Prediction of Acute-phase Complications in Patients with Infectious Endocarditis

Objective Embolic events are frequent and life-threatening complications of infective endocarditis (IE). Recently, an embolic risk assessment at admission, based on the Embolic Risk (ER) French Calculator, was designed to predict the development of symptomatic emboli associated with IE. This study a...

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Veröffentlicht in:Internal Medicine 2019/08/15, Vol.58(16), pp.2323-2331
Hauptverfasser: Saito, Fumiya, Toyoda, Shigeru, Arikawa, Takuo, Inami, Shu, Watanabe, Ryo, Obi, Syotaro, Sakuma, Masashi, Kanaya, Tomoaki, Abe, Shichiro, Nakajima, Toshiaki, Inoue, Teruo
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container_end_page 2331
container_issue 16
container_start_page 2323
container_title Internal Medicine
container_volume 58
creator Saito, Fumiya
Toyoda, Shigeru
Arikawa, Takuo
Inami, Shu
Watanabe, Ryo
Obi, Syotaro
Sakuma, Masashi
Kanaya, Tomoaki
Abe, Shichiro
Nakajima, Toshiaki
Inoue, Teruo
description Objective Embolic events are frequent and life-threatening complications of infective endocarditis (IE). Recently, an embolic risk assessment at admission, based on the Embolic Risk (ER) French Calculator, was designed to predict the development of symptomatic emboli associated with IE. This study aimed to validate the ER French Calculator for the prediction of in-hospital events, including embolic events. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical features of 52 consecutive patients with left-sided IE to identify possible predictors of in-hospital events within 30 days of admission. Results New embolic events were seen in 15 patients (29%), cardiac surgery was performed in 22 patients (42%), and 1 patient (2%) died within 30 days of admission. A composite endpoint of embolic complications, cardiac surgery, or death was observed in 28 patients (54%). The cumulative incidence of new embolic events was significantly higher in the high-risk group identified by the ER French Calculator than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p=0.0004). The incidence of the composite endpoint was higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p
doi_str_mv 10.2169/internalmedicine.1813-18
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Recently, an embolic risk assessment at admission, based on the Embolic Risk (ER) French Calculator, was designed to predict the development of symptomatic emboli associated with IE. This study aimed to validate the ER French Calculator for the prediction of in-hospital events, including embolic events. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical features of 52 consecutive patients with left-sided IE to identify possible predictors of in-hospital events within 30 days of admission. Results New embolic events were seen in 15 patients (29%), cardiac surgery was performed in 22 patients (42%), and 1 patient (2%) died within 30 days of admission. A composite endpoint of embolic complications, cardiac surgery, or death was observed in 28 patients (54%). The cumulative incidence of new embolic events was significantly higher in the high-risk group identified by the ER French Calculator than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p=0.0004). The incidence of the composite endpoint was higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p&lt;0.0001). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model indicated that the high-risk designation on the ER French Calculator predicted embolic events (p=0.0410) and composite events (p=0.0371) independently of other candidate predictors. Conclusion The ER French Calculator may be a useful tool for predicting new in-hospital embolic events and other unfavorable in-hospital events in patients with IE.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0918-2918</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1349-7235</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.2169/internalmedicine.1813-18</identifier><identifier>PMID: 31118367</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Japan: The Japanese Society of Internal Medicine</publisher><subject>Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; cardiac surgery ; Cardiac Surgical Procedures - adverse effects ; Complications ; embolic event ; embolic risk ; Embolism - etiology ; Embolism - therapy ; Endocarditis ; Endocarditis, Bacterial - complications ; Endocarditis, Bacterial - surgery ; Female ; French Calculator ; Heart ; Heart surgery ; Humans ; Incidence ; infective endocarditis ; Internal medicine ; Japan ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Original ; Patients ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Rank tests ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors ; Risk groups ; Statistical models</subject><ispartof>Internal Medicine, 2019/08/15, Vol.58(16), pp.2323-2331</ispartof><rights>2019 by The Japanese Society of Internal Medicine</rights><rights>Copyright Japan Science and Technology Agency 2019</rights><rights>Copyright © 2019 by The Japanese Society of Internal Medicine</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c610t-f1d08bbe18624d85d42d9344f79d5f785728b8f82d84ae29d61c033f5eb8e6313</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c610t-f1d08bbe18624d85d42d9344f79d5f785728b8f82d84ae29d61c033f5eb8e6313</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6746645/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6746645/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,727,780,784,885,1883,27924,27925,53791,53793</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31118367$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Saito, Fumiya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Toyoda, Shigeru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Arikawa, Takuo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Inami, Shu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Watanabe, Ryo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Obi, Syotaro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sakuma, Masashi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kanaya, Tomoaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Abe, Shichiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nakajima, Toshiaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Inoue, Teruo</creatorcontrib><title>Prediction of Acute-phase Complications in Patients with Infectious Endocarditis</title><title>Internal Medicine</title><addtitle>Intern. Med.</addtitle><description>Objective Embolic events are frequent and life-threatening complications of infective endocarditis (IE). Recently, an embolic risk assessment at admission, based on the Embolic Risk (ER) French Calculator, was designed to predict the development of symptomatic emboli associated with IE. This study aimed to validate the ER French Calculator for the prediction of in-hospital events, including embolic events. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical features of 52 consecutive patients with left-sided IE to identify possible predictors of in-hospital events within 30 days of admission. Results New embolic events were seen in 15 patients (29%), cardiac surgery was performed in 22 patients (42%), and 1 patient (2%) died within 30 days of admission. A composite endpoint of embolic complications, cardiac surgery, or death was observed in 28 patients (54%). The cumulative incidence of new embolic events was significantly higher in the high-risk group identified by the ER French Calculator than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p=0.0004). The incidence of the composite endpoint was higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p&lt;0.0001). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model indicated that the high-risk designation on the ER French Calculator predicted embolic events (p=0.0410) and composite events (p=0.0371) independently of other candidate predictors. Conclusion The ER French Calculator may be a useful tool for predicting new in-hospital embolic events and other unfavorable in-hospital events in patients with IE.</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>cardiac surgery</subject><subject>Cardiac Surgical Procedures - adverse effects</subject><subject>Complications</subject><subject>embolic event</subject><subject>embolic risk</subject><subject>Embolism - etiology</subject><subject>Embolism - therapy</subject><subject>Endocarditis</subject><subject>Endocarditis, Bacterial - complications</subject><subject>Endocarditis, Bacterial - surgery</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>French Calculator</subject><subject>Heart</subject><subject>Heart surgery</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>infective endocarditis</subject><subject>Internal medicine</subject><subject>Japan</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Original</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Proportional Hazards Models</subject><subject>Rank tests</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Risk groups</subject><subject>Statistical models</subject><issn>0918-2918</issn><issn>1349-7235</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNplkU1v1DAQhi0EotvCX0CWuHBJ8UdiOxekalVopUrdA5wtx550vcrai-1Q8e9x2LKCchlbmmfe-XgRwpRcMir6jz4USMFMe3De-gCXVFHeUPUCrShv-0Yy3r1EK9JT1bAaztB5zjtCuJI9e43OOKVUcSFXaLNJi0bxMeA44is7F2gOW5MBr-P-MHlrllzGPuBN_UIoGT_6ssW3YYSlbs74OrhoTXK--PwGvRrNlOHt03uBvn2-_rq-ae7uv9yur-4aKygpzUgdUcMAVAnWOtW5lrmet-0oe9eNUnWSqUGNijnVGmC9E9QSzscOBgWCU36BPh11D_NQz2DrYMlM-pD83qSfOhqv_80Ev9UP8YcWshWi7arAhyeBFL_PkIve-2xhmkyAupRmjDNKBJOqou-fobs4L_dfKCkIUbwTlVJHyqaYc4LxNAwlerFNP7dNL7bVUEvf_b3MqfCPTxW4PwK7XMwDnACTircT_K_cKU3F73hscSLt1iQNgf8Ckgi3VA</recordid><startdate>20190815</startdate><enddate>20190815</enddate><creator>Saito, Fumiya</creator><creator>Toyoda, Shigeru</creator><creator>Arikawa, Takuo</creator><creator>Inami, Shu</creator><creator>Watanabe, Ryo</creator><creator>Obi, Syotaro</creator><creator>Sakuma, Masashi</creator><creator>Kanaya, Tomoaki</creator><creator>Abe, Shichiro</creator><creator>Nakajima, Toshiaki</creator><creator>Inoue, Teruo</creator><general>The Japanese Society of Internal Medicine</general><general>Japan Science and Technology Agency</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20190815</creationdate><title>Prediction of Acute-phase Complications in Patients with Infectious Endocarditis</title><author>Saito, Fumiya ; Toyoda, Shigeru ; Arikawa, Takuo ; Inami, Shu ; Watanabe, Ryo ; Obi, Syotaro ; Sakuma, Masashi ; Kanaya, Tomoaki ; Abe, Shichiro ; Nakajima, Toshiaki ; Inoue, Teruo</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c610t-f1d08bbe18624d85d42d9344f79d5f785728b8f82d84ae29d61c033f5eb8e6313</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Aged, 80 and over</topic><topic>cardiac surgery</topic><topic>Cardiac Surgical Procedures - adverse effects</topic><topic>Complications</topic><topic>embolic event</topic><topic>embolic risk</topic><topic>Embolism - etiology</topic><topic>Embolism - therapy</topic><topic>Endocarditis</topic><topic>Endocarditis, Bacterial - complications</topic><topic>Endocarditis, Bacterial - surgery</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>French Calculator</topic><topic>Heart</topic><topic>Heart surgery</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>infective endocarditis</topic><topic>Internal medicine</topic><topic>Japan</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Original</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Proportional Hazards Models</topic><topic>Rank tests</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Risk groups</topic><topic>Statistical models</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Saito, Fumiya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Toyoda, Shigeru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Arikawa, Takuo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Inami, Shu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Watanabe, Ryo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Obi, Syotaro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sakuma, Masashi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kanaya, Tomoaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Abe, Shichiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nakajima, Toshiaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Inoue, Teruo</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>Internal Medicine</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Saito, Fumiya</au><au>Toyoda, Shigeru</au><au>Arikawa, Takuo</au><au>Inami, Shu</au><au>Watanabe, Ryo</au><au>Obi, Syotaro</au><au>Sakuma, Masashi</au><au>Kanaya, Tomoaki</au><au>Abe, Shichiro</au><au>Nakajima, Toshiaki</au><au>Inoue, Teruo</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Prediction of Acute-phase Complications in Patients with Infectious Endocarditis</atitle><jtitle>Internal Medicine</jtitle><addtitle>Intern. Med.</addtitle><date>2019-08-15</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>58</volume><issue>16</issue><spage>2323</spage><epage>2331</epage><pages>2323-2331</pages><issn>0918-2918</issn><eissn>1349-7235</eissn><abstract>Objective Embolic events are frequent and life-threatening complications of infective endocarditis (IE). Recently, an embolic risk assessment at admission, based on the Embolic Risk (ER) French Calculator, was designed to predict the development of symptomatic emboli associated with IE. This study aimed to validate the ER French Calculator for the prediction of in-hospital events, including embolic events. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical features of 52 consecutive patients with left-sided IE to identify possible predictors of in-hospital events within 30 days of admission. Results New embolic events were seen in 15 patients (29%), cardiac surgery was performed in 22 patients (42%), and 1 patient (2%) died within 30 days of admission. A composite endpoint of embolic complications, cardiac surgery, or death was observed in 28 patients (54%). The cumulative incidence of new embolic events was significantly higher in the high-risk group identified by the ER French Calculator than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p=0.0004). The incidence of the composite endpoint was higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (log-rank test; p&lt;0.0001). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model indicated that the high-risk designation on the ER French Calculator predicted embolic events (p=0.0410) and composite events (p=0.0371) independently of other candidate predictors. Conclusion The ER French Calculator may be a useful tool for predicting new in-hospital embolic events and other unfavorable in-hospital events in patients with IE.</abstract><cop>Japan</cop><pub>The Japanese Society of Internal Medicine</pub><pmid>31118367</pmid><doi>10.2169/internalmedicine.1813-18</doi><tpages>9</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
cardiac surgery
Cardiac Surgical Procedures - adverse effects
Complications
embolic event
embolic risk
Embolism - etiology
Embolism - therapy
Endocarditis
Endocarditis, Bacterial - complications
Endocarditis, Bacterial - surgery
Female
French Calculator
Heart
Heart surgery
Humans
Incidence
infective endocarditis
Internal medicine
Japan
Male
Middle Aged
Original
Patients
Proportional Hazards Models
Rank tests
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Risk groups
Statistical models
title Prediction of Acute-phase Complications in Patients with Infectious Endocarditis
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