Risk factors associated with intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital death among adults hospitalized with COVID-19: a two-center retrospective observational study in tertiary care hospitals

Background The COVID-19 pandemic is straining the health care systems worldwide. Therefore, health systems should make strategic shifts to ensure that limited resources provide the highest benefit for COVID-19 patients. Objective This study aimed to describe the risk factors associated with poor in-...

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Veröffentlicht in:Emergency radiology 2021-08, Vol.28 (4), p.691-697
Hauptverfasser: Shayganfar, Azin, Sami, Ramin, Sadeghi, Somayeh, Dehghan, Mehrnegar, Khademi, Nilufar, Rikhtehgaran, Reyhaneh, Basiratnia, Reza, Ferdosi, Felora, Hajiahmadi, Somayeh
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container_end_page 697
container_issue 4
container_start_page 691
container_title Emergency radiology
container_volume 28
creator Shayganfar, Azin
Sami, Ramin
Sadeghi, Somayeh
Dehghan, Mehrnegar
Khademi, Nilufar
Rikhtehgaran, Reyhaneh
Basiratnia, Reza
Ferdosi, Felora
Hajiahmadi, Somayeh
description Background The COVID-19 pandemic is straining the health care systems worldwide. Therefore, health systems should make strategic shifts to ensure that limited resources provide the highest benefit for COVID-19 patients. Objective This study aimed to describe the risk factors associated with poor in-hospital outcomes to help clinicians make better patient care decisions. Material and methods This retrospective observational study enrolled 176 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients. Demographic characteristics, clinical data, lymphocyte count, CT imaging findings on admission, and clinical outcomes were collected and compared. Two radiologists evaluated the distribution and CT features of the lesions and also scored the extent of lung involvement. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimum cutoff point for possible effective variables on patients’ outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors associated with ICU admission and in-hospital death. Result Thirty-eight (21.5%) patients were either died or admitted to ICU from a total of 176 enrolled ones. The mean age of the patients was 57.5 ± 16.1 years (males: 61%). The best cutoff point for predicting poor outcomes based on age, CT score, and O 2 saturation was 60 years (sensitivity: 71%, specificity: 62%), 10.5 (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 58%), and 90.5% (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 59%), respectively. CT score cutoff point was rounded to 11 since this score contains only integer numbers. Multivariable-adjusted regression models revealed that ages of ≥ 60 years, CT score of ≥ 11, and O 2 saturation of ≤ 90.5% were associated with higher worse outcomes among study population (odds ratio (OR): 3.62, 95%CI: 1.35–9.67, P = 0.019; OR: 4.38, 95%CI: 1.69–11.35, P = 0.002; and OR: 2.78, 95%CI: 1.03–7.47, P = 0.042, respectively). Conclusion The findings indicate that older age, higher CT score, and lower O 2 saturation could be categorized as predictors of poor outcome among COVID-19-infected patients. Other studies are required to prove these associations.
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s10140-021-01903-8
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Therefore, health systems should make strategic shifts to ensure that limited resources provide the highest benefit for COVID-19 patients. Objective This study aimed to describe the risk factors associated with poor in-hospital outcomes to help clinicians make better patient care decisions. Material and methods This retrospective observational study enrolled 176 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients. Demographic characteristics, clinical data, lymphocyte count, CT imaging findings on admission, and clinical outcomes were collected and compared. Two radiologists evaluated the distribution and CT features of the lesions and also scored the extent of lung involvement. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimum cutoff point for possible effective variables on patients’ outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors associated with ICU admission and in-hospital death. Result Thirty-eight (21.5%) patients were either died or admitted to ICU from a total of 176 enrolled ones. The mean age of the patients was 57.5 ± 16.1 years (males: 61%). The best cutoff point for predicting poor outcomes based on age, CT score, and O 2 saturation was 60 years (sensitivity: 71%, specificity: 62%), 10.5 (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 58%), and 90.5% (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 59%), respectively. CT score cutoff point was rounded to 11 since this score contains only integer numbers. Multivariable-adjusted regression models revealed that ages of ≥ 60 years, CT score of ≥ 11, and O 2 saturation of ≤ 90.5% were associated with higher worse outcomes among study population (odds ratio (OR): 3.62, 95%CI: 1.35–9.67, P = 0.019; OR: 4.38, 95%CI: 1.69–11.35, P = 0.002; and OR: 2.78, 95%CI: 1.03–7.47, P = 0.042, respectively). Conclusion The findings indicate that older age, higher CT score, and lower O 2 saturation could be categorized as predictors of poor outcome among COVID-19-infected patients. Other studies are required to prove these associations.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1070-3004</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1438-1435</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s10140-021-01903-8</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33534017</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Cham: Springer International Publishing</publisher><subject>Age ; Computed tomography ; Coronaviruses ; COVID-19 ; COVID-19 - mortality ; Emergency Medicine ; Female ; Hospital Mortality ; Humans ; Imaging ; Intensive Care Units - statistics &amp; numerical data ; Iran - epidemiology ; Lymphocytes ; Male ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Middle Aged ; Observational studies ; Original ; Original Article ; Pandemics ; Patients ; Pneumonia, Viral - mortality ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Radiology ; Regression models ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk analysis ; Risk Factors ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Saturation ; Sensitivity ; Tertiary Care Centers</subject><ispartof>Emergency radiology, 2021-08, Vol.28 (4), p.691-697</ispartof><rights>American Society of Emergency Radiology 2021. corrected publication 2021</rights><rights>2021. American Society of Emergency Radiology.</rights><rights>American Society of Emergency Radiology 2021. corrected publication 2021.</rights><rights>American Society of Emergency Radiology 2021, corrected publication 2021</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c474t-c04a6ffdaf3cc55ce21ce637e74a82c6c2dff22260d744c2ca0b8aceeb376ffd3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c474t-c04a6ffdaf3cc55ce21ce637e74a82c6c2dff22260d744c2ca0b8aceeb376ffd3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-9367-268X ; 0000-0002-7521-4631 ; 0000-0002-8654-4548</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10140-021-01903-8$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10140-021-01903-8$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27923,27924,41487,42556,51318</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33534017$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Shayganfar, Azin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sami, Ramin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sadeghi, Somayeh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dehghan, Mehrnegar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Khademi, Nilufar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rikhtehgaran, Reyhaneh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Basiratnia, Reza</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferdosi, Felora</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hajiahmadi, Somayeh</creatorcontrib><title>Risk factors associated with intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital death among adults hospitalized with COVID-19: a two-center retrospective observational study in tertiary care hospitals</title><title>Emergency radiology</title><addtitle>Emerg Radiol</addtitle><addtitle>Emerg Radiol</addtitle><description>Background The COVID-19 pandemic is straining the health care systems worldwide. Therefore, health systems should make strategic shifts to ensure that limited resources provide the highest benefit for COVID-19 patients. Objective This study aimed to describe the risk factors associated with poor in-hospital outcomes to help clinicians make better patient care decisions. Material and methods This retrospective observational study enrolled 176 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients. Demographic characteristics, clinical data, lymphocyte count, CT imaging findings on admission, and clinical outcomes were collected and compared. Two radiologists evaluated the distribution and CT features of the lesions and also scored the extent of lung involvement. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimum cutoff point for possible effective variables on patients’ outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors associated with ICU admission and in-hospital death. Result Thirty-eight (21.5%) patients were either died or admitted to ICU from a total of 176 enrolled ones. The mean age of the patients was 57.5 ± 16.1 years (males: 61%). The best cutoff point for predicting poor outcomes based on age, CT score, and O 2 saturation was 60 years (sensitivity: 71%, specificity: 62%), 10.5 (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 58%), and 90.5% (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 59%), respectively. CT score cutoff point was rounded to 11 since this score contains only integer numbers. Multivariable-adjusted regression models revealed that ages of ≥ 60 years, CT score of ≥ 11, and O 2 saturation of ≤ 90.5% were associated with higher worse outcomes among study population (odds ratio (OR): 3.62, 95%CI: 1.35–9.67, P = 0.019; OR: 4.38, 95%CI: 1.69–11.35, P = 0.002; and OR: 2.78, 95%CI: 1.03–7.47, P = 0.042, respectively). Conclusion The findings indicate that older age, higher CT score, and lower O 2 saturation could be categorized as predictors of poor outcome among COVID-19-infected patients. 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Sami, Ramin ; Sadeghi, Somayeh ; Dehghan, Mehrnegar ; Khademi, Nilufar ; Rikhtehgaran, Reyhaneh ; Basiratnia, Reza ; Ferdosi, Felora ; Hajiahmadi, Somayeh</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c474t-c04a6ffdaf3cc55ce21ce637e74a82c6c2dff22260d744c2ca0b8aceeb376ffd3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Age</topic><topic>Computed tomography</topic><topic>Coronaviruses</topic><topic>COVID-19</topic><topic>COVID-19 - mortality</topic><topic>Emergency Medicine</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Hospital Mortality</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Imaging</topic><topic>Intensive Care Units - statistics &amp; numerical data</topic><topic>Iran - epidemiology</topic><topic>Lymphocytes</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Medicine &amp; Public Health</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Observational studies</topic><topic>Original</topic><topic>Original Article</topic><topic>Pandemics</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Pneumonia, Viral - mortality</topic><topic>Predictive Value of Tests</topic><topic>Radiology</topic><topic>Regression models</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Risk analysis</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>SARS-CoV-2</topic><topic>Saturation</topic><topic>Sensitivity</topic><topic>Tertiary Care Centers</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Shayganfar, Azin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sami, Ramin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sadeghi, Somayeh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dehghan, Mehrnegar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Khademi, Nilufar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rikhtehgaran, Reyhaneh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Basiratnia, Reza</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferdosi, Felora</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hajiahmadi, Somayeh</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; 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Therefore, health systems should make strategic shifts to ensure that limited resources provide the highest benefit for COVID-19 patients. Objective This study aimed to describe the risk factors associated with poor in-hospital outcomes to help clinicians make better patient care decisions. Material and methods This retrospective observational study enrolled 176 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients. Demographic characteristics, clinical data, lymphocyte count, CT imaging findings on admission, and clinical outcomes were collected and compared. Two radiologists evaluated the distribution and CT features of the lesions and also scored the extent of lung involvement. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimum cutoff point for possible effective variables on patients’ outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors associated with ICU admission and in-hospital death. Result Thirty-eight (21.5%) patients were either died or admitted to ICU from a total of 176 enrolled ones. The mean age of the patients was 57.5 ± 16.1 years (males: 61%). The best cutoff point for predicting poor outcomes based on age, CT score, and O 2 saturation was 60 years (sensitivity: 71%, specificity: 62%), 10.5 (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 58%), and 90.5% (sensitivity: 73%, specificity: 59%), respectively. CT score cutoff point was rounded to 11 since this score contains only integer numbers. Multivariable-adjusted regression models revealed that ages of ≥ 60 years, CT score of ≥ 11, and O 2 saturation of ≤ 90.5% were associated with higher worse outcomes among study population (odds ratio (OR): 3.62, 95%CI: 1.35–9.67, P = 0.019; OR: 4.38, 95%CI: 1.69–11.35, P = 0.002; and OR: 2.78, 95%CI: 1.03–7.47, P = 0.042, respectively). Conclusion The findings indicate that older age, higher CT score, and lower O 2 saturation could be categorized as predictors of poor outcome among COVID-19-infected patients. Other studies are required to prove these associations.</abstract><cop>Cham</cop><pub>Springer International Publishing</pub><pmid>33534017</pmid><doi>10.1007/s10140-021-01903-8</doi><tpages>7</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9367-268X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7521-4631</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8654-4548</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Age
Computed tomography
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
COVID-19 - mortality
Emergency Medicine
Female
Hospital Mortality
Humans
Imaging
Intensive Care Units - statistics & numerical data
Iran - epidemiology
Lymphocytes
Male
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Middle Aged
Observational studies
Original
Original Article
Pandemics
Patients
Pneumonia, Viral - mortality
Predictive Value of Tests
Radiology
Regression models
Retrospective Studies
Risk analysis
Risk Factors
SARS-CoV-2
Saturation
Sensitivity
Tertiary Care Centers
title Risk factors associated with intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital death among adults hospitalized with COVID-19: a two-center retrospective observational study in tertiary care hospitals
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