Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic
Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Bulletin of mathematical biology 2022-08, Vol.84 (8), p.75-75, Article 75 |
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| container_title | Bulletin of mathematical biology |
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| creator | Berec, Luděk Smyčka, Jan Levínský, René Hromádková, Eva Šoltés, Michal Šlerka, Josef Tuček, Vít Trnka, Jan Šmíd, Martin Zajíček, Milan Diviák, Tomáš Neruda, Roman Vidnerová, Petra |
| description | Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5 |
| format | Article |
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| ispartof | Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2022-08, Vol.84 (8), p.75-75, Article 75 |
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| source | Springer Nature - Complete Springer Journals |
| subjects | Cell Biology COVID-19 COVID-19 Publications Epidemic models Epidemiology Life Sciences Masks Mathematical and Computational Biology Mathematics Mathematics and Statistics Older people Pandemics Vaccination |
| title | Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic |
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