Simulation‐based estimation of the early spread of COVID‐19 in Iran: actual versus confirmed cases

Understanding the state of the COVID‐19 pandemic relies on infection and mortality data. Yet official data may underestimate the actual cases due to limited symptoms and testing capacity. We offer a simulation‐based approach which combines various sources of data to estimate the magnitude of outbrea...

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Veröffentlicht in:	System dynamics review 2020-01, Vol.36 (1), p.101-129
Hauptverfasser:	Ghaffarzadegan, Navid, Rahmandad, Hazhir
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	coronavirus COVID-19 Data science Epidemics Fast Track health care Outbreaks Pandemics public policy simulation System dynamics Viral diseases
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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