Improved prediction of incident vertebral fractures using opportunistic QCT compared to DXA

Objectives To compare opportunistic quantitative CT (QCT) with dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in their ability to predict incident vertebral fractures. Methods We included 84 patients aged 50 years and older, who had routine CT including the lumbar spine and DXA within a 12-month period (bas...

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Veröffentlicht in:European radiology 2019-09, Vol.29 (9), p.4980-4989
Hauptverfasser: Löffler, Maximilian T., Jacob, Alina, Valentinitsch, Alexander, Rienmüller, Anna, Zimmer, Claus, Ryang, Yu-Mi, Baum, Thomas, Kirschke, Jan S.
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container_end_page 4989
container_issue 9
container_start_page 4980
container_title European radiology
container_volume 29
creator Löffler, Maximilian T.
Jacob, Alina
Valentinitsch, Alexander
Rienmüller, Anna
Zimmer, Claus
Ryang, Yu-Mi
Baum, Thomas
Kirschke, Jan S.
description Objectives To compare opportunistic quantitative CT (QCT) with dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in their ability to predict incident vertebral fractures. Methods We included 84 patients aged 50 years and older, who had routine CT including the lumbar spine and DXA within a 12-month period (baseline) as well as follow-up imaging after at least 12 months or who sustained an incident vertebral fracture documented earlier. Patients with bone disorders aside from osteoporosis were excluded. Fracture status and trabecular bone mineral density (BMD) were retrospectively evaluated in baseline CT and fracture status was reassessed at follow-up. BMD QCT was assessed by opportunistic QCT with asynchronous calibration of multiple MDCT scanners. Results Sixteen patients had incident vertebral fractures showing lower mean BMD QCT than patients without fracture ( p  = 0.001). For the risk of incident vertebral fractures, the hazard ratio increased per SD in BMD QCT (4.07; 95% CI, 1.98–8.38), as well as after adjusting for age, sex, and prevalent fractures (2.54; 95% CI, 1.09–5.90). For DXA, a statistically significant increase in relative hazard per SD decrease in T -score was only observed after age and sex adjustment (1.57; 95% CI, 1.04–2.38). The predictability of incident vertebral fractures was good by BMD QCT (AUC = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64–0.89) and non-significant by T -scores. Asynchronously calibrated CT scanners showed good long-term stability (linear drift ranging from − 0.55 to − 2.29 HU per year). Conclusions Opportunistic screening of mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients in CT performed for indications other than densitometry allows for better risk assessment of imminent vertebral fractures than dedicated DXA. Key Points • Opportunistic QCT predicts osteoporotic vertebral fractures better than DXA reference standard in mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients. • More than every second patient (56%) with an incident vertebral fracture was misdiagnosed not having osteoporosis according to DXA. • Standard ACR QCT-cutoff values for osteoporosis (
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Methods We included 84 patients aged 50 years and older, who had routine CT including the lumbar spine and DXA within a 12-month period (baseline) as well as follow-up imaging after at least 12 months or who sustained an incident vertebral fracture documented earlier. Patients with bone disorders aside from osteoporosis were excluded. Fracture status and trabecular bone mineral density (BMD) were retrospectively evaluated in baseline CT and fracture status was reassessed at follow-up. BMD QCT was assessed by opportunistic QCT with asynchronous calibration of multiple MDCT scanners. Results Sixteen patients had incident vertebral fractures showing lower mean BMD QCT than patients without fracture ( p  = 0.001). For the risk of incident vertebral fractures, the hazard ratio increased per SD in BMD QCT (4.07; 95% CI, 1.98–8.38), as well as after adjusting for age, sex, and prevalent fractures (2.54; 95% CI, 1.09–5.90). For DXA, a statistically significant increase in relative hazard per SD decrease in T -score was only observed after age and sex adjustment (1.57; 95% CI, 1.04–2.38). The predictability of incident vertebral fractures was good by BMD QCT (AUC = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64–0.89) and non-significant by T -scores. Asynchronously calibrated CT scanners showed good long-term stability (linear drift ranging from − 0.55 to − 2.29 HU per year). Conclusions Opportunistic screening of mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients in CT performed for indications other than densitometry allows for better risk assessment of imminent vertebral fractures than dedicated DXA. Key Points • Opportunistic QCT predicts osteoporotic vertebral fractures better than DXA reference standard in mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients. • More than every second patient (56%) with an incident vertebral fracture was misdiagnosed not having osteoporosis according to DXA. • Standard ACR QCT-cutoff values for osteoporosis (&lt; 80 mg/cm 3 ) and osteopenia (≤ 120 mg/cm 3 ) can also be applied scanner independently in calibrated opportunistic QCT.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0938-7994</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1432-1084</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1432-1084</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00330-019-06018-w</identifier><identifier>PMID: 30790025</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Absorptiometry, Photon ; Aged ; Biocompatibility ; Biomedical materials ; Bone Density ; Bone diseases ; Bone Diseases, Metabolic - complications ; Bone Diseases, Metabolic - diagnostic imaging ; Bone mineral density ; Calibration ; Cancellous bone ; Computed tomography ; Densitometers ; Densitometry ; Diagnostic Radiology ; Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry ; Female ; Fractures ; Humans ; Imaging ; Internal Medicine ; Interventional Radiology ; Lumbar Vertebrae - diagnostic imaging ; Lumbar Vertebrae - injuries ; Male ; Mass Screening - methods ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Middle Aged ; Musculoskeletal ; Neuroradiology ; Neurosurgery ; Osteopenia ; Osteoporosis ; Osteoporotic Fractures - diagnostic imaging ; Patients ; Radiology ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk assessment ; Scanners ; Sex ; Spinal Fractures - diagnostic imaging ; Spine ; Spine (lumbar) ; Statistical analysis ; Tomography, X-Ray Computed ; Ultrasound ; Vertebrae</subject><ispartof>European radiology, 2019-09, Vol.29 (9), p.4980-4989</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2019</rights><rights>European Radiology is a copyright of Springer, (2019). All Rights Reserved. © 2019. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c474t-bad013eee0094798172eb71af926ffb6bf4ce2d37c4b59b26ec78e43893bf4d83</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c474t-bad013eee0094798172eb71af926ffb6bf4ce2d37c4b59b26ec78e43893bf4d83</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-6022-3682</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00330-019-06018-w$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00330-019-06018-w$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,777,781,882,27905,27906,41469,42538,51300</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30790025$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Löffler, Maximilian T.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jacob, Alina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Valentinitsch, Alexander</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rienmüller, Anna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zimmer, Claus</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ryang, Yu-Mi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Baum, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kirschke, Jan S.</creatorcontrib><title>Improved prediction of incident vertebral fractures using opportunistic QCT compared to DXA</title><title>European radiology</title><addtitle>Eur Radiol</addtitle><addtitle>Eur Radiol</addtitle><description>Objectives To compare opportunistic quantitative CT (QCT) with dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in their ability to predict incident vertebral fractures. Methods We included 84 patients aged 50 years and older, who had routine CT including the lumbar spine and DXA within a 12-month period (baseline) as well as follow-up imaging after at least 12 months or who sustained an incident vertebral fracture documented earlier. Patients with bone disorders aside from osteoporosis were excluded. Fracture status and trabecular bone mineral density (BMD) were retrospectively evaluated in baseline CT and fracture status was reassessed at follow-up. BMD QCT was assessed by opportunistic QCT with asynchronous calibration of multiple MDCT scanners. Results Sixteen patients had incident vertebral fractures showing lower mean BMD QCT than patients without fracture ( p  = 0.001). For the risk of incident vertebral fractures, the hazard ratio increased per SD in BMD QCT (4.07; 95% CI, 1.98–8.38), as well as after adjusting for age, sex, and prevalent fractures (2.54; 95% CI, 1.09–5.90). For DXA, a statistically significant increase in relative hazard per SD decrease in T -score was only observed after age and sex adjustment (1.57; 95% CI, 1.04–2.38). The predictability of incident vertebral fractures was good by BMD QCT (AUC = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64–0.89) and non-significant by T -scores. Asynchronously calibrated CT scanners showed good long-term stability (linear drift ranging from − 0.55 to − 2.29 HU per year). Conclusions Opportunistic screening of mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients in CT performed for indications other than densitometry allows for better risk assessment of imminent vertebral fractures than dedicated DXA. Key Points • Opportunistic QCT predicts osteoporotic vertebral fractures better than DXA reference standard in mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients. • More than every second patient (56%) with an incident vertebral fracture was misdiagnosed not having osteoporosis according to DXA. • Standard ACR QCT-cutoff values for osteoporosis (&lt; 80 mg/cm 3 ) and osteopenia (≤ 120 mg/cm 3 ) can also be applied scanner independently in calibrated opportunistic QCT.</description><subject>Absorptiometry, Photon</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Biocompatibility</subject><subject>Biomedical materials</subject><subject>Bone Density</subject><subject>Bone diseases</subject><subject>Bone Diseases, Metabolic - complications</subject><subject>Bone Diseases, Metabolic - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Bone mineral density</subject><subject>Calibration</subject><subject>Cancellous bone</subject><subject>Computed tomography</subject><subject>Densitometers</subject><subject>Densitometry</subject><subject>Diagnostic Radiology</subject><subject>Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Fractures</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Imaging</subject><subject>Internal Medicine</subject><subject>Interventional Radiology</subject><subject>Lumbar Vertebrae - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Lumbar Vertebrae - injuries</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Mass Screening - methods</subject><subject>Medicine</subject><subject>Medicine &amp; Public Health</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Musculoskeletal</subject><subject>Neuroradiology</subject><subject>Neurosurgery</subject><subject>Osteopenia</subject><subject>Osteoporosis</subject><subject>Osteoporotic Fractures - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Radiology</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Risk assessment</subject><subject>Scanners</subject><subject>Sex</subject><subject>Spinal Fractures - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Spine</subject><subject>Spine (lumbar)</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Tomography, X-Ray Computed</subject><subject>Ultrasound</subject><subject>Vertebrae</subject><issn>0938-7994</issn><issn>1432-1084</issn><issn>1432-1084</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>C6C</sourceid><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kUtv1DAUhS1ERYfCH2CBLLFhE3r9SGxvkKopj0qVEFKRkFhYjnMzuJrEwU6m4t_jYUpbWLDy4pz73XN9CHnB4A0DUKcZQAiogJkKGmC6unlEVkwKXjHQ8jFZgRG6UsbIY_I052sAMEyqJ-RYgDIAvF6RbxfDlOIOOzol7IKfQxxp7GkYfehwnOkO04xtclvaJ-fnJWGmSw7jhsZpimlexpDn4Onn9RX1cZhcwdA50vOvZ8_IUe-2GZ_fvifky_t3V-uP1eWnDxfrs8vKSyXnqnUdMIGIJZ5URjPFsVXM9YY3fd82bS898k4oL9vatLxBrzRKoY0oUqfFCXl74E5LO2DnS-yS104pDC79tNEF-7cyhu92E3e2aTSvFRTA61tAij8WzLMdQva43boR45ItZ7qu64bz_a5X_1iv45LGct7eVf6-1rAH8oPLp5hzwv4uDAO7784eurOlO_u7O3tThl4-PONu5E9ZxSAOhlykcYPpfvd_sL8AewqnHg</recordid><startdate>20190901</startdate><enddate>20190901</enddate><creator>Löffler, Maximilian T.</creator><creator>Jacob, Alina</creator><creator>Valentinitsch, Alexander</creator><creator>Rienmüller, Anna</creator><creator>Zimmer, Claus</creator><creator>Ryang, Yu-Mi</creator><creator>Baum, Thomas</creator><creator>Kirschke, Jan S.</creator><general>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>C6C</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QO</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ARAPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>P5Z</scope><scope>P62</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6022-3682</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20190901</creationdate><title>Improved prediction of incident vertebral fractures using opportunistic QCT compared to DXA</title><author>Löffler, Maximilian T. ; Jacob, Alina ; Valentinitsch, Alexander ; Rienmüller, Anna ; Zimmer, Claus ; Ryang, Yu-Mi ; Baum, Thomas ; Kirschke, Jan S.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c474t-bad013eee0094798172eb71af926ffb6bf4ce2d37c4b59b26ec78e43893bf4d83</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Absorptiometry, Photon</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Biocompatibility</topic><topic>Biomedical materials</topic><topic>Bone Density</topic><topic>Bone diseases</topic><topic>Bone Diseases, Metabolic - complications</topic><topic>Bone Diseases, Metabolic - diagnostic imaging</topic><topic>Bone mineral density</topic><topic>Calibration</topic><topic>Cancellous bone</topic><topic>Computed tomography</topic><topic>Densitometers</topic><topic>Densitometry</topic><topic>Diagnostic Radiology</topic><topic>Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Fractures</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Imaging</topic><topic>Internal Medicine</topic><topic>Interventional Radiology</topic><topic>Lumbar Vertebrae - diagnostic imaging</topic><topic>Lumbar Vertebrae - injuries</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Mass Screening - methods</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Medicine &amp; Public Health</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Musculoskeletal</topic><topic>Neuroradiology</topic><topic>Neurosurgery</topic><topic>Osteopenia</topic><topic>Osteoporosis</topic><topic>Osteoporotic Fractures - diagnostic imaging</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Radiology</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Risk assessment</topic><topic>Scanners</topic><topic>Sex</topic><topic>Spinal Fractures - diagnostic imaging</topic><topic>Spine</topic><topic>Spine (lumbar)</topic><topic>Statistical analysis</topic><topic>Tomography, X-Ray Computed</topic><topic>Ultrasound</topic><topic>Vertebrae</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Löffler, Maximilian T.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jacob, Alina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Valentinitsch, Alexander</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rienmüller, Anna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zimmer, Claus</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ryang, Yu-Mi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Baum, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kirschke, Jan S.</creatorcontrib><collection>Springer Nature OA Free Journals</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Biotechnology Research Abstracts</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; 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Methods We included 84 patients aged 50 years and older, who had routine CT including the lumbar spine and DXA within a 12-month period (baseline) as well as follow-up imaging after at least 12 months or who sustained an incident vertebral fracture documented earlier. Patients with bone disorders aside from osteoporosis were excluded. Fracture status and trabecular bone mineral density (BMD) were retrospectively evaluated in baseline CT and fracture status was reassessed at follow-up. BMD QCT was assessed by opportunistic QCT with asynchronous calibration of multiple MDCT scanners. Results Sixteen patients had incident vertebral fractures showing lower mean BMD QCT than patients without fracture ( p  = 0.001). For the risk of incident vertebral fractures, the hazard ratio increased per SD in BMD QCT (4.07; 95% CI, 1.98–8.38), as well as after adjusting for age, sex, and prevalent fractures (2.54; 95% CI, 1.09–5.90). For DXA, a statistically significant increase in relative hazard per SD decrease in T -score was only observed after age and sex adjustment (1.57; 95% CI, 1.04–2.38). The predictability of incident vertebral fractures was good by BMD QCT (AUC = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64–0.89) and non-significant by T -scores. Asynchronously calibrated CT scanners showed good long-term stability (linear drift ranging from − 0.55 to − 2.29 HU per year). Conclusions Opportunistic screening of mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients in CT performed for indications other than densitometry allows for better risk assessment of imminent vertebral fractures than dedicated DXA. Key Points • Opportunistic QCT predicts osteoporotic vertebral fractures better than DXA reference standard in mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients. • More than every second patient (56%) with an incident vertebral fracture was misdiagnosed not having osteoporosis according to DXA. • Standard ACR QCT-cutoff values for osteoporosis (&lt; 80 mg/cm 3 ) and osteopenia (≤ 120 mg/cm 3 ) can also be applied scanner independently in calibrated opportunistic QCT.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>30790025</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00330-019-06018-w</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6022-3682</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Absorptiometry, Photon
Aged
Biocompatibility
Biomedical materials
Bone Density
Bone diseases
Bone Diseases, Metabolic - complications
Bone Diseases, Metabolic - diagnostic imaging
Bone mineral density
Calibration
Cancellous bone
Computed tomography
Densitometers
Densitometry
Diagnostic Radiology
Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry
Female
Fractures
Humans
Imaging
Internal Medicine
Interventional Radiology
Lumbar Vertebrae - diagnostic imaging
Lumbar Vertebrae - injuries
Male
Mass Screening - methods
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Middle Aged
Musculoskeletal
Neuroradiology
Neurosurgery
Osteopenia
Osteoporosis
Osteoporotic Fractures - diagnostic imaging
Patients
Radiology
Retrospective Studies
Risk assessment
Scanners
Sex
Spinal Fractures - diagnostic imaging
Spine
Spine (lumbar)
Statistical analysis
Tomography, X-Ray Computed
Ultrasound
Vertebrae
title Improved prediction of incident vertebral fractures using opportunistic QCT compared to DXA
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