Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil
Brazil is one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in al...
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creator | da Silva Junior, Carlos Antonio Teodoro, Paulo Eduardo Delgado, Rafael Coll Teodoro, Larissa Pereira Ribeiro Lima, Mendelson de Andréa Pantaleão, Ariane Baio, Fabio Henrique Rojo de Azevedo, Gileno Brito de Oliveira Sousa Azevedo, Glauce Taís Capristo-Silva, Guilherme Fernando Arvor, Damien Facco, Cassiele Uliana |
description | Brazil is one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in all Brazilian biomes (i.e., Amazon, Cerrado, Caatinga, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and Pampa). We analyzed these variables using cluster analysis and non-parametric statistics to predict carbon and CO
2
emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. To reduce GHG emissions, Brazil will need to control deforestation induced by the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This can only be achieved through significant political effort involving the government, entrepreneurs and society as a collective. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1038/s41598-020-72571-w |
format | Article |
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2
emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. To reduce GHG emissions, Brazil will need to control deforestation induced by the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This can only be achieved through significant political effort involving the government, entrepreneurs and society as a collective.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2045-2322</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2045-2322</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-72571-w</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33004818</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>London: Nature Publishing Group UK</publisher><subject>704/106 ; 704/172 ; Carbon ; Carbon dioxide ; Carbon dioxide emissions ; Deforestation ; Ecosystems ; Emissions control ; Environment and Society ; Environmental Sciences ; Farm buildings ; Geography ; Greenhouse effect ; Greenhouse gases ; Humanities and Social Sciences ; multidisciplinary ; Paris Agreement ; Science ; Science (multidisciplinary) ; Statistical analysis</subject><ispartof>Scientific reports, 2020-10, Vol.10 (1), p.16246-16246, Article 16246</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2020</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2020. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c541t-5b84e20ea551b29d09eed7beb57b494f65c8b79aeb8591b7db37dd98b6df42533</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c541t-5b84e20ea551b29d09eed7beb57b494f65c8b79aeb8591b7db37dd98b6df42533</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-9284-534X ; 0000-0002-8236-542X ; 0000-0002-3017-9625 ; 0000-0002-8121-0119</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7529887/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7529887/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,727,780,784,864,885,27924,27925,41120,42189,51576,53791,53793</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://shs.hal.science/halshs-03093445$$DView record in HAL$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>da Silva Junior, Carlos Antonio</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Teodoro, Paulo Eduardo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Delgado, Rafael Coll</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Teodoro, Larissa Pereira Ribeiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lima, Mendelson</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>de Andréa Pantaleão, Ariane</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Baio, Fabio Henrique Rojo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>de Azevedo, Gileno Brito</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>de Oliveira Sousa Azevedo, Glauce Taís</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Capristo-Silva, Guilherme Fernando</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Arvor, Damien</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Facco, Cassiele Uliana</creatorcontrib><title>Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil</title><title>Scientific reports</title><addtitle>Sci Rep</addtitle><description>Brazil is one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in all Brazilian biomes (i.e., Amazon, Cerrado, Caatinga, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and Pampa). We analyzed these variables using cluster analysis and non-parametric statistics to predict carbon and CO
2
emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. To reduce GHG emissions, Brazil will need to control deforestation induced by the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. 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fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil</title><author>da Silva Junior, Carlos Antonio ; Teodoro, Paulo Eduardo ; Delgado, Rafael Coll ; Teodoro, Larissa Pereira Ribeiro ; Lima, Mendelson ; de Andréa Pantaleão, Ariane ; Baio, Fabio Henrique Rojo ; de Azevedo, Gileno Brito ; de Oliveira Sousa Azevedo, Glauce Taís ; Capristo-Silva, Guilherme Fernando ; Arvor, Damien ; Facco, Cassiele Uliana</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c541t-5b84e20ea551b29d09eed7beb57b494f65c8b79aeb8591b7db37dd98b6df42533</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>704/106</topic><topic>704/172</topic><topic>Carbon</topic><topic>Carbon dioxide</topic><topic>Carbon dioxide emissions</topic><topic>Deforestation</topic><topic>Ecosystems</topic><topic>Emissions control</topic><topic>Environment and Society</topic><topic>Environmental Sciences</topic><topic>Farm 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Brito</au><au>de Oliveira Sousa Azevedo, Glauce Taís</au><au>Capristo-Silva, Guilherme Fernando</au><au>Arvor, Damien</au><au>Facco, Cassiele Uliana</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil</atitle><jtitle>Scientific reports</jtitle><stitle>Sci Rep</stitle><date>2020-10-01</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>10</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>16246</spage><epage>16246</epage><pages>16246-16246</pages><artnum>16246</artnum><issn>2045-2322</issn><eissn>2045-2322</eissn><abstract>Brazil is one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in all Brazilian biomes (i.e., Amazon, Cerrado, Caatinga, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and Pampa). We analyzed these variables using cluster analysis and non-parametric statistics to predict carbon and CO
2
emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. To reduce GHG emissions, Brazil will need to control deforestation induced by the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This can only be achieved through significant political effort involving the government, entrepreneurs and society as a collective.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>33004818</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41598-020-72571-w</doi><tpages>1</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9284-534X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8236-542X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3017-9625</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8121-0119</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | 704/106 704/172 Carbon Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide emissions Deforestation Ecosystems Emissions control Environment and Society Environmental Sciences Farm buildings Geography Greenhouse effect Greenhouse gases Humanities and Social Sciences multidisciplinary Paris Agreement Science Science (multidisciplinary) Statistical analysis |
title | Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil |
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