The Spectrum-STI Groups model: syphilis prevalence trends across high-risk and lower-risk populations in Yunnan, China

The Spectrum-STI model, structured by sub-groups within a population, was used in a workshop in Yunnan, China, to estimate provincial trends in active syphilis in 15 to 49-year-old adults. Syphilis prevalence data from female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), and lower-risk women a...

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Veröffentlicht in:Scientific reports 2020-03, Vol.10 (1), p.5472-5472, Article 5472
Hauptverfasser: Korenromp, Eline L., Zhang, Wanyue, Zhang, Xiujie, Ma, Yanling, Jia, Manhong, Luo, Hongbin, Guo, Yan, Zhang, Xiaobin, Gong, Xiangdong, Chen, Fangfang, Li, Jing, Nishijima, Takeshi, Chen, Zhongdan, Taylor, Melanie M., Hecht, Kendall, Mahiané, Guy, Rowley, Jane, Chen, Xiang-Sheng
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container_title Scientific reports
container_volume 10
creator Korenromp, Eline L.
Zhang, Wanyue
Zhang, Xiujie
Ma, Yanling
Jia, Manhong
Luo, Hongbin
Guo, Yan
Zhang, Xiaobin
Gong, Xiangdong
Chen, Fangfang
Li, Jing
Nishijima, Takeshi
Chen, Zhongdan
Taylor, Melanie M.
Hecht, Kendall
Mahiané, Guy
Rowley, Jane
Chen, Xiang-Sheng
description The Spectrum-STI model, structured by sub-groups within a population, was used in a workshop in Yunnan, China, to estimate provincial trends in active syphilis in 15 to 49-year-old adults. Syphilis prevalence data from female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), and lower-risk women and men in Yunnan were identified through literature searches and local experts. Sources included antenatal care clinic screening, blood donor screening, HIV/STI bio-behavioural surveys, sentinel surveillance, and epidemiology studies. The 2017 provincial syphilis prevalence estimates were 0.26% (95% confidence interval 0.17–0.34%) in women and 0.28% (0.20–0.36%) in men. Estimated prevalence was 6.8-fold higher in FSW (1.69% (0.68–3.97%) than in lower-risk women (0.25% (0.18–0.35%)), and 22.7-fold higher in MSM (5.35% (2.74–12.47%) than in lower-risk men (0.24% (0.17–0.31%). For all populations, the 2017 estimates were below the 2005 estimates, but differences were not significant. In 2017 FSW and MSM together accounted for 9.3% of prevalent cases. These estimates suggest Yunnan’s STI programs have kept the overall prevalence of syphilis low, but prevalence remains high in FSW and MSM. Strengthening efforts targeting FSW and MSM, and identification of other risk populations e.g. among heterosexual men, are critical to reduce syphilis.
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41598-020-62208-3
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Syphilis prevalence data from female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), and lower-risk women and men in Yunnan were identified through literature searches and local experts. Sources included antenatal care clinic screening, blood donor screening, HIV/STI bio-behavioural surveys, sentinel surveillance, and epidemiology studies. The 2017 provincial syphilis prevalence estimates were 0.26% (95% confidence interval 0.17–0.34%) in women and 0.28% (0.20–0.36%) in men. Estimated prevalence was 6.8-fold higher in FSW (1.69% (0.68–3.97%) than in lower-risk women (0.25% (0.18–0.35%)), and 22.7-fold higher in MSM (5.35% (2.74–12.47%) than in lower-risk men (0.24% (0.17–0.31%). For all populations, the 2017 estimates were below the 2005 estimates, but differences were not significant. In 2017 FSW and MSM together accounted for 9.3% of prevalent cases. These estimates suggest Yunnan’s STI programs have kept the overall prevalence of syphilis low, but prevalence remains high in FSW and MSM. 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Syphilis prevalence data from female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), and lower-risk women and men in Yunnan were identified through literature searches and local experts. Sources included antenatal care clinic screening, blood donor screening, HIV/STI bio-behavioural surveys, sentinel surveillance, and epidemiology studies. The 2017 provincial syphilis prevalence estimates were 0.26% (95% confidence interval 0.17–0.34%) in women and 0.28% (0.20–0.36%) in men. Estimated prevalence was 6.8-fold higher in FSW (1.69% (0.68–3.97%) than in lower-risk women (0.25% (0.18–0.35%)), and 22.7-fold higher in MSM (5.35% (2.74–12.47%) than in lower-risk men (0.24% (0.17–0.31%). For all populations, the 2017 estimates were below the 2005 estimates, but differences were not significant. In 2017 FSW and MSM together accounted for 9.3% of prevalent cases. 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Zhang, Wanyue ; Zhang, Xiujie ; Ma, Yanling ; Jia, Manhong ; Luo, Hongbin ; Guo, Yan ; Zhang, Xiaobin ; Gong, Xiangdong ; Chen, Fangfang ; Li, Jing ; Nishijima, Takeshi ; Chen, Zhongdan ; Taylor, Melanie M. ; Hecht, Kendall ; Mahiané, Guy ; Rowley, Jane ; Chen, Xiang-Sheng</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c522t-1b28aea3ff40c6b27064262060b2f931ea966fc49934d2b312d54dad868571713</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>692/700/478/174</topic><topic>692/700/478/2772</topic><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Epidemiology</topic><topic>Estimates</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Heterosexuality</topic><topic>HIV</topic><topic>Human immunodeficiency virus</topic><topic>Humanities and Social Sciences</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>multidisciplinary</topic><topic>Prevalence</topic><topic>Risk</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Science</topic><topic>Science (multidisciplinary)</topic><topic>Sentinel Surveillance</topic><topic>Sex Workers</topic><topic>Sexually transmitted diseases</topic><topic>STD</topic><topic>Syphilis</topic><topic>Syphilis - diagnosis</topic><topic>Syphilis - epidemiology</topic><topic>Syphilis - prevention &amp; 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Syphilis prevalence data from female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), and lower-risk women and men in Yunnan were identified through literature searches and local experts. Sources included antenatal care clinic screening, blood donor screening, HIV/STI bio-behavioural surveys, sentinel surveillance, and epidemiology studies. The 2017 provincial syphilis prevalence estimates were 0.26% (95% confidence interval 0.17–0.34%) in women and 0.28% (0.20–0.36%) in men. Estimated prevalence was 6.8-fold higher in FSW (1.69% (0.68–3.97%) than in lower-risk women (0.25% (0.18–0.35%)), and 22.7-fold higher in MSM (5.35% (2.74–12.47%) than in lower-risk men (0.24% (0.17–0.31%). For all populations, the 2017 estimates were below the 2005 estimates, but differences were not significant. In 2017 FSW and MSM together accounted for 9.3% of prevalent cases. These estimates suggest Yunnan’s STI programs have kept the overall prevalence of syphilis low, but prevalence remains high in FSW and MSM. Strengthening efforts targeting FSW and MSM, and identification of other risk populations e.g. among heterosexual men, are critical to reduce syphilis.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>32214152</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41598-020-62208-3</doi><tpages>1</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects 692/700/478/174
692/700/478/2772
Adolescent
Adult
China - epidemiology
Epidemiology
Estimates
Female
Heterosexuality
HIV
Human immunodeficiency virus
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
multidisciplinary
Prevalence
Risk
Risk Factors
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Sentinel Surveillance
Sex Workers
Sexually transmitted diseases
STD
Syphilis
Syphilis - diagnosis
Syphilis - epidemiology
Syphilis - prevention & control
Trends
Women
Young Adult
title The Spectrum-STI Groups model: syphilis prevalence trends across high-risk and lower-risk populations in Yunnan, China
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