The Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics (SCOPE) Index: A Prognostic Tool for Children

Background and Aims Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk‐stratification tools exist for adult‐onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease s...

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Veröffentlicht in:Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.) Md.), 2021-03, Vol.73 (3), p.1074-1087
Hauptverfasser: Deneau, Mark R., Mack, Cara, Perito, Emily R., Ricciuto, Amanda, Valentino, Pamela L., Amin, Mansi, Amir, Achiya Z., Aumar, Madeleine, Auth, Marcus, Broderick, Annemarie, DiGuglielmo, Matthew, Draijer, Laura G., Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve, El‐Matary, Wael, Ferrari, Federica, Furuya, Katryn N., Gupta, Nitika, Hochberg, Jessica T., Homan, Matjaz, Horslen, Simon, Iorio, Raffaele, Jensen, M. Kyle, Jonas, Maureen M., Kamath, Binita M., Kerkar, Nanda, Kim, Kyung Mo, Kolho, Kaija‐Leena, Koot, Bart G.P., Laborda, Trevor J., Lee, Christine K., Loomes, Kathleen M., Martinez, Mercedes, Miethke, Alexander, Miloh, Tamir, Mogul, Douglas, Mohammad, Saeed, Mohan, Parvathi, Moroz, Stacy, Ovchinsky, Nadia, Palle, Sirish, Papadopoulou, Alexandra, Rao, Girish, Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre, Sathya, Pushpa, Schwarz, Kathleen B., Shah, Uzma, Shteyer, Eyal, Singh, Ruchi, Smolka, Vratislav, Soufi, Nisreen, Tanaka, Atsushi, Varier, Raghu, Vitola, Bernadette, Woynarowski, Marek, Zerofsky, Melissa, Zizzo, Andréanne, Guthery, Stephen L.
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container_issue 3
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container_title Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)
container_volume 73
creator Deneau, Mark R.
Mack, Cara
Perito, Emily R.
Ricciuto, Amanda
Valentino, Pamela L.
Amin, Mansi
Amir, Achiya Z.
Aumar, Madeleine
Auth, Marcus
Broderick, Annemarie
DiGuglielmo, Matthew
Draijer, Laura G.
Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve
El‐Matary, Wael
Ferrari, Federica
Furuya, Katryn N.
Gupta, Nitika
Hochberg, Jessica T.
Homan, Matjaz
Horslen, Simon
Iorio, Raffaele
Jensen, M. Kyle
Jonas, Maureen M.
Kamath, Binita M.
Kerkar, Nanda
Kim, Kyung Mo
Kolho, Kaija‐Leena
Koot, Bart G.P.
Laborda, Trevor J.
Lee, Christine K.
Loomes, Kathleen M.
Martinez, Mercedes
Miethke, Alexander
Miloh, Tamir
Mogul, Douglas
Mohammad, Saeed
Mohan, Parvathi
Moroz, Stacy
Ovchinsky, Nadia
Palle, Sirish
Papadopoulou, Alexandra
Rao, Girish
Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre
Sathya, Pushpa
Schwarz, Kathleen B.
Shah, Uzma
Shteyer, Eyal
Singh, Ruchi
Smolka, Vratislav
Soufi, Nisreen
Tanaka, Atsushi
Varier, Raghu
Vitola, Bernadette
Woynarowski, Marek
Zerofsky, Melissa
Zizzo, Andréanne
Guthery, Stephen L.
description Background and Aims Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk‐stratification tools exist for adult‐onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease stage of pediatric PSC. Approach and Results We used retrospective data from the Pediatric PSC Consortium. The training cohort contained 1,012 patients from 40 centers. We generated a multivariate risk index (Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics [SCOPE] index) that contained total bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, gamma glutamyltransferase, and cholangiography to predict a primary outcome of liver transplantation or death (TD) and a broader secondary outcome that included portal hypertensive, biliary, and cancer complications termed hepatobiliary complications (HBCs). The model stratified patients as low, medium, or high risk based on progression to TD at rates of
doi_str_mv 10.1002/hep.31393
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Kyle ; Jonas, Maureen M. ; Kamath, Binita M. ; Kerkar, Nanda ; Kim, Kyung Mo ; Kolho, Kaija‐Leena ; Koot, Bart G.P. ; Laborda, Trevor J. ; Lee, Christine K. ; Loomes, Kathleen M. ; Martinez, Mercedes ; Miethke, Alexander ; Miloh, Tamir ; Mogul, Douglas ; Mohammad, Saeed ; Mohan, Parvathi ; Moroz, Stacy ; Ovchinsky, Nadia ; Palle, Sirish ; Papadopoulou, Alexandra ; Rao, Girish ; Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre ; Sathya, Pushpa ; Schwarz, Kathleen B. ; Shah, Uzma ; Shteyer, Eyal ; Singh, Ruchi ; Smolka, Vratislav ; Soufi, Nisreen ; Tanaka, Atsushi ; Varier, Raghu ; Vitola, Bernadette ; Woynarowski, Marek ; Zerofsky, Melissa ; Zizzo, Andréanne ; Guthery, Stephen L.</creator><creatorcontrib>Deneau, Mark R. ; Mack, Cara ; Perito, Emily R. ; Ricciuto, Amanda ; Valentino, Pamela L. ; Amin, Mansi ; Amir, Achiya Z. ; Aumar, Madeleine ; Auth, Marcus ; Broderick, Annemarie ; DiGuglielmo, Matthew ; Draijer, Laura G. ; Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve ; El‐Matary, Wael ; Ferrari, Federica ; Furuya, Katryn N. ; Gupta, Nitika ; Hochberg, Jessica T. ; Homan, Matjaz ; Horslen, Simon ; Iorio, Raffaele ; Jensen, M. Kyle ; Jonas, Maureen M. ; Kamath, Binita M. ; Kerkar, Nanda ; Kim, Kyung Mo ; Kolho, Kaija‐Leena ; Koot, Bart G.P. ; Laborda, Trevor J. ; Lee, Christine K. ; Loomes, Kathleen M. ; Martinez, Mercedes ; Miethke, Alexander ; Miloh, Tamir ; Mogul, Douglas ; Mohammad, Saeed ; Mohan, Parvathi ; Moroz, Stacy ; Ovchinsky, Nadia ; Palle, Sirish ; Papadopoulou, Alexandra ; Rao, Girish ; Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre ; Sathya, Pushpa ; Schwarz, Kathleen B. ; Shah, Uzma ; Shteyer, Eyal ; Singh, Ruchi ; Smolka, Vratislav ; Soufi, Nisreen ; Tanaka, Atsushi ; Varier, Raghu ; Vitola, Bernadette ; Woynarowski, Marek ; Zerofsky, Melissa ; Zizzo, Andréanne ; Guthery, Stephen L.</creatorcontrib><description>Background and Aims Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk‐stratification tools exist for adult‐onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease stage of pediatric PSC. Approach and Results We used retrospective data from the Pediatric PSC Consortium. The training cohort contained 1,012 patients from 40 centers. We generated a multivariate risk index (Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics [SCOPE] index) that contained total bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, gamma glutamyltransferase, and cholangiography to predict a primary outcome of liver transplantation or death (TD) and a broader secondary outcome that included portal hypertensive, biliary, and cancer complications termed hepatobiliary complications (HBCs). The model stratified patients as low, medium, or high risk based on progression to TD at rates of &lt;1%, 3%, and 9% annually and to HBCs at rates of 2%, 6%, and 13% annually, respectively (P &lt; 0.001). C‐statistics to discriminate outcomes at 1 and 5 years were 0.95 and 0.82 for TD and 0.80 and 0.76 for HBCs, respectively. Baseline hepatic fibrosis stage was worse with increasing risk score, with extensive fibrosis in 8% of the lowest versus 100% with the highest risk index (P &lt; 0.001). The model was validated in 240 children from 11 additional centers and performed well. Conclusions The SCOPE index is a pediatric‐specific prognostic tool for PSC. It uses routinely obtained, objective data to predict a complicated clinical course. It correlates strongly with biopsy‐proven liver fibrosis. SCOPE can be used with families for shared decision making on clinical care based on a patient’s individual risk, and to account for variable disease progression when designing future clinical trials.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0270-9139</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1527-3350</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1527-3350</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/hep.31393</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32464706</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc</publisher><subject>Adolescent ; Bile ; Bilirubin ; Bilirubin - blood ; Biopsy ; Child ; Children ; Cholangiography ; Cholangitis ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing - diagnosis ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing - mortality ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing - pathology ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing - surgery ; Clinical trials ; Decision making ; Disease Progression ; Female ; Fibrosis ; gamma-Glutamyltransferase - blood ; Hepatology ; Humans ; Liver Transplantation ; Male ; Patients ; Pediatrics ; Platelet Count ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Serum Albumin - analysis</subject><ispartof>Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2021-03, Vol.73 (3), p.1074-1087</ispartof><rights>2020 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.</rights><rights>2021 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4083-834d031d1df3f85476e6406b2810286fd447b0eb37c45b44cfbe348247e8b44e3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4083-834d031d1df3f85476e6406b2810286fd447b0eb37c45b44cfbe348247e8b44e3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-6128-0155 ; 0000-0001-6350-2057 ; 0000-0002-8227-2004 ; 0000-0003-0459-9404 ; 0000-0002-6171-4731 ; 0000-0001-9538-3005</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fhep.31393$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fhep.31393$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,776,780,881,1411,27901,27902,45550,45551</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32464706$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Deneau, Mark R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mack, Cara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Perito, Emily R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ricciuto, Amanda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Valentino, Pamela L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Amin, Mansi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Amir, Achiya Z.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aumar, Madeleine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Auth, Marcus</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Broderick, Annemarie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>DiGuglielmo, Matthew</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Draijer, Laura G.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>El‐Matary, Wael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferrari, Federica</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furuya, Katryn N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gupta, Nitika</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hochberg, Jessica T.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Homan, Matjaz</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Horslen, Simon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iorio, Raffaele</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jensen, M. Kyle</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jonas, Maureen M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kamath, Binita M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kerkar, Nanda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kim, Kyung Mo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kolho, Kaija‐Leena</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Koot, Bart G.P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Laborda, Trevor J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lee, Christine K.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Loomes, Kathleen M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martinez, Mercedes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miethke, Alexander</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miloh, Tamir</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mogul, Douglas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mohammad, Saeed</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mohan, Parvathi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Moroz, Stacy</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ovchinsky, Nadia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Palle, Sirish</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Papadopoulou, Alexandra</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rao, Girish</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sathya, Pushpa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schwarz, Kathleen B.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Uzma</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shteyer, Eyal</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Singh, Ruchi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Smolka, Vratislav</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Soufi, Nisreen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tanaka, Atsushi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Varier, Raghu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vitola, Bernadette</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woynarowski, Marek</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zerofsky, Melissa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zizzo, Andréanne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guthery, Stephen L.</creatorcontrib><title>The Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics (SCOPE) Index: A Prognostic Tool for Children</title><title>Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)</title><addtitle>Hepatology</addtitle><description>Background and Aims Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk‐stratification tools exist for adult‐onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease stage of pediatric PSC. Approach and Results We used retrospective data from the Pediatric PSC Consortium. The training cohort contained 1,012 patients from 40 centers. We generated a multivariate risk index (Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics [SCOPE] index) that contained total bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, gamma glutamyltransferase, and cholangiography to predict a primary outcome of liver transplantation or death (TD) and a broader secondary outcome that included portal hypertensive, biliary, and cancer complications termed hepatobiliary complications (HBCs). The model stratified patients as low, medium, or high risk based on progression to TD at rates of &lt;1%, 3%, and 9% annually and to HBCs at rates of 2%, 6%, and 13% annually, respectively (P &lt; 0.001). C‐statistics to discriminate outcomes at 1 and 5 years were 0.95 and 0.82 for TD and 0.80 and 0.76 for HBCs, respectively. Baseline hepatic fibrosis stage was worse with increasing risk score, with extensive fibrosis in 8% of the lowest versus 100% with the highest risk index (P &lt; 0.001). The model was validated in 240 children from 11 additional centers and performed well. Conclusions The SCOPE index is a pediatric‐specific prognostic tool for PSC. It uses routinely obtained, objective data to predict a complicated clinical course. It correlates strongly with biopsy‐proven liver fibrosis. SCOPE can be used with families for shared decision making on clinical care based on a patient’s individual risk, and to account for variable disease progression when designing future clinical trials.</description><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>Bile</subject><subject>Bilirubin</subject><subject>Bilirubin - blood</subject><subject>Biopsy</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Children</subject><subject>Cholangiography</subject><subject>Cholangitis</subject><subject>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - diagnosis</subject><subject>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - mortality</subject><subject>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - pathology</subject><subject>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - surgery</subject><subject>Clinical trials</subject><subject>Decision making</subject><subject>Disease Progression</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Fibrosis</subject><subject>gamma-Glutamyltransferase - blood</subject><subject>Hepatology</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Liver Transplantation</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Pediatrics</subject><subject>Platelet Count</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Serum Albumin - analysis</subject><issn>0270-9139</issn><issn>1527-3350</issn><issn>1527-3350</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kV1rFDEUhoModlu98A9IwJv2YtqTj5lkvCiUZbWFwi50vQ4zmTO7KbPJmsyo_fembi0qeBUO5-HhzXkJecfgnAHwiy3uzwUTtXhBZqzkqhCihJdkBlxBUefFETlO6R4Aasn1a3IkuKykgmpGzHqL9M4OGENyfkPn2zA0fuNGl-hyGm3YYaLO0xV2rhmjs4me3s2Xq8UZvfEd_vhIr-gqho0PaXSWrkMYaB9i9rihi-jfkFd9MyR8-_SekC-fFuv5dXG7_Hwzv7otrAQtCi1kB4J1rOtFr0upKqwkVC3XDLiu-k5K1QK2QllZtlLavkUhNZcKdR5RnJDLg3c_tTvsLPoxNoPZR7dr4oMJjTN_b7zbmk34ZnRZqkqUWXD6JIjh64RpNDuXLA75GhimZHjOyepaKJ3RD_-g92GKPn_P8BKYVjqXkKmzA2XzaVPE_jkMA_NYm8m1mV-1Zfb9n-mfyd89ZeDiAHx3Az7832SuF6uD8iedt6A1</recordid><startdate>202103</startdate><enddate>202103</enddate><creator>Deneau, Mark R.</creator><creator>Mack, Cara</creator><creator>Perito, Emily R.</creator><creator>Ricciuto, Amanda</creator><creator>Valentino, Pamela L.</creator><creator>Amin, Mansi</creator><creator>Amir, Achiya Z.</creator><creator>Aumar, Madeleine</creator><creator>Auth, Marcus</creator><creator>Broderick, Annemarie</creator><creator>DiGuglielmo, Matthew</creator><creator>Draijer, Laura G.</creator><creator>Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve</creator><creator>El‐Matary, Wael</creator><creator>Ferrari, Federica</creator><creator>Furuya, Katryn N.</creator><creator>Gupta, Nitika</creator><creator>Hochberg, Jessica T.</creator><creator>Homan, Matjaz</creator><creator>Horslen, Simon</creator><creator>Iorio, Raffaele</creator><creator>Jensen, M. 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Kyle ; Jonas, Maureen M. ; Kamath, Binita M. ; Kerkar, Nanda ; Kim, Kyung Mo ; Kolho, Kaija‐Leena ; Koot, Bart G.P. ; Laborda, Trevor J. ; Lee, Christine K. ; Loomes, Kathleen M. ; Martinez, Mercedes ; Miethke, Alexander ; Miloh, Tamir ; Mogul, Douglas ; Mohammad, Saeed ; Mohan, Parvathi ; Moroz, Stacy ; Ovchinsky, Nadia ; Palle, Sirish ; Papadopoulou, Alexandra ; Rao, Girish ; Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre ; Sathya, Pushpa ; Schwarz, Kathleen B. ; Shah, Uzma ; Shteyer, Eyal ; Singh, Ruchi ; Smolka, Vratislav ; Soufi, Nisreen ; Tanaka, Atsushi ; Varier, Raghu ; Vitola, Bernadette ; Woynarowski, Marek ; Zerofsky, Melissa ; Zizzo, Andréanne ; Guthery, Stephen L.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c4083-834d031d1df3f85476e6406b2810286fd447b0eb37c45b44cfbe348247e8b44e3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>Bile</topic><topic>Bilirubin</topic><topic>Bilirubin - blood</topic><topic>Biopsy</topic><topic>Child</topic><topic>Children</topic><topic>Cholangiography</topic><topic>Cholangitis</topic><topic>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - diagnosis</topic><topic>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - mortality</topic><topic>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - pathology</topic><topic>Cholangitis, Sclerosing - surgery</topic><topic>Clinical trials</topic><topic>Decision making</topic><topic>Disease Progression</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Fibrosis</topic><topic>gamma-Glutamyltransferase - blood</topic><topic>Hepatology</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Liver Transplantation</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Pediatrics</topic><topic>Platelet Count</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Serum Albumin - analysis</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Deneau, Mark R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mack, Cara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Perito, Emily R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ricciuto, Amanda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Valentino, Pamela L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Amin, Mansi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Amir, Achiya Z.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aumar, Madeleine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Auth, Marcus</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Broderick, Annemarie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>DiGuglielmo, Matthew</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Draijer, Laura G.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>El‐Matary, Wael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferrari, Federica</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furuya, Katryn N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gupta, Nitika</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hochberg, Jessica T.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Homan, Matjaz</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Horslen, Simon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iorio, Raffaele</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jensen, M. Kyle</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jonas, Maureen M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kamath, Binita M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kerkar, Nanda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kim, Kyung Mo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kolho, Kaija‐Leena</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Koot, Bart G.P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Laborda, Trevor J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lee, Christine K.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Loomes, Kathleen M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martinez, Mercedes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miethke, Alexander</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miloh, Tamir</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mogul, Douglas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mohammad, Saeed</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mohan, Parvathi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Moroz, Stacy</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ovchinsky, Nadia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Palle, Sirish</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Papadopoulou, Alexandra</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rao, Girish</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sathya, Pushpa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schwarz, Kathleen B.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Uzma</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shteyer, Eyal</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Singh, Ruchi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Smolka, Vratislav</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Soufi, Nisreen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tanaka, Atsushi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Varier, Raghu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vitola, Bernadette</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woynarowski, Marek</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zerofsky, Melissa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zizzo, Andréanne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guthery, Stephen L.</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>Nucleic Acids Abstracts</collection><collection>Oncogenes and Growth Factors Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Deneau, Mark R.</au><au>Mack, Cara</au><au>Perito, Emily R.</au><au>Ricciuto, Amanda</au><au>Valentino, Pamela L.</au><au>Amin, Mansi</au><au>Amir, Achiya Z.</au><au>Aumar, Madeleine</au><au>Auth, Marcus</au><au>Broderick, Annemarie</au><au>DiGuglielmo, Matthew</au><au>Draijer, Laura G.</au><au>Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora Druve</au><au>El‐Matary, Wael</au><au>Ferrari, Federica</au><au>Furuya, Katryn N.</au><au>Gupta, Nitika</au><au>Hochberg, Jessica T.</au><au>Homan, Matjaz</au><au>Horslen, Simon</au><au>Iorio, Raffaele</au><au>Jensen, M. Kyle</au><au>Jonas, Maureen M.</au><au>Kamath, Binita M.</au><au>Kerkar, Nanda</au><au>Kim, Kyung Mo</au><au>Kolho, Kaija‐Leena</au><au>Koot, Bart G.P.</au><au>Laborda, Trevor J.</au><au>Lee, Christine K.</au><au>Loomes, Kathleen M.</au><au>Martinez, Mercedes</au><au>Miethke, Alexander</au><au>Miloh, Tamir</au><au>Mogul, Douglas</au><au>Mohammad, Saeed</au><au>Mohan, Parvathi</au><au>Moroz, Stacy</au><au>Ovchinsky, Nadia</au><au>Palle, Sirish</au><au>Papadopoulou, Alexandra</au><au>Rao, Girish</au><au>Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre</au><au>Sathya, Pushpa</au><au>Schwarz, Kathleen B.</au><au>Shah, Uzma</au><au>Shteyer, Eyal</au><au>Singh, Ruchi</au><au>Smolka, Vratislav</au><au>Soufi, Nisreen</au><au>Tanaka, Atsushi</au><au>Varier, Raghu</au><au>Vitola, Bernadette</au><au>Woynarowski, Marek</au><au>Zerofsky, Melissa</au><au>Zizzo, Andréanne</au><au>Guthery, Stephen L.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics (SCOPE) Index: A Prognostic Tool for Children</atitle><jtitle>Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)</jtitle><addtitle>Hepatology</addtitle><date>2021-03</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>73</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>1074</spage><epage>1087</epage><pages>1074-1087</pages><issn>0270-9139</issn><issn>1527-3350</issn><eissn>1527-3350</eissn><abstract>Background and Aims Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk‐stratification tools exist for adult‐onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease stage of pediatric PSC. Approach and Results We used retrospective data from the Pediatric PSC Consortium. The training cohort contained 1,012 patients from 40 centers. We generated a multivariate risk index (Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics [SCOPE] index) that contained total bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, gamma glutamyltransferase, and cholangiography to predict a primary outcome of liver transplantation or death (TD) and a broader secondary outcome that included portal hypertensive, biliary, and cancer complications termed hepatobiliary complications (HBCs). The model stratified patients as low, medium, or high risk based on progression to TD at rates of &lt;1%, 3%, and 9% annually and to HBCs at rates of 2%, 6%, and 13% annually, respectively (P &lt; 0.001). C‐statistics to discriminate outcomes at 1 and 5 years were 0.95 and 0.82 for TD and 0.80 and 0.76 for HBCs, respectively. Baseline hepatic fibrosis stage was worse with increasing risk score, with extensive fibrosis in 8% of the lowest versus 100% with the highest risk index (P &lt; 0.001). The model was validated in 240 children from 11 additional centers and performed well. Conclusions The SCOPE index is a pediatric‐specific prognostic tool for PSC. It uses routinely obtained, objective data to predict a complicated clinical course. It correlates strongly with biopsy‐proven liver fibrosis. SCOPE can be used with families for shared decision making on clinical care based on a patient’s individual risk, and to account for variable disease progression when designing future clinical trials.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc</pub><pmid>32464706</pmid><doi>10.1002/hep.31393</doi><tpages>14</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6128-0155</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6350-2057</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8227-2004</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0459-9404</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6171-4731</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9538-3005</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects Adolescent
Bile
Bilirubin
Bilirubin - blood
Biopsy
Child
Children
Cholangiography
Cholangitis
Cholangitis, Sclerosing - diagnosis
Cholangitis, Sclerosing - mortality
Cholangitis, Sclerosing - pathology
Cholangitis, Sclerosing - surgery
Clinical trials
Decision making
Disease Progression
Female
Fibrosis
gamma-Glutamyltransferase - blood
Hepatology
Humans
Liver Transplantation
Male
Patients
Pediatrics
Platelet Count
Prognosis
Retrospective Studies
Risk Factors
Serum Albumin - analysis
title The Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics (SCOPE) Index: A Prognostic Tool for Children
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