Spatiotemporal dynamics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Jiangxi province, China

Historically, Jiangxi province has had the largest HFRS burden in China. However, thus far, the comprehensive understanding of the spatiotemporal distributions of HFRS is limited in Jiangxi. In this study, seasonal decomposition analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and space–time scan statist...

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Veröffentlicht in:Scientific reports 2020-08, Vol.10 (1), p.14291-14291, Article 14291
Hauptverfasser: Yang, Shu, Gao, Yuan, Liu, Xiaobo, Liu, Xiaoqing, Liu, Yangqing, Metelmann, Soeren, Yuan, Chenying, Yue, Yujuan, Chen, Shengen, Liu, Qiyong
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container_title Scientific reports
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creator Yang, Shu
Gao, Yuan
Liu, Xiaobo
Liu, Xiaoqing
Liu, Yangqing
Metelmann, Soeren
Yuan, Chenying
Yue, Yujuan
Chen, Shengen
Liu, Qiyong
description Historically, Jiangxi province has had the largest HFRS burden in China. However, thus far, the comprehensive understanding of the spatiotemporal distributions of HFRS is limited in Jiangxi. In this study, seasonal decomposition analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and space–time scan statistic analyses were performed to detect the spatiotemporal dynamics distribution of HFRS cases from 2005 to 2018 in Jiangxi at the county scale. The epidemic of HFRS showed the characteristic of bi-peak seasonality, the primary peak in winter (November to January) and the second peak in early summer (May to June), and the amplitude and the magnitude of HFRS outbreaks have been increasing. The results of global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the HFRS epidemic exhibited the characteristic of highly spatially heterogeneous, and Anyi, Fengxin, Yifeng, Shanggao, Jing’an and Gao’an county were hot spots areas. A most likely cluster, and two secondary likely clusters were detected in 14-years duration. The higher risk areas of the HFRS outbreak were mainly located in Jiangxi northern hilly state, spreading to Wuyi mountain hilly state as time advanced. This study provided valuable information for local public health authorities to design and implement effective measures for the control and prevention of HFRS.
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subjects 639/705
692/699
704/172
704/844
Adolescent
Adult
China - epidemiology
Cluster Analysis
Disease control
Disease hot spots
Disease prevention
Epidemics
Epidemics - statistics & numerical data
Epidemiology
Ethics
Female
Fever
Hemorrhage
Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome
Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome - epidemiology
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Infectious diseases
Laboratories
Male
Middle Aged
multidisciplinary
Outbreaks
Public health
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Seasonal variations
Seasons
Software
Spatial analysis
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Statistics
Young Adult
title Spatiotemporal dynamics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Jiangxi province, China
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