A data-driven medication score predicts 10-year mortality among aging adults

Health differences among the elderly and the role of medical treatments are topical issues in aging societies. We demonstrate the use of modern statistical learning methods to develop a data-driven health measure based on 21 years of pharmacy purchase and mortality data of 12,047 aging individuals....

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Veröffentlicht in:Scientific reports 2020-09, Vol.10 (1), p.15760-15760, Article 15760
Hauptverfasser: Häppölä, Paavo, Havulinna, Aki S., Tasa, Tõnis, Mars, Nina J., Perola, Markus, Kallela, Mikko, Milani, Lili, Koskinen, Seppo, Salomaa, Veikko, Neale, Benjamin M., Palotie, Aarno, Daly, Mark, Ripatti, Samuli
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container_title Scientific reports
container_volume 10
creator Häppölä, Paavo
Havulinna, Aki S.
Tasa, Tõnis
Mars, Nina J.
Perola, Markus
Kallela, Mikko
Milani, Lili
Koskinen, Seppo
Salomaa, Veikko
Neale, Benjamin M.
Palotie, Aarno
Daly, Mark
Ripatti, Samuli
description Health differences among the elderly and the role of medical treatments are topical issues in aging societies. We demonstrate the use of modern statistical learning methods to develop a data-driven health measure based on 21 years of pharmacy purchase and mortality data of 12,047 aging individuals. The resulting score was validated with 33,616 individuals from two fully independent datasets and it is strongly associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.18 per point increase in score; 95% CI 1.14–1.22; p = 2.25e−16). When combined with Charlson comorbidity index, individuals with elevated medication score and comorbidity index had over six times higher risk (HR 6.30; 95% CI 3.84–10.3; AUC = 0.802) compared to individuals with a protective score profile. Alone, the medication score performs similarly to the Charlson comorbidity index and is associated with polygenic risk for coronary heart disease and type 2 diabetes.
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41598-020-72045-z
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subjects 631/208/212
639/705/531
692/499
692/700/478
Age of Onset
Aged
Aging
Biostatistics - methods
Comorbidity
Female
Genetic Predisposition to Disease
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Longitudinal Studies
Male
Middle Aged
Mortality
multidisciplinary
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Time Factors
title A data-driven medication score predicts 10-year mortality among aging adults
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