Comparison of Secular Trends in Road Injury Mortality in China and the United States: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis
This study aimed to identify and compare the mortality trends for road injuries in China and the United States, and evaluate the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects to the trends from 1990 to 2014. Using the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study database, the mortality trends were analyze...
Gespeichert in:
| Veröffentlicht in: | International journal of environmental research and public health 2018-11, Vol.15 (11), p.2508 |
|---|---|
| Hauptverfasser: | , , , , |
| Format: | Artikel |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
| container_end_page | |
|---|---|
| container_issue | 11 |
| container_start_page | 2508 |
| container_title | International journal of environmental research and public health |
| container_volume | 15 |
| creator | Wang, Lu Yu, Chuanhua Zhang, Ganshen Zhang, Yunquan Luo, Lisha |
| description | This study aimed to identify and compare the mortality trends for road injuries in China and the United States, and evaluate the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects to the trends from 1990 to 2014. Using the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study database, the mortality trends were analyzed by joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling. Overall, the mortality for road injuries was higher in China than in the United States. The mortality in China increased from 1992 to 2002 (annual percent change [APC] was 1.9%), and then decreased from 2002 to 2015 (APC
was 1.5%; APC
was 3.5%). For the United States, the mortality decreased from 1990 to 2010 (APC
was 1.8%; APC
was 0.7%; APC
was 4.2%). Age-period-cohort modeling revealed significant period and cohort effects. Compared with the period 2002⁻2004, the period risk ratios (RRs) in 2010⁻2014 period declined by 14.62% for China and 18.86% for the United States. Compared with the 1955⁻1959 birth cohort, the cohort RRs for China and the United States in the 2010⁻2014 cohort reduced by 47.60% and 75.94%, respectively. Period and cohort effects could not be ignored for reducing road injury mortalities. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.3390/ijerph15112508 |
| format | Article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_pubme</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_6266197</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>2133437580</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c446t-1faa487b46f5907dc2aa2595d134584b8f60f7246204da709c238c58c0299fdd3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNpdkc9rFTEQx4NYbK1ePUrASy9b83sTD8JjsVpoUWx7DvM22W4e-5JnkhXef98traX1NMN8P_Nlhi9CHyg55dyQz2Hj826kklImiX6FjqhSpBGK0NfP-kP0tpQNIVwLZd6gQ04E40a2R6h0abuDHEqKOA34yvfzBBlfZx9dwSHi3wkcPo-bOe_xZcoVplD390I3hggYosN19PgmhuodvqpQffmCVxGvbn3zy-eQXNOlcdlchjDtSyjv0MEAU_HvH-sxujn7dt39aC5-fj_vVhdNL4SqDR0AhG7XQg3SkNb1DIBJIx3lQmqx1oMiQ8uEYkQ4aInpGde91D1hxgzO8WP09cF3N6-33vU-1gyT3eWwhby3CYJ9qcQw2tv01yqmFDXtYnDyaJDTn9mXareh9H6aIPo0F8so54K3UpMF_fQfuklzXh5eKKmZZoQYs1CnD1SfUynZD0_HUGLv87Qv81wWPj5_4Qn_FyC_Ay0CnJA</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Open Access Repository</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2582820099</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Comparison of Secular Trends in Road Injury Mortality in China and the United States: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis</title><source>PubMed Central Open Access</source><source>MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute</source><source>EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals</source><source>PubMed Central</source><source>Free Full-Text Journals in Chemistry</source><creator>Wang, Lu ; Yu, Chuanhua ; Zhang, Ganshen ; Zhang, Yunquan ; Luo, Lisha</creator><creatorcontrib>Wang, Lu ; Yu, Chuanhua ; Zhang, Ganshen ; Zhang, Yunquan ; Luo, Lisha</creatorcontrib><description>This study aimed to identify and compare the mortality trends for road injuries in China and the United States, and evaluate the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects to the trends from 1990 to 2014. Using the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study database, the mortality trends were analyzed by joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling. Overall, the mortality for road injuries was higher in China than in the United States. The mortality in China increased from 1992 to 2002 (annual percent change [APC] was 1.9%), and then decreased from 2002 to 2015 (APC
was 1.5%; APC
was 3.5%). For the United States, the mortality decreased from 1990 to 2010 (APC
was 1.8%; APC
was 0.7%; APC
was 4.2%). Age-period-cohort modeling revealed significant period and cohort effects. Compared with the period 2002⁻2004, the period risk ratios (RRs) in 2010⁻2014 period declined by 14.62% for China and 18.86% for the United States. Compared with the 1955⁻1959 birth cohort, the cohort RRs for China and the United States in the 2010⁻2014 cohort reduced by 47.60% and 75.94%, respectively. Period and cohort effects could not be ignored for reducing road injury mortalities.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1660-4601</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1661-7827</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1660-4601</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15112508</identifier><identifier>PMID: 30423957</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Switzerland: MDPI AG</publisher><subject>Age groups ; Cohort analysis ; Fatalities ; Injuries ; Injury analysis ; Injury prevention ; Modelling ; Mortality ; Roads ; Trends</subject><ispartof>International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018-11, Vol.15 (11), p.2508</ispartof><rights>2018 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2018 by the authors. 2018</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c446t-1faa487b46f5907dc2aa2595d134584b8f60f7246204da709c238c58c0299fdd3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c446t-1faa487b46f5907dc2aa2595d134584b8f60f7246204da709c238c58c0299fdd3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-1842-5782 ; 0000-0002-2618-5088 ; 0000-0002-5467-2481</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6266197/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6266197/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,881,27903,27904,53770,53772</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30423957$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Wang, Lu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yu, Chuanhua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Ganshen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Yunquan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Luo, Lisha</creatorcontrib><title>Comparison of Secular Trends in Road Injury Mortality in China and the United States: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis</title><title>International journal of environmental research and public health</title><addtitle>Int J Environ Res Public Health</addtitle><description>This study aimed to identify and compare the mortality trends for road injuries in China and the United States, and evaluate the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects to the trends from 1990 to 2014. Using the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study database, the mortality trends were analyzed by joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling. Overall, the mortality for road injuries was higher in China than in the United States. The mortality in China increased from 1992 to 2002 (annual percent change [APC] was 1.9%), and then decreased from 2002 to 2015 (APC
was 1.5%; APC
was 3.5%). For the United States, the mortality decreased from 1990 to 2010 (APC
was 1.8%; APC
was 0.7%; APC
was 4.2%). Age-period-cohort modeling revealed significant period and cohort effects. Compared with the period 2002⁻2004, the period risk ratios (RRs) in 2010⁻2014 period declined by 14.62% for China and 18.86% for the United States. Compared with the 1955⁻1959 birth cohort, the cohort RRs for China and the United States in the 2010⁻2014 cohort reduced by 47.60% and 75.94%, respectively. Period and cohort effects could not be ignored for reducing road injury mortalities.</description><subject>Age groups</subject><subject>Cohort analysis</subject><subject>Fatalities</subject><subject>Injuries</subject><subject>Injury analysis</subject><subject>Injury prevention</subject><subject>Modelling</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Roads</subject><subject>Trends</subject><issn>1660-4601</issn><issn>1661-7827</issn><issn>1660-4601</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><recordid>eNpdkc9rFTEQx4NYbK1ePUrASy9b83sTD8JjsVpoUWx7DvM22W4e-5JnkhXef98traX1NMN8P_Nlhi9CHyg55dyQz2Hj826kklImiX6FjqhSpBGK0NfP-kP0tpQNIVwLZd6gQ04E40a2R6h0abuDHEqKOA34yvfzBBlfZx9dwSHi3wkcPo-bOe_xZcoVplD390I3hggYosN19PgmhuodvqpQffmCVxGvbn3zy-eQXNOlcdlchjDtSyjv0MEAU_HvH-sxujn7dt39aC5-fj_vVhdNL4SqDR0AhG7XQg3SkNb1DIBJIx3lQmqx1oMiQ8uEYkQ4aInpGde91D1hxgzO8WP09cF3N6-33vU-1gyT3eWwhby3CYJ9qcQw2tv01yqmFDXtYnDyaJDTn9mXareh9H6aIPo0F8so54K3UpMF_fQfuklzXh5eKKmZZoQYs1CnD1SfUynZD0_HUGLv87Qv81wWPj5_4Qn_FyC_Ay0CnJA</recordid><startdate>20181109</startdate><enddate>20181109</enddate><creator>Wang, Lu</creator><creator>Yu, Chuanhua</creator><creator>Zhang, Ganshen</creator><creator>Zhang, Yunquan</creator><creator>Luo, Lisha</creator><general>MDPI AG</general><general>MDPI</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1842-5782</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2618-5088</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5467-2481</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20181109</creationdate><title>Comparison of Secular Trends in Road Injury Mortality in China and the United States: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis</title><author>Wang, Lu ; Yu, Chuanhua ; Zhang, Ganshen ; Zhang, Yunquan ; Luo, Lisha</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c446t-1faa487b46f5907dc2aa2595d134584b8f60f7246204da709c238c58c0299fdd3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2018</creationdate><topic>Age groups</topic><topic>Cohort analysis</topic><topic>Fatalities</topic><topic>Injuries</topic><topic>Injury analysis</topic><topic>Injury prevention</topic><topic>Modelling</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Roads</topic><topic>Trends</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Wang, Lu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yu, Chuanhua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Ganshen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Yunquan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Luo, Lisha</creatorcontrib><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Public Health Database</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>International journal of environmental research and public health</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Wang, Lu</au><au>Yu, Chuanhua</au><au>Zhang, Ganshen</au><au>Zhang, Yunquan</au><au>Luo, Lisha</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Comparison of Secular Trends in Road Injury Mortality in China and the United States: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis</atitle><jtitle>International journal of environmental research and public health</jtitle><addtitle>Int J Environ Res Public Health</addtitle><date>2018-11-09</date><risdate>2018</risdate><volume>15</volume><issue>11</issue><spage>2508</spage><pages>2508-</pages><issn>1660-4601</issn><issn>1661-7827</issn><eissn>1660-4601</eissn><abstract>This study aimed to identify and compare the mortality trends for road injuries in China and the United States, and evaluate the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects to the trends from 1990 to 2014. Using the 2016 Global Burden of Disease Study database, the mortality trends were analyzed by joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling. Overall, the mortality for road injuries was higher in China than in the United States. The mortality in China increased from 1992 to 2002 (annual percent change [APC] was 1.9%), and then decreased from 2002 to 2015 (APC
was 1.5%; APC
was 3.5%). For the United States, the mortality decreased from 1990 to 2010 (APC
was 1.8%; APC
was 0.7%; APC
was 4.2%). Age-period-cohort modeling revealed significant period and cohort effects. Compared with the period 2002⁻2004, the period risk ratios (RRs) in 2010⁻2014 period declined by 14.62% for China and 18.86% for the United States. Compared with the 1955⁻1959 birth cohort, the cohort RRs for China and the United States in the 2010⁻2014 cohort reduced by 47.60% and 75.94%, respectively. Period and cohort effects could not be ignored for reducing road injury mortalities.</abstract><cop>Switzerland</cop><pub>MDPI AG</pub><pmid>30423957</pmid><doi>10.3390/ijerph15112508</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1842-5782</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2618-5088</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5467-2481</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 1660-4601 |
| ispartof | International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018-11, Vol.15 (11), p.2508 |
| issn | 1660-4601 1661-7827 1660-4601 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_6266197 |
| source | PubMed Central Open Access; MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals; PubMed Central; Free Full-Text Journals in Chemistry |
| subjects | Age groups Cohort analysis Fatalities Injuries Injury analysis Injury prevention Modelling Mortality Roads Trends |
| title | Comparison of Secular Trends in Road Injury Mortality in China and the United States: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-22T11%3A57%3A57IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_pubme&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Comparison%20of%20Secular%20Trends%20in%20Road%20Injury%20Mortality%20in%20China%20and%20the%20United%20States:%20An%20Age-Period-Cohort%20Analysis&rft.jtitle=International%20journal%20of%20environmental%20research%20and%20public%20health&rft.au=Wang,%20Lu&rft.date=2018-11-09&rft.volume=15&rft.issue=11&rft.spage=2508&rft.pages=2508-&rft.issn=1660-4601&rft.eissn=1660-4601&rft_id=info:doi/10.3390/ijerph15112508&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_pubme%3E2133437580%3C/proquest_pubme%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2582820099&rft_id=info:pmid/30423957&rfr_iscdi=true |