Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Genetic Diversity Informs Stage of HIV-1 Infection Among Patients Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Botswana

Abstract Background Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 genetic diversity increases during infection and can help infer the time elapsed since infection. However, the effect of antiretroviral treatment (ART) on the inference remains unknown. Methods Participants with estimated duration of HIV-1 inf...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of infectious diseases 2022-04, Vol.225 (8), p.1330-1338
Hauptverfasser: Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon, Golubchik, Tanya, Moyo, Sikhulile, Fraser, Christophe, Essex, Max, Novitsky, Vlad, Volz, Erik
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container_end_page 1338
container_issue 8
container_start_page 1330
container_title The Journal of infectious diseases
container_volume 225
creator Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon
Golubchik, Tanya
Moyo, Sikhulile
Fraser, Christophe
Essex, Max
Novitsky, Vlad
Volz, Erik
description Abstract Background Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 genetic diversity increases during infection and can help infer the time elapsed since infection. However, the effect of antiretroviral treatment (ART) on the inference remains unknown. Methods Participants with estimated duration of HIV-1 infection based on repeated testing were sourced from cohorts in Botswana (n = 1944). Full-length HIV genome sequencing was performed from proviral deoxyribonucleic acid. We optimized a machine learning model to classify infections as < or >1 year based on viral genetic diversity, demographic, and clinical data. Results The best predictive model included variables for genetic diversity of HIV-1 gag, pol, and env, viral load, age, sex, and ART status. Most participants were on ART. Balanced accuracy was 90.6% (95% confidence interval, 86.7%–94.1%). We tested the algorithm among newly diagnosed participants with or without documented negative HIV tests. Among those without records, those who self-reported a negative HIV test within 1 year previously. There was no difference in classification between those self-reporting a negative HIV test
doi_str_mv 10.1093/infdis/jiab293
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However, the effect of antiretroviral treatment (ART) on the inference remains unknown. Methods Participants with estimated duration of HIV-1 infection based on repeated testing were sourced from cohorts in Botswana (n = 1944). Full-length HIV genome sequencing was performed from proviral deoxyribonucleic acid. We optimized a machine learning model to classify infections as &lt; or &gt;1 year based on viral genetic diversity, demographic, and clinical data. Results The best predictive model included variables for genetic diversity of HIV-1 gag, pol, and env, viral load, age, sex, and ART status. Most participants were on ART. Balanced accuracy was 90.6% (95% confidence interval, 86.7%–94.1%). We tested the algorithm among newly diagnosed participants with or without documented negative HIV tests. Among those without records, those who self-reported a negative HIV test within &lt;1 year were more frequently classified as recent than those who reported a test &gt;1 year previously. There was no difference in classification between those self-reporting a negative HIV test &lt;1 year, whether or not they had a record. Conclusions These results indicate that recency of HIV-1 infection can be inferred from viral sequence diversity even among patients on suppressive ART. A single HIV virus is usually transmitted. HIV then replicates, making errors, and over time genetic diversity increases. We found that time since HIV infection can be estimated from within-patient HIV genetic diversity, even when patients are on treatment.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0022-1899</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1537-6613</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiab293</identifier><identifier>PMID: 34077517</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>US: Oxford University Press</publisher><subject>Anti-Retroviral Agents - pharmacology ; Anti-Retroviral Agents - therapeutic use ; Antiretroviral drugs ; Antiretroviral therapy ; Botswana - epidemiology ; Gag protein ; Genetic diversity ; Genetic Variation ; Genomes ; HIV ; HIV Infections - drug therapy ; HIV-1 - genetics ; Human immunodeficiency virus ; Humans ; Immune system ; Infections ; Major and Brief Reports ; Medical tests ; Patients ; Prediction models ; Viral Load</subject><ispartof>The Journal of infectious diseases, 2022-04, Vol.225 (8), p.1330-1338</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. 2021</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2021. 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However, the effect of antiretroviral treatment (ART) on the inference remains unknown. Methods Participants with estimated duration of HIV-1 infection based on repeated testing were sourced from cohorts in Botswana (n = 1944). Full-length HIV genome sequencing was performed from proviral deoxyribonucleic acid. We optimized a machine learning model to classify infections as &lt; or &gt;1 year based on viral genetic diversity, demographic, and clinical data. Results The best predictive model included variables for genetic diversity of HIV-1 gag, pol, and env, viral load, age, sex, and ART status. Most participants were on ART. Balanced accuracy was 90.6% (95% confidence interval, 86.7%–94.1%). We tested the algorithm among newly diagnosed participants with or without documented negative HIV tests. Among those without records, those who self-reported a negative HIV test within &lt;1 year were more frequently classified as recent than those who reported a test &gt;1 year previously. There was no difference in classification between those self-reporting a negative HIV test &lt;1 year, whether or not they had a record. Conclusions These results indicate that recency of HIV-1 infection can be inferred from viral sequence diversity even among patients on suppressive ART. A single HIV virus is usually transmitted. HIV then replicates, making errors, and over time genetic diversity increases. We found that time since HIV infection can be estimated from within-patient HIV genetic diversity, even when patients are on treatment.</description><subject>Anti-Retroviral Agents - pharmacology</subject><subject>Anti-Retroviral Agents - therapeutic use</subject><subject>Antiretroviral drugs</subject><subject>Antiretroviral therapy</subject><subject>Botswana - epidemiology</subject><subject>Gag protein</subject><subject>Genetic diversity</subject><subject>Genetic Variation</subject><subject>Genomes</subject><subject>HIV</subject><subject>HIV Infections - drug therapy</subject><subject>HIV-1 - genetics</subject><subject>Human immunodeficiency virus</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Immune system</subject><subject>Infections</subject><subject>Major and Brief Reports</subject><subject>Medical tests</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Prediction models</subject><subject>Viral Load</subject><issn>0022-1899</issn><issn>1537-6613</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2022</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>TOX</sourceid><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqFkc1uEzEURi0EoqGwZYkssWkX0_pnPGNvkEIpTaRKICjdWo7Hk94oY6e2JyiP0TfGVUIFbFhZuj4-_q4-hN5SckaJ4ufg-w7S-QrMgin-DE2o4G3VNJQ_RxNCGKuoVOoIvUppRQipedO-REe8Jm0raDtBD7NxMB7Ph2H0oXM9WHDe7vAtxDHhk9n89hRfOe8yWPwJti4myDs8932IQ8Lfs1k6HHpcuIo-jp3NEDyeDsEv8VeTiy0n_M1ZB1soo6nPEF2OYQvRrPHNnYtms8Pg8ceQ00_jzWv0ojfr5N4czmP04_PlzcWsuv5yNb-YXle2FixXyhKq6rqhrq87ydSiIYpKJmpmBVdGkK6zopNN2VgKuWhVw7lkVNjOcOkM5cfow967GReD62wJWhLpTYTBxJ0OBvTfNx7u9DJstSK0WFURnBwEMdyPLmU9QLJuvTbehTFpJsrXhJZEBX3_D7oKY_RlPc0aoQiRkpFCne0pG0NK0fVPYSjRj23rfdv60HZ58O7PFZ7w3_UW4HQPhHHzP9kvfWu3Fg</recordid><startdate>20220419</startdate><enddate>20220419</enddate><creator>Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon</creator><creator>Golubchik, Tanya</creator><creator>Moyo, Sikhulile</creator><creator>Fraser, Christophe</creator><creator>Essex, Max</creator><creator>Novitsky, Vlad</creator><creator>Volz, Erik</creator><general>Oxford University Press</general><scope>TOX</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4879-2209</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6268-8937</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20220419</creationdate><title>Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Genetic Diversity Informs Stage of HIV-1 Infection Among Patients Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Botswana</title><author>Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon ; Golubchik, Tanya ; Moyo, Sikhulile ; Fraser, Christophe ; Essex, Max ; Novitsky, Vlad ; Volz, Erik</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c452t-9c0194461ef4d829b609182542c539a50ddc5d86436858b796338215cda38ea13</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2022</creationdate><topic>Anti-Retroviral Agents - pharmacology</topic><topic>Anti-Retroviral Agents - therapeutic use</topic><topic>Antiretroviral drugs</topic><topic>Antiretroviral therapy</topic><topic>Botswana - epidemiology</topic><topic>Gag protein</topic><topic>Genetic diversity</topic><topic>Genetic Variation</topic><topic>Genomes</topic><topic>HIV</topic><topic>HIV Infections - drug therapy</topic><topic>HIV-1 - genetics</topic><topic>Human immunodeficiency virus</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Immune system</topic><topic>Infections</topic><topic>Major and Brief Reports</topic><topic>Medical tests</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Prediction models</topic><topic>Viral Load</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Golubchik, Tanya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Moyo, Sikhulile</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fraser, Christophe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Essex, Max</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Novitsky, Vlad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Volz, Erik</creatorcontrib><collection>Oxford Journals Open Access Collection</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>The Journal of infectious diseases</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon</au><au>Golubchik, Tanya</au><au>Moyo, Sikhulile</au><au>Fraser, Christophe</au><au>Essex, Max</au><au>Novitsky, Vlad</au><au>Volz, Erik</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Genetic Diversity Informs Stage of HIV-1 Infection Among Patients Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Botswana</atitle><jtitle>The Journal of infectious diseases</jtitle><addtitle>J Infect Dis</addtitle><date>2022-04-19</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>225</volume><issue>8</issue><spage>1330</spage><epage>1338</epage><pages>1330-1338</pages><issn>0022-1899</issn><eissn>1537-6613</eissn><abstract>Abstract Background Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 genetic diversity increases during infection and can help infer the time elapsed since infection. However, the effect of antiretroviral treatment (ART) on the inference remains unknown. Methods Participants with estimated duration of HIV-1 infection based on repeated testing were sourced from cohorts in Botswana (n = 1944). Full-length HIV genome sequencing was performed from proviral deoxyribonucleic acid. We optimized a machine learning model to classify infections as &lt; or &gt;1 year based on viral genetic diversity, demographic, and clinical data. Results The best predictive model included variables for genetic diversity of HIV-1 gag, pol, and env, viral load, age, sex, and ART status. Most participants were on ART. Balanced accuracy was 90.6% (95% confidence interval, 86.7%–94.1%). We tested the algorithm among newly diagnosed participants with or without documented negative HIV tests. Among those without records, those who self-reported a negative HIV test within &lt;1 year were more frequently classified as recent than those who reported a test &gt;1 year previously. There was no difference in classification between those self-reporting a negative HIV test &lt;1 year, whether or not they had a record. Conclusions These results indicate that recency of HIV-1 infection can be inferred from viral sequence diversity even among patients on suppressive ART. A single HIV virus is usually transmitted. HIV then replicates, making errors, and over time genetic diversity increases. We found that time since HIV infection can be estimated from within-patient HIV genetic diversity, even when patients are on treatment.</abstract><cop>US</cop><pub>Oxford University Press</pub><pmid>34077517</pmid><doi>10.1093/infdis/jiab293</doi><tpages>9</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4879-2209</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6268-8937</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Anti-Retroviral Agents - pharmacology
Anti-Retroviral Agents - therapeutic use
Antiretroviral drugs
Antiretroviral therapy
Botswana - epidemiology
Gag protein
Genetic diversity
Genetic Variation
Genomes
HIV
HIV Infections - drug therapy
HIV-1 - genetics
Human immunodeficiency virus
Humans
Immune system
Infections
Major and Brief Reports
Medical tests
Patients
Prediction models
Viral Load
title Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Genetic Diversity Informs Stage of HIV-1 Infection Among Patients Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Botswana
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