Decision analysis of international joint prevention and control of public health emergencies
COVID-19 has caused huge losses to countries around the world, and it will not end in a short time. The lack of motivation for international joint prevention and control is one of the important reasons for the global pandemic of COVID-19. How to improve the efforts and level of international joint p...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Environment, development and sustainability development and sustainability, 2023-12, Vol.25 (12), p.14333-14354 |
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| creator | Jia, Fangju Wang, Dong-dong Li, Lianshui |
| description | COVID-19 has caused huge losses to countries around the world, and it will not end in a short time. The lack of motivation for international joint prevention and control is one of the important reasons for the global pandemic of COVID-19. How to improve the efforts and level of international joint prevention and control has become an urgent problem to be solved. Considering the long-term and dynamic nature of international joint prevention and control, the differential game method is used to compare and analyze the optimal decisions of countries in the three scenarios of spontaneous governance, external subsidies and internal cost sharing. The results show that the optimal prevention and control efforts of countries are negatively correlated with discount rates, prevention and control cost coefficients, decay rate and risk factors. It is positively correlated with the impact degree of social benefits, the impact degree of prevention and control efforts on the level of joint prevention and control, the distribution ratio of social benefits, and the impact degree of prevention and control level on social benefits. The prevention and control efforts, joint prevention and control level, social benefits and system benefits under spontaneous governance are the lowest and highest under the internal cost sharing. The internal cost sharing will only be carried out when social benefits distribution ratio obtained reach a certain threshold. This study provides decision-making support for the joint prevention and control of countries to defeat COVID-19 under the normalization of the epidemic. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s10668-022-02666-z |
| format | Article |
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The lack of motivation for international joint prevention and control is one of the important reasons for the global pandemic of COVID-19. How to improve the efforts and level of international joint prevention and control has become an urgent problem to be solved. Considering the long-term and dynamic nature of international joint prevention and control, the differential game method is used to compare and analyze the optimal decisions of countries in the three scenarios of spontaneous governance, external subsidies and internal cost sharing. The results show that the optimal prevention and control efforts of countries are negatively correlated with discount rates, prevention and control cost coefficients, decay rate and risk factors. It is positively correlated with the impact degree of social benefits, the impact degree of prevention and control efforts on the level of joint prevention and control, the distribution ratio of social benefits, and the impact degree of prevention and control level on social benefits. The prevention and control efforts, joint prevention and control level, social benefits and system benefits under spontaneous governance are the lowest and highest under the internal cost sharing. The internal cost sharing will only be carried out when social benefits distribution ratio obtained reach a certain threshold. This study provides decision-making support for the joint prevention and control of countries to defeat COVID-19 under the normalization of the epidemic.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1387-585X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-2975</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s10668-022-02666-z</identifier><identifier>PMID: 36164470</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands</publisher><subject>Comparative studies ; Cost sharing ; COVID-19 ; Decay rate ; Decision analysis ; Decision making ; Differential games ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Ecology ; Economic Geology ; Economic Growth ; Environment ; Environmental Economics ; Environmental Management ; Epidemics ; Governance ; Motivation ; Normalization ; Pandemics ; Prevention ; Public health ; Risk factors ; Subsidies ; Sustainable Development</subject><ispartof>Environment, development and sustainability, 2023-12, Vol.25 (12), p.14333-14354</ispartof><rights>The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. 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The lack of motivation for international joint prevention and control is one of the important reasons for the global pandemic of COVID-19. How to improve the efforts and level of international joint prevention and control has become an urgent problem to be solved. Considering the long-term and dynamic nature of international joint prevention and control, the differential game method is used to compare and analyze the optimal decisions of countries in the three scenarios of spontaneous governance, external subsidies and internal cost sharing. The results show that the optimal prevention and control efforts of countries are negatively correlated with discount rates, prevention and control cost coefficients, decay rate and risk factors. It is positively correlated with the impact degree of social benefits, the impact degree of prevention and control efforts on the level of joint prevention and control, the distribution ratio of social benefits, and the impact degree of prevention and control level on social benefits. The prevention and control efforts, joint prevention and control level, social benefits and system benefits under spontaneous governance are the lowest and highest under the internal cost sharing. The internal cost sharing will only be carried out when social benefits distribution ratio obtained reach a certain threshold. This study provides decision-making support for the joint prevention and control of countries to defeat COVID-19 under the normalization of the epidemic.</description><subject>Comparative studies</subject><subject>Cost sharing</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>Decay rate</subject><subject>Decision analysis</subject><subject>Decision making</subject><subject>Differential games</subject><subject>Earth and Environmental Science</subject><subject>Ecology</subject><subject>Economic Geology</subject><subject>Economic Growth</subject><subject>Environment</subject><subject>Environmental Economics</subject><subject>Environmental Management</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Governance</subject><subject>Motivation</subject><subject>Normalization</subject><subject>Pandemics</subject><subject>Prevention</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Risk factors</subject><subject>Subsidies</subject><subject>Sustainable 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The lack of motivation for international joint prevention and control is one of the important reasons for the global pandemic of COVID-19. How to improve the efforts and level of international joint prevention and control has become an urgent problem to be solved. Considering the long-term and dynamic nature of international joint prevention and control, the differential game method is used to compare and analyze the optimal decisions of countries in the three scenarios of spontaneous governance, external subsidies and internal cost sharing. The results show that the optimal prevention and control efforts of countries are negatively correlated with discount rates, prevention and control cost coefficients, decay rate and risk factors. It is positively correlated with the impact degree of social benefits, the impact degree of prevention and control efforts on the level of joint prevention and control, the distribution ratio of social benefits, and the impact degree of prevention and control level on social benefits. The prevention and control efforts, joint prevention and control level, social benefits and system benefits under spontaneous governance are the lowest and highest under the internal cost sharing. The internal cost sharing will only be carried out when social benefits distribution ratio obtained reach a certain threshold. 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| subjects | Comparative studies Cost sharing COVID-19 Decay rate Decision analysis Decision making Differential games Earth and Environmental Science Ecology Economic Geology Economic Growth Environment Environmental Economics Environmental Management Epidemics Governance Motivation Normalization Pandemics Prevention Public health Risk factors Subsidies Sustainable Development |
| title | Decision analysis of international joint prevention and control of public health emergencies |
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