Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil

Brazil is one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in al...

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Veröffentlicht in:Scientific reports 2020-10, Vol.10 (1), p.16246-16246, Article 16246
Hauptverfasser: da Silva Junior, Carlos Antonio, Teodoro, Paulo Eduardo, Delgado, Rafael Coll, Teodoro, Larissa Pereira Ribeiro, Lima, Mendelson, de Andréa Pantaleão, Ariane, Baio, Fabio Henrique Rojo, de Azevedo, Gileno Brito, de Oliveira Sousa Azevedo, Glauce Taís, Capristo-Silva, Guilherme Fernando, Arvor, Damien, Facco, Cassiele Uliana
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container_issue 1
container_start_page 16246
container_title Scientific reports
container_volume 10
creator da Silva Junior, Carlos Antonio
Teodoro, Paulo Eduardo
Delgado, Rafael Coll
Teodoro, Larissa Pereira Ribeiro
Lima, Mendelson
de Andréa Pantaleão, Ariane
Baio, Fabio Henrique Rojo
de Azevedo, Gileno Brito
de Oliveira Sousa Azevedo, Glauce Taís
Capristo-Silva, Guilherme Fernando
Arvor, Damien
Facco, Cassiele Uliana
description Brazil is one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in all Brazilian biomes (i.e., Amazon, Cerrado, Caatinga, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and Pampa). We analyzed these variables using cluster analysis and non-parametric statistics to predict carbon and CO 2 emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. To reduce GHG emissions, Brazil will need to control deforestation induced by the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This can only be achieved through significant political effort involving the government, entrepreneurs and society as a collective.
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41598-020-72571-w
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Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in all Brazilian biomes (i.e., Amazon, Cerrado, Caatinga, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and Pampa). We analyzed these variables using cluster analysis and non-parametric statistics to predict carbon and CO 2 emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. 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subjects 704/106
704/172
Carbon
Carbon dioxide
Carbon dioxide emissions
Deforestation
Ecosystems
Emissions control
Environment and Society
Environmental Sciences
Farm buildings
Geography
Greenhouse effect
Greenhouse gases
Humanities and Social Sciences
multidisciplinary
Paris Agreement
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Statistical analysis
title Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil
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