Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Older Patients With COVID-19: The COVIDAge Study

To determine predictors of in-hospital mortality related to COVID-19 in older patients. Retrospective cohort study. Patients aged 65 years and older hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19. Data from hospital admission were collected from the electronic medical records. Logistic regression and Cox...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of the American Medical Directors Association 2020-11, Vol.21 (11), p.1546-1554.e3
Hauptverfasser: Mendes, Aline, Serratrice, Christine, Herrmann, François R., Genton, Laurence, Périvier, Samuel, Scheffler, Max, Fassier, Thomas, Huber, Philippe, Jacques, Marie-Claire, Prendki, Virginie, Roux, Xavier, Di Silvestro, Katharine, Trombert, Véronique, Harbarth, Stephan, Gold, Gabriel, Graf, Christophe E., Zekry, Dina
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container_issue 11
container_start_page 1546
container_title Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
container_volume 21
creator Mendes, Aline
Serratrice, Christine
Herrmann, François R.
Genton, Laurence
Périvier, Samuel
Scheffler, Max
Fassier, Thomas
Huber, Philippe
Jacques, Marie-Claire
Prendki, Virginie
Roux, Xavier
Di Silvestro, Katharine
Trombert, Véronique
Harbarth, Stephan
Gold, Gabriel
Graf, Christophe E.
Zekry, Dina
description To determine predictors of in-hospital mortality related to COVID-19 in older patients. Retrospective cohort study. Patients aged 65 years and older hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19. Data from hospital admission were collected from the electronic medical records. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict mortality, our primary outcome. Variables at hospital admission were categorized according to the following domains: demographics, clinical history, comorbidities, previous treatment, clinical status, vital signs, clinical scales and scores, routine laboratory analysis, and imaging results. Of a total of 235 Caucasian patients, 43% were male, with a mean age of 86 ± 6.5 years. Seventy-six patients (32%) died. Nonsurvivors had a shorter number of days from initial symptoms to hospitalization (P = .007) and the length of stay in acute wards than survivors (P 
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.09.014
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Retrospective cohort study. Patients aged 65 years and older hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19. Data from hospital admission were collected from the electronic medical records. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict mortality, our primary outcome. Variables at hospital admission were categorized according to the following domains: demographics, clinical history, comorbidities, previous treatment, clinical status, vital signs, clinical scales and scores, routine laboratory analysis, and imaging results. Of a total of 235 Caucasian patients, 43% were male, with a mean age of 86 ± 6.5 years. Seventy-six patients (32%) died. Nonsurvivors had a shorter number of days from initial symptoms to hospitalization (P = .007) and the length of stay in acute wards than survivors (P < .001). Similarly, they had a higher prevalence of heart failure (P = .044), peripheral artery disease (P = .009), crackles at clinical status (P < .001), respiratory rate (P = .005), oxygen support needs (P < .001), C-reactive protein (P < .001), bilateral and peripheral infiltrates on chest radiographs (P = .001), and a lower prevalence of headache (P = .009). Furthermore, nonsurvivors were more often frail (P < .001), with worse functional status (P < .001), higher comorbidity burden (P < .001), and delirium at admission (P = .007). A multivariable Cox model showed that male sex (HR 4.00, 95% CI 2.08-7.71, P < .001), increased fraction of inspired oxygen (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09, P < .001), and crackles (HR 2.42, 95% CI 1.15-6.06, P = .019) were the best predictors of mortality, while better functional status was protective (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99, P = .001). In older patients hospitalized for COVID-19, male sex, crackles, a higher fraction of inspired oxygen, and functionality were independent risk factors of mortality. These routine parameters, and not differences in age, should be used to evaluate prognosis in older patients.]]></description><identifier>ISSN: 1525-8610</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1538-9375</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.09.014</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33138936</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Betacoronavirus ; Comorbidity ; Coronavirus Infections - mortality ; COVID-19 ; Female ; Forecasting ; Geriatrics ; Hospital Mortality - trends ; Humans ; Male ; Mortality ; older patients ; Pandemics ; Pneumonia, Viral - mortality ; Prognosis ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Retrospective Studies ; SARS-CoV-2</subject><ispartof>Journal of the American Medical Directors Association, 2020-11, Vol.21 (11), p.1546-1554.e3</ispartof><rights>2020 AMDA – The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine</rights><rights>Copyright © 2020 AMDA – The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine. 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All rights reserved.</rights><rights>2020 AMDA - The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine. 2020 AMDA – The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c459t-754b293b1ac596faf469cedca9af802241445b264209ad252b5ed1869fe2a1593</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c459t-754b293b1ac596faf469cedca9af802241445b264209ad252b5ed1869fe2a1593</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2020.09.014$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,3550,27924,27925,45995</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33138936$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Mendes, Aline</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Serratrice, Christine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Herrmann, François R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Genton, Laurence</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Périvier, Samuel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Scheffler, Max</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fassier, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huber, Philippe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jacques, Marie-Claire</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Prendki, Virginie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Roux, Xavier</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Di Silvestro, Katharine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Trombert, Véronique</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Harbarth, Stephan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gold, Gabriel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Graf, Christophe E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zekry, Dina</creatorcontrib><title>Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Older Patients With COVID-19: The COVIDAge Study</title><title>Journal of the American Medical Directors Association</title><addtitle>J Am Med Dir Assoc</addtitle><description><![CDATA[To determine predictors of in-hospital mortality related to COVID-19 in older patients. Retrospective cohort study. Patients aged 65 years and older hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19. Data from hospital admission were collected from the electronic medical records. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict mortality, our primary outcome. Variables at hospital admission were categorized according to the following domains: demographics, clinical history, comorbidities, previous treatment, clinical status, vital signs, clinical scales and scores, routine laboratory analysis, and imaging results. Of a total of 235 Caucasian patients, 43% were male, with a mean age of 86 ± 6.5 years. Seventy-six patients (32%) died. Nonsurvivors had a shorter number of days from initial symptoms to hospitalization (P = .007) and the length of stay in acute wards than survivors (P < .001). Similarly, they had a higher prevalence of heart failure (P = .044), peripheral artery disease (P = .009), crackles at clinical status (P < .001), respiratory rate (P = .005), oxygen support needs (P < .001), C-reactive protein (P < .001), bilateral and peripheral infiltrates on chest radiographs (P = .001), and a lower prevalence of headache (P = .009). Furthermore, nonsurvivors were more often frail (P < .001), with worse functional status (P < .001), higher comorbidity burden (P < .001), and delirium at admission (P = .007). A multivariable Cox model showed that male sex (HR 4.00, 95% CI 2.08-7.71, P < .001), increased fraction of inspired oxygen (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09, P < .001), and crackles (HR 2.42, 95% CI 1.15-6.06, P = .019) were the best predictors of mortality, while better functional status was protective (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99, P = .001). In older patients hospitalized for COVID-19, male sex, crackles, a higher fraction of inspired oxygen, and functionality were independent risk factors of mortality. These routine parameters, and not differences in age, should be used to evaluate prognosis in older patients.]]></description><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Betacoronavirus</subject><subject>Comorbidity</subject><subject>Coronavirus Infections - mortality</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Forecasting</subject><subject>Geriatrics</subject><subject>Hospital Mortality - trends</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>older patients</subject><subject>Pandemics</subject><subject>Pneumonia, Viral - mortality</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Proportional Hazards Models</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>SARS-CoV-2</subject><issn>1525-8610</issn><issn>1538-9375</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp9UV1PGzEQtFARUNpfgIT82Je7-vPuthJIKNASCRSk0vJo-Xw-4uhyDraDlH9fp6GovPC0u9qZ2dUMQieUlJTQ6uuiXOhlp0tGGCkJlISKPXREJW8K4LX8sO2ZLJqKkkP0McYFyUAK1QE65JzyBnh1hB7ugu2cST5E7Hs8HYtrH1cu6QHf-pCLSxvsRjwbOhvwnU7OjiniB5fmeDL7Pb0sKHzD93O7my4eLf6Z1t3mE9rv9RDt55d6jH59v7qfXBc3sx_TycVNYYSEVNRStAx4S7WRUPW6FxUY2xkNum8IY4IKIVtWCUZAd0yyVtqONhX0lmkqgR-j853uat0uMzF_F_SgVsEtddgor516uxndXD36Z1ULoAB1FvjyIhD809rGpJYuGjsMerR-HRUTsuYku9VkKN9BTfAxBtu_nqFEbSNRC_U3ErWNRBFQOZLMOv3_w1fOvwwy4GwHsNmnZ2eDiia7nG1wwZqkOu_ePfAHRGCc6w</recordid><startdate>20201101</startdate><enddate>20201101</enddate><creator>Mendes, Aline</creator><creator>Serratrice, Christine</creator><creator>Herrmann, François R.</creator><creator>Genton, Laurence</creator><creator>Périvier, Samuel</creator><creator>Scheffler, Max</creator><creator>Fassier, Thomas</creator><creator>Huber, Philippe</creator><creator>Jacques, Marie-Claire</creator><creator>Prendki, Virginie</creator><creator>Roux, Xavier</creator><creator>Di Silvestro, Katharine</creator><creator>Trombert, Véronique</creator><creator>Harbarth, Stephan</creator><creator>Gold, Gabriel</creator><creator>Graf, Christophe E.</creator><creator>Zekry, Dina</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><general>AMDA - The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20201101</creationdate><title>Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Older Patients With COVID-19: The COVIDAge Study</title><author>Mendes, Aline ; 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Retrospective cohort study. Patients aged 65 years and older hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19. Data from hospital admission were collected from the electronic medical records. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict mortality, our primary outcome. Variables at hospital admission were categorized according to the following domains: demographics, clinical history, comorbidities, previous treatment, clinical status, vital signs, clinical scales and scores, routine laboratory analysis, and imaging results. Of a total of 235 Caucasian patients, 43% were male, with a mean age of 86 ± 6.5 years. Seventy-six patients (32%) died. Nonsurvivors had a shorter number of days from initial symptoms to hospitalization (P = .007) and the length of stay in acute wards than survivors (P < .001). Similarly, they had a higher prevalence of heart failure (P = .044), peripheral artery disease (P = .009), crackles at clinical status (P < .001), respiratory rate (P = .005), oxygen support needs (P < .001), C-reactive protein (P < .001), bilateral and peripheral infiltrates on chest radiographs (P = .001), and a lower prevalence of headache (P = .009). Furthermore, nonsurvivors were more often frail (P < .001), with worse functional status (P < .001), higher comorbidity burden (P < .001), and delirium at admission (P = .007). A multivariable Cox model showed that male sex (HR 4.00, 95% CI 2.08-7.71, P < .001), increased fraction of inspired oxygen (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09, P < .001), and crackles (HR 2.42, 95% CI 1.15-6.06, P = .019) were the best predictors of mortality, while better functional status was protective (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99, P = .001). In older patients hospitalized for COVID-19, male sex, crackles, a higher fraction of inspired oxygen, and functionality were independent risk factors of mortality. These routine parameters, and not differences in age, should be used to evaluate prognosis in older patients.]]></abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>33138936</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.jamda.2020.09.014</doi><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Betacoronavirus
Comorbidity
Coronavirus Infections - mortality
COVID-19
Female
Forecasting
Geriatrics
Hospital Mortality - trends
Humans
Male
Mortality
older patients
Pandemics
Pneumonia, Viral - mortality
Prognosis
Proportional Hazards Models
Retrospective Studies
SARS-CoV-2
title Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Older Patients With COVID-19: The COVIDAge Study
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