Two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spreading of a novel virus from the outbreak epicentre. The case of COVID-19

We present two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spread of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 from the outbreak epicentre. One model aims to calculate the number of cases that would be exported from an endemic country to disease-free regions by travellers. The...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Epidemiology and infection 2020-01, Vol.148, p.e109-e109, Article e109
Hauptverfasser:	Massad, Eduardo, Amaku, Marcos, Wilder-Smith, Annelies, Costa dos Santos, Paulo Cesar, Struchiner, Claudio Jose, Coutinho, Francisco Antonio Bezerra
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Betacoronavirus Coronavirus Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronaviruses COVID-19 Disease Outbreaks Disease transmission Exports Humans Importation Infections mathematical modelling Mathematical models Models, Theoretical Mortality Original Paper Outbreaks Pandemics Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology Population Probability Risk SARS-CoV-2 Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Travel Travellers Viral diseases Viruses
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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