Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Human Brucellosis in China, 1950-2018
The rate of brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, has rapidly increased in humans brucellosis(HB) in recent years. In 1950-2018, a total of 684,380 HB cases (median 2274/year (interquartile range (IQR) 966-8325)) were reported to the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in mainland China. The...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | International journal of environmental research and public health 2020-03, Vol.17 (7), p.2382 |
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| creator | Yang, Huixin Zhang, Siwen Wang, Taijun Zhao, Chenhao Zhang, Xiangyi Hu, Jing Han, Chenyu Hu, Fangfang Luo, Jingjing Li, Biao Zhao, Wei Li, Kewei Wang, Ying Zhen, Qing |
| description | The rate of brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, has rapidly increased in humans brucellosis(HB) in recent years. In 1950-2018, a total of 684,380 HB cases (median 2274/year (interquartile range (IQR) 966-8325)) were reported to the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in mainland China. The incidence of HB peaked in 2014 (4.32/100,000), and then showed a downward trend; we predict that it will maintain a steady downward trend in 2019-2020. Since 2015, the incidence of HB has shown opposite trends in the north and south of China; rates in the north have fallen and rates in the south have increased. In 2004-2018, the most significant increases in incidence of HB were in Yunnan (IQR 0.002-0.463/100,000), Hubei (IQR 0.000-0.338/100,000), and Guangdong (IQR 0.015-0.350/100,000). The areas where HB occurs have little overlap with areas with high per capita GDP in China. The "high-high" clusters of HB are located in northeastern China (Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Ningxia, Shanxi, and Gansu), and the "low-low" clusters of HB are located in southern China (Yunnan, Jiangxi, Shanghai, Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Guizhou, and Hunan). In recent years, the incidence of HB in China has been controlled to some extent, but the incidence of HB has increased in southern China, and the disease has spread geographically in China from north to south. Further research is needed to address this change and to continue to explore the relationship between the incidence of HB and relevant factors. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.3390/ijerph17072382 |
| format | Article |
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In 1950-2018, a total of 684,380 HB cases (median 2274/year (interquartile range (IQR) 966-8325)) were reported to the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in mainland China. The incidence of HB peaked in 2014 (4.32/100,000), and then showed a downward trend; we predict that it will maintain a steady downward trend in 2019-2020. Since 2015, the incidence of HB has shown opposite trends in the north and south of China; rates in the north have fallen and rates in the south have increased. In 2004-2018, the most significant increases in incidence of HB were in Yunnan (IQR 0.002-0.463/100,000), Hubei (IQR 0.000-0.338/100,000), and Guangdong (IQR 0.015-0.350/100,000). The areas where HB occurs have little overlap with areas with high per capita GDP in China. The "high-high" clusters of HB are located in northeastern China (Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Ningxia, Shanxi, and Gansu), and the "low-low" clusters of HB are located in southern China (Yunnan, Jiangxi, Shanghai, Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Guizhou, and Hunan). In recent years, the incidence of HB in China has been controlled to some extent, but the incidence of HB has increased in southern China, and the disease has spread geographically in China from north to south. Further research is needed to address this change and to continue to explore the relationship between the incidence of HB and relevant factors.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1660-4601</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1661-7827</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1660-4601</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17072382</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32244493</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Switzerland: MDPI AG</publisher><subject>Animals ; Breeding of animals ; Brucellosis ; Brucellosis - epidemiology ; Cattle ; China - epidemiology ; Disease control ; Disease prevention ; Epidemiology ; GDP ; Geography ; Gross Domestic Product ; Health surveillance ; Humans ; Incidence ; Infectious diseases ; Livestock ; Per capita ; Provinces ; Public health ; Seasons ; Sheep ; Software ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Statistical analysis ; Trend analysis ; Zoonoses</subject><ispartof>International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020-03, Vol.17 (7), p.2382</ispartof><rights>2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2020 by the authors. 2020</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c418t-61bf4358ba6367a0e3443dff8dc25469785c9f2fdf0501aa796471635d92bc233</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c418t-61bf4358ba6367a0e3443dff8dc25469785c9f2fdf0501aa796471635d92bc233</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-2816-4539</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7178157/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7178157/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,725,778,782,883,27907,27908,53774,53776</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32244493$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yang, Huixin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Siwen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Taijun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Chenhao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Xiangyi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hu, Jing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Han, Chenyu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hu, Fangfang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Luo, Jingjing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Biao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Kewei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Ying</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhen, Qing</creatorcontrib><title>Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Human Brucellosis in China, 1950-2018</title><title>International journal of environmental research and public health</title><addtitle>Int J Environ Res Public Health</addtitle><description>The rate of brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, has rapidly increased in humans brucellosis(HB) in recent years. In 1950-2018, a total of 684,380 HB cases (median 2274/year (interquartile range (IQR) 966-8325)) were reported to the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in mainland China. The incidence of HB peaked in 2014 (4.32/100,000), and then showed a downward trend; we predict that it will maintain a steady downward trend in 2019-2020. Since 2015, the incidence of HB has shown opposite trends in the north and south of China; rates in the north have fallen and rates in the south have increased. In 2004-2018, the most significant increases in incidence of HB were in Yunnan (IQR 0.002-0.463/100,000), Hubei (IQR 0.000-0.338/100,000), and Guangdong (IQR 0.015-0.350/100,000). The areas where HB occurs have little overlap with areas with high per capita GDP in China. The "high-high" clusters of HB are located in northeastern China (Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Ningxia, Shanxi, and Gansu), and the "low-low" clusters of HB are located in southern China (Yunnan, Jiangxi, Shanghai, Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Guizhou, and Hunan). In recent years, the incidence of HB in China has been controlled to some extent, but the incidence of HB has increased in southern China, and the disease has spread geographically in China from north to south. Further research is needed to address this change and to continue to explore the relationship between the incidence of HB and relevant factors.</description><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Breeding of animals</subject><subject>Brucellosis</subject><subject>Brucellosis - epidemiology</subject><subject>Cattle</subject><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Disease control</subject><subject>Disease prevention</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>GDP</subject><subject>Geography</subject><subject>Gross Domestic Product</subject><subject>Health surveillance</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Infectious diseases</subject><subject>Livestock</subject><subject>Per capita</subject><subject>Provinces</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Sheep</subject><subject>Software</subject><subject>Spatio-Temporal Analysis</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Trend analysis</subject><subject>Zoonoses</subject><issn>1660-4601</issn><issn>1661-7827</issn><issn>1660-4601</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><recordid>eNpdkUtLAzEUhYMovrcuZcCNC6fmnZmNUEt9QMGFug5pJrEpM5MxmRH6702pFuvqhpvvHs69B4ALBEeElPDWLU3oFkhAgUmB98Ax4hzmlEO0_-d9BE5iXEJICsrLQ3BEMKaUluQYLKedq0zjfO0_nFZ1NlmooHRvgou90zFTbZW9dqp3vjdN50NC3oJJzXGr6lV0MfM2exoa1Wb3YdCmrv266dqk5Fp1k6GSwRxDVJyBA6vqaM5_6il4f5i-TZ7y2cvj82Q8yzVFRZ9zNLeUsGKuOOFCQUMoJZW1RaUxS_ZFwXRpsa0sZBApJUpOBeKEVSWea0zIKbjb6HbDvDGVNm2fXMsuuEaFlfTKyd2f1i3kh_-SAokCMZEErn8Egv8cTOxl4-J6M9UaP0SZLs1xiRHDCb36hy79ENJlNhTkmDKYqNGG0sHHGIzdmkFQrmOUuzGmgcu_K2zx39zINyrGmRc</recordid><startdate>20200331</startdate><enddate>20200331</enddate><creator>Yang, Huixin</creator><creator>Zhang, Siwen</creator><creator>Wang, Taijun</creator><creator>Zhao, Chenhao</creator><creator>Zhang, Xiangyi</creator><creator>Hu, Jing</creator><creator>Han, Chenyu</creator><creator>Hu, Fangfang</creator><creator>Luo, Jingjing</creator><creator>Li, Biao</creator><creator>Zhao, Wei</creator><creator>Li, Kewei</creator><creator>Wang, Ying</creator><creator>Zhen, Qing</creator><general>MDPI AG</general><general>MDPI</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2816-4539</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20200331</creationdate><title>Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Human Brucellosis in China, 1950-2018</title><author>Yang, Huixin ; 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In 1950-2018, a total of 684,380 HB cases (median 2274/year (interquartile range (IQR) 966-8325)) were reported to the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System in mainland China. The incidence of HB peaked in 2014 (4.32/100,000), and then showed a downward trend; we predict that it will maintain a steady downward trend in 2019-2020. Since 2015, the incidence of HB has shown opposite trends in the north and south of China; rates in the north have fallen and rates in the south have increased. In 2004-2018, the most significant increases in incidence of HB were in Yunnan (IQR 0.002-0.463/100,000), Hubei (IQR 0.000-0.338/100,000), and Guangdong (IQR 0.015-0.350/100,000). The areas where HB occurs have little overlap with areas with high per capita GDP in China. The "high-high" clusters of HB are located in northeastern China (Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Ningxia, Shanxi, and Gansu), and the "low-low" clusters of HB are located in southern China (Yunnan, Jiangxi, Shanghai, Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Guizhou, and Hunan). In recent years, the incidence of HB in China has been controlled to some extent, but the incidence of HB has increased in southern China, and the disease has spread geographically in China from north to south. Further research is needed to address this change and to continue to explore the relationship between the incidence of HB and relevant factors.</abstract><cop>Switzerland</cop><pub>MDPI AG</pub><pmid>32244493</pmid><doi>10.3390/ijerph17072382</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2816-4539</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Animals Breeding of animals Brucellosis Brucellosis - epidemiology Cattle China - epidemiology Disease control Disease prevention Epidemiology GDP Geography Gross Domestic Product Health surveillance Humans Incidence Infectious diseases Livestock Per capita Provinces Public health Seasons Sheep Software Spatio-Temporal Analysis Statistical analysis Trend analysis Zoonoses |
| title | Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatiotemporal Trend Analysis of Human Brucellosis in China, 1950-2018 |
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