Changing Trends in Etiology‐Based and Ethnicity‐Based Annual Mortality Rates of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States

With recent improvements in the treatment of end‐stage liver disease (ESLD), a better understanding of the burden of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is needed in the United States. A population‐based study using the US Census and national mortality database was performed. We identified...

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Veröffentlicht in:Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.) Md.), 2019-03, Vol.69 (3), p.1064-1074
Hauptverfasser: Kim, Donghee, Li, Andrew A., Perumpail, Brandon J., Gadiparthi, Chiranjeevi, Kim, Won, Cholankeril, George, Glenn, Jeffrey S., Harrison, Stephen A., Younossi, Zobair M., Ahmed, Aijaz
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container_issue 3
container_start_page 1064
container_title Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)
container_volume 69
creator Kim, Donghee
Li, Andrew A.
Perumpail, Brandon J.
Gadiparthi, Chiranjeevi
Kim, Won
Cholankeril, George
Glenn, Jeffrey S.
Harrison, Stephen A.
Younossi, Zobair M.
Ahmed, Aijaz
description With recent improvements in the treatment of end‐stage liver disease (ESLD), a better understanding of the burden of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is needed in the United States. A population‐based study using the US Census and national mortality database was performed. We identified the age‐standardized etiology‐specific mortality rates for cirrhosis and HCC among US adults ages 20 years or older from 2007 to 2016. We determined temporal mortality rate patterns by joinpoint analysis with estimates of annual percentage change (APC). Age‐standardized cirrhosis‐related mortality rates increased from 19.77/100,000 persons in 2007 to 23.67 in 2016 with an annual increase of 2.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0‐2.7). The APC in mortality rates for hepatitis C virus (HCV)‐cirrhosis shifted from a 2.9% increase per year during 2007 to 2014 to a 6.5% decline per year during 2014 to 2016. Meanwhile, mortality for cirrhosis from alcoholic liver disease (ALD, APC 4.5%) and NAFLD (APC 15.4%) increased over the same period, whereas mortality for hepatitis B virus (HBV)‐cirrhosis decreased with an average APC of −1.1%. HCC‐related mortality increased from 3.48/100,000 persons in 2007 to 4.41 in 2016 at an annual rate of 2.0% (95% CI 1.3‐2.6). Etiology‐specific mortality rates of HCC were largely consistent with cirrhosis‐related mortality. Minority populations had a higher burden of HCC‐related mortality. Conclusion: Cirrhosis‐related and HCC‐related mortality rates increased between 2007 and 2016 in the United States. However, mortality rates in HCV‐cirrhosis demonstrated a significant decline from 2014 to 2016, during the direct‐acting antiviral era. Mortality rates for ALD/NAFLD‐cirrhosis and HCC have continued to increase, whereas HBV‐cirrhosis‐related mortality declined during the 10‐year period. Importantly, minorities had a disproportionately higher burden of ESLD‐related mortality.
doi_str_mv 10.1002/hep.30161
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A population‐based study using the US Census and national mortality database was performed. We identified the age‐standardized etiology‐specific mortality rates for cirrhosis and HCC among US adults ages 20 years or older from 2007 to 2016. We determined temporal mortality rate patterns by joinpoint analysis with estimates of annual percentage change (APC). Age‐standardized cirrhosis‐related mortality rates increased from 19.77/100,000 persons in 2007 to 23.67 in 2016 with an annual increase of 2.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0‐2.7). The APC in mortality rates for hepatitis C virus (HCV)‐cirrhosis shifted from a 2.9% increase per year during 2007 to 2014 to a 6.5% decline per year during 2014 to 2016. Meanwhile, mortality for cirrhosis from alcoholic liver disease (ALD, APC 4.5%) and NAFLD (APC 15.4%) increased over the same period, whereas mortality for hepatitis B virus (HBV)‐cirrhosis decreased with an average APC of −1.1%. HCC‐related mortality increased from 3.48/100,000 persons in 2007 to 4.41 in 2016 at an annual rate of 2.0% (95% CI 1.3‐2.6). Etiology‐specific mortality rates of HCC were largely consistent with cirrhosis‐related mortality. Minority populations had a higher burden of HCC‐related mortality. Conclusion: Cirrhosis‐related and HCC‐related mortality rates increased between 2007 and 2016 in the United States. However, mortality rates in HCV‐cirrhosis demonstrated a significant decline from 2014 to 2016, during the direct‐acting antiviral era. Mortality rates for ALD/NAFLD‐cirrhosis and HCC have continued to increase, whereas HBV‐cirrhosis‐related mortality declined during the 10‐year period. Importantly, minorities had a disproportionately higher burden of ESLD‐related mortality.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0270-9139</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1527-3350</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/hep.30161</identifier><identifier>PMID: 30014489</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc</publisher><subject>Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - etiology ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - mortality ; Cirrhosis ; Ethnic Groups ; Etiology ; Female ; Hepatitis ; Hepatitis B ; Hepatitis C ; Hepatocellular carcinoma ; Hepatology ; Humans ; Liver cancer ; Liver cirrhosis ; Liver Cirrhosis - etiology ; Liver Cirrhosis - mortality ; Liver diseases ; Liver Neoplasms - etiology ; Liver Neoplasms - mortality ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Minority &amp; ethnic groups ; Mortality ; Population studies ; United States - epidemiology ; Young Adult</subject><ispartof>Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2019-03, Vol.69 (3), p.1064-1074</ispartof><rights>2018 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.</rights><rights>2019 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5091-cbbe3c4655ff27a1b50ca7f85eeec5fc0aec74f3fe4fe768a1200ac910f00cd23</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5091-cbbe3c4655ff27a1b50ca7f85eeec5fc0aec74f3fe4fe768a1200ac910f00cd23</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3609-8586 ; 0000-0001-5335-8426 ; 0000-0003-1919-6800 ; 0000-0001-9313-577X</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fhep.30161$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fhep.30161$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,776,780,881,1411,27901,27902,45550,45551</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30014489$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Kim, Donghee</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Andrew A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Perumpail, Brandon J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gadiparthi, Chiranjeevi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kim, Won</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cholankeril, George</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Glenn, Jeffrey S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Harrison, Stephen A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Younossi, Zobair M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ahmed, Aijaz</creatorcontrib><title>Changing Trends in Etiology‐Based and Ethnicity‐Based Annual Mortality Rates of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States</title><title>Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.)</title><addtitle>Hepatology</addtitle><description>With recent improvements in the treatment of end‐stage liver disease (ESLD), a better understanding of the burden of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is needed in the United States. 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HCC‐related mortality increased from 3.48/100,000 persons in 2007 to 4.41 in 2016 at an annual rate of 2.0% (95% CI 1.3‐2.6). Etiology‐specific mortality rates of HCC were largely consistent with cirrhosis‐related mortality. Minority populations had a higher burden of HCC‐related mortality. Conclusion: Cirrhosis‐related and HCC‐related mortality rates increased between 2007 and 2016 in the United States. However, mortality rates in HCV‐cirrhosis demonstrated a significant decline from 2014 to 2016, during the direct‐acting antiviral era. Mortality rates for ALD/NAFLD‐cirrhosis and HCC have continued to increase, whereas HBV‐cirrhosis‐related mortality declined during the 10‐year period. 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HCC‐related mortality increased from 3.48/100,000 persons in 2007 to 4.41 in 2016 at an annual rate of 2.0% (95% CI 1.3‐2.6). Etiology‐specific mortality rates of HCC were largely consistent with cirrhosis‐related mortality. Minority populations had a higher burden of HCC‐related mortality. Conclusion: Cirrhosis‐related and HCC‐related mortality rates increased between 2007 and 2016 in the United States. However, mortality rates in HCV‐cirrhosis demonstrated a significant decline from 2014 to 2016, during the direct‐acting antiviral era. Mortality rates for ALD/NAFLD‐cirrhosis and HCC have continued to increase, whereas HBV‐cirrhosis‐related mortality declined during the 10‐year period. 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subjects Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - etiology
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - mortality
Cirrhosis
Ethnic Groups
Etiology
Female
Hepatitis
Hepatitis B
Hepatitis C
Hepatocellular carcinoma
Hepatology
Humans
Liver cancer
Liver cirrhosis
Liver Cirrhosis - etiology
Liver Cirrhosis - mortality
Liver diseases
Liver Neoplasms - etiology
Liver Neoplasms - mortality
Male
Middle Aged
Minority & ethnic groups
Mortality
Population studies
United States - epidemiology
Young Adult
title Changing Trends in Etiology‐Based and Ethnicity‐Based Annual Mortality Rates of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States
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