Suppression gene drive in continuous space can result in unstable persistence of both drive and wild‐type alleles

Rapid evolutionary processes can produce drastically different outcomes when studied in panmictic population models vs. spatial models. One such process is gene drive, which describes the spread of “selfish” genetic elements through a population. Engineered gene drives are being considered for the s...

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Veröffentlicht in:Molecular ecology 2021-02, Vol.30 (4), p.1086-1101
Hauptverfasser: Champer, Jackson, Kim, Isabel K., Champer, Samuel E., Clark, Andrew G., Messer, Philipp W.
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container_end_page 1101
container_issue 4
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container_title Molecular ecology
container_volume 30
creator Champer, Jackson
Kim, Isabel K.
Champer, Samuel E.
Clark, Andrew G.
Messer, Philipp W.
description Rapid evolutionary processes can produce drastically different outcomes when studied in panmictic population models vs. spatial models. One such process is gene drive, which describes the spread of “selfish” genetic elements through a population. Engineered gene drives are being considered for the suppression of disease vectors or invasive species. While laboratory experiments and modelling in panmictic populations have shown that such drives can rapidly eliminate a population, it remains unclear if these results translate to natural environments where individuals inhabit a continuous landscape. Using spatially explicit simulations, we show that the release of a suppression drive can result in what we term “chasing” dynamics, in which wild‐type individuals recolonize areas where the drive has locally eliminated the population. Despite the drive subsequently reconquering these areas, complete population suppression often fails to occur or is substantially delayed. This increases the likelihood that the drive is lost or that resistance evolves. We analyse how chasing dynamics are influenced by the type of drive, its efficiency, fitness costs, and ecological factors such as the maximal growth rate of the population and levels of dispersal and inbreeding. We find that chasing is more common for lower efficiency drives when dispersal is low and that some drive mechanisms are substantially more prone to chasing behaviour than others. Our results demonstrate that the population dynamics of suppression gene drives are determined by a complex interplay of genetic and ecological factors, highlighting the need for realistic spatial modelling to predict the outcome of drive releases in natural populations.
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subjects Alleles
biotechnology
Disease Vectors
Dispersal
Dispersion
ecological genetics
Gene Drive Technology
genetically modified organisms
Growth rate
Humans
Inbreeding
Introduced species
Invasive species
Modelling
Models, Genetic
Natural populations
Population
Population Dynamics
population ecology
Population genetics
population genetics – theoretical
Population studies
Populations
title Suppression gene drive in continuous space can result in unstable persistence of both drive and wild‐type alleles
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