fiscal packages to businesses and households.</abstract><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><doi>10.1016/j.najef.2021.101527</doi><tpages>1</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Country risk COVID-19 pandemic Public health interventions Sovereign bonds |
title | The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk |
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