A Mathematical Model of COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of Bangkok, Thailand

In this study, we propose a new mathematical model and analyze it to understand the transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Bangkok, Thailand. It is divided into seven compartmental classes, namely, susceptible S, exposed E, symptomatically infected Is, asymptomatically infected Ia, quaran...

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Veröffentlicht in:Computational and mathematical methods in medicine 2021, Vol.2021, p.6664483-11
Hauptverfasser: Riyapan, Pakwan, Shuaib, Sherif Eneye, Intarasit, Arthit
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Shuaib, Sherif Eneye
Intarasit, Arthit
description In this study, we propose a new mathematical model and analyze it to understand the transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Bangkok, Thailand. It is divided into seven compartmental classes, namely, susceptible S, exposed E, symptomatically infected Is, asymptomatically infected Ia, quarantined Q, recovered R, and death D, respectively. The next-generation matrix approach was used to compute the basic reproduction number denoted as Rcvd19 of the proposed model. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if Rcvd191. The mathematical analysis of the model is supported using numerical simulations. Moreover, the model’s analysis and numerical results prove that the consistent use of face masks would go on a long way in reducing the COVID-19 pandemic.
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subjects Basic Reproduction Number
Computer Simulation
COVID-19 - epidemiology
COVID-19 - prevention & control
COVID-19 - transmission
Disease Susceptibility
Humans
Masks
Mathematical Concepts
Models, Biological
Pandemics - prevention & control
Pandemics - statistics & numerical data
SARS-CoV-2
Thailand - epidemiology
title A Mathematical Model of COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of Bangkok, Thailand
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