High Body Mass Index in Infancy May Predict Severe Obesity in Early Childhood

Objective To characterize growth trajectories of children who develop severe obesity by age 6 years and identify clinical thresholds for detection of high-risk children before the onset of obesity. Study design Two lean (body mass index [BMI] 5th to ≤75th percentile) and 2 severely obese (BMI ≥99th...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of pediatrics 2017-04, Vol.183, p.87-93.e1
Hauptverfasser: Smego, Allison, MD, Woo, Jessica G., PhD, Klein, Jillian, MD, Suh, Christina, MD, MPH, Bansal, Danesh, MD, Bliss, Sherri, MS, Daniels, Stephen R., MD, Bolling, Christopher, MD, Crimmins, Nancy A., MD
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container_end_page 93.e1
container_issue
container_start_page 87
container_title The Journal of pediatrics
container_volume 183
creator Smego, Allison, MD
Woo, Jessica G., PhD
Klein, Jillian, MD
Suh, Christina, MD, MPH
Bansal, Danesh, MD
Bliss, Sherri, MS
Daniels, Stephen R., MD
Bolling, Christopher, MD
Crimmins, Nancy A., MD
description Objective To characterize growth trajectories of children who develop severe obesity by age 6 years and identify clinical thresholds for detection of high-risk children before the onset of obesity. Study design Two lean (body mass index [BMI] 5th to ≤75th percentile) and 2 severely obese (BMI ≥99th percentile) groups were selected from populations treated at pediatric referral and primary care clinics. A population-based cohort was used to validate the utility of identified risk thresholds. Repeated-measures mixed modeling and logistic regression were used for analysis. Results A total of 783 participants of normal weight and 480 participants with severe obesity were included in the initial study. BMI differed significantly between the severely obese and normal-weight cohorts by age 4 months ( P  
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jpeds.2016.11.020
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Study design Two lean (body mass index [BMI] 5th to ≤75th percentile) and 2 severely obese (BMI ≥99th percentile) groups were selected from populations treated at pediatric referral and primary care clinics. A population-based cohort was used to validate the utility of identified risk thresholds. Repeated-measures mixed modeling and logistic regression were used for analysis. Results A total of 783 participants of normal weight and 480 participants with severe obesity were included in the initial study. BMI differed significantly between the severely obese and normal-weight cohorts by age 4 months ( P  &lt; .001), at 1 year before the median age at onset of obesity. A cutoff of the World Health Organization (WHO) 85th percentile for BMI at 6, 12, and 18 months was a strong predictor of severe obesity by age 6 years (sensitivity, 51%-95%; specificity, 95%). This BMI threshold was validated in a second independent cohort (n = 2649), with a sensitivity of 33%-77% and a specificity of 74%-87%. A BMI ≥85th percentile in infancy increases the risk of severe obesity by age 6 years by 2.5-fold and the risk of clinical obesity by age 6 years by 3-fold. Conclusions BMI trajectories in children who develop severe obesity by age 6 years differ from those in children who remain at normal weight by age 4-6 months, before the onset of obesity. Infants with a WHO BMI ≥85th percentile are at increased risk for developing severe obesity by age 6 years.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0022-3476</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1097-6833</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2016.11.020</identifier><identifier>PMID: 27916426</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Age Factors ; BMI percentile ; Body Mass Index ; Case-Control Studies ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Female ; Humans ; Incidence ; Infant ; infant growth ; Infant, Newborn ; Logistic Models ; Male ; obese ; Obesity - diagnosis ; Obesity - epidemiology ; Obesity, Morbid - diagnosis ; Obesity, Morbid - epidemiology ; Pediatrics ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Reference Values ; Reproducibility of Results ; Risk Assessment ; Sex Factors ; weight for length ; Weight Gain</subject><ispartof>The Journal of pediatrics, 2017-04, Vol.183, p.87-93.e1</ispartof><rights>Elsevier Inc.</rights><rights>2016 Elsevier Inc.</rights><rights>Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c514t-f823320c75c0834004e5d89f444a6b58d802f2a97cd84818c3251bc121d052433</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c514t-f823320c75c0834004e5d89f444a6b58d802f2a97cd84818c3251bc121d052433</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-2852-8427 ; 0000-0003-3644-8432</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpeds.2016.11.020$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,315,781,785,886,3551,27929,27930,46000</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27916426$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Smego, Allison, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woo, Jessica G., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klein, Jillian, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Suh, Christina, MD, MPH</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bansal, Danesh, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bliss, Sherri, MS</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Daniels, Stephen R., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bolling, Christopher, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Crimmins, Nancy A., MD</creatorcontrib><title>High Body Mass Index in Infancy May Predict Severe Obesity in Early Childhood</title><title>The Journal of pediatrics</title><addtitle>J Pediatr</addtitle><description>Objective To characterize growth trajectories of children who develop severe obesity by age 6 years and identify clinical thresholds for detection of high-risk children before the onset of obesity. Study design Two lean (body mass index [BMI] 5th to ≤75th percentile) and 2 severely obese (BMI ≥99th percentile) groups were selected from populations treated at pediatric referral and primary care clinics. A population-based cohort was used to validate the utility of identified risk thresholds. Repeated-measures mixed modeling and logistic regression were used for analysis. Results A total of 783 participants of normal weight and 480 participants with severe obesity were included in the initial study. BMI differed significantly between the severely obese and normal-weight cohorts by age 4 months ( P  &lt; .001), at 1 year before the median age at onset of obesity. A cutoff of the World Health Organization (WHO) 85th percentile for BMI at 6, 12, and 18 months was a strong predictor of severe obesity by age 6 years (sensitivity, 51%-95%; specificity, 95%). This BMI threshold was validated in a second independent cohort (n = 2649), with a sensitivity of 33%-77% and a specificity of 74%-87%. A BMI ≥85th percentile in infancy increases the risk of severe obesity by age 6 years by 2.5-fold and the risk of clinical obesity by age 6 years by 3-fold. Conclusions BMI trajectories in children who develop severe obesity by age 6 years differ from those in children who remain at normal weight by age 4-6 months, before the onset of obesity. Infants with a WHO BMI ≥85th percentile are at increased risk for developing severe obesity by age 6 years.</description><subject>Age Factors</subject><subject>BMI percentile</subject><subject>Body Mass Index</subject><subject>Case-Control Studies</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Child, Preschool</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Infant</subject><subject>infant growth</subject><subject>Infant, Newborn</subject><subject>Logistic Models</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>obese</subject><subject>Obesity - diagnosis</subject><subject>Obesity - epidemiology</subject><subject>Obesity, Morbid - diagnosis</subject><subject>Obesity, Morbid - epidemiology</subject><subject>Pediatrics</subject><subject>Predictive Value of Tests</subject><subject>Reference Values</subject><subject>Reproducibility of Results</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Sex Factors</subject><subject>weight for length</subject><subject>Weight Gain</subject><issn>0022-3476</issn><issn>1097-6833</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2017</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqFUk1v1DAQtRCILoVfgIRy5JLgsR2vc6ASXRVaqVWRCmfLa0-6Dtl4sbMr8u9x2FIBF062x-9jNG8IeQ20AgryXVd1O3SpYvlRAVSU0SdkAbRZllJx_pQsKGWs5GIpT8iLlDpKaSMofU5O2LIBKZhckJtLf78pzoObihuTUnE1OPxR-CFfWjPYuToVnyM6b8fiDg8YsbhdY_LjNKMuTOynYrXxvduE4F6SZ63pE756OE_J148XX1aX5fXtp6vVh-vS1iDGslWMc0btsrZU8dySwNqpphVCGLmulVOUtcw0S-uUUKAsZzWsLTBwtGaC81NydtTd7ddbdBaHMZpe76LfmjjpYLz--2fwG30fDlpmYw6zwNsHgRi-7zGNeuuTxb43A4Z90qCEpEwyJTKUH6E2hpQito82QPUchO70ryD0HIQG0DmIzHrzZ4ePnN-Tz4D3RwDmOR08Rp2sx8HmSUe0o3bB_8fg7B--7f3grem_4YSpC_s45Ag06MQ01XfzLsyrAJIDE03NfwL1q63J</recordid><startdate>20170401</startdate><enddate>20170401</enddate><creator>Smego, Allison, MD</creator><creator>Woo, Jessica G., PhD</creator><creator>Klein, Jillian, MD</creator><creator>Suh, Christina, MD, MPH</creator><creator>Bansal, Danesh, MD</creator><creator>Bliss, Sherri, MS</creator><creator>Daniels, Stephen R., MD</creator><creator>Bolling, Christopher, MD</creator><creator>Crimmins, Nancy A., MD</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2852-8427</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3644-8432</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20170401</creationdate><title>High Body Mass Index in Infancy May Predict Severe Obesity in Early Childhood</title><author>Smego, Allison, MD ; Woo, Jessica G., PhD ; Klein, Jillian, MD ; Suh, Christina, MD, MPH ; Bansal, Danesh, MD ; Bliss, Sherri, MS ; Daniels, Stephen R., MD ; Bolling, Christopher, MD ; Crimmins, Nancy A., MD</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c514t-f823320c75c0834004e5d89f444a6b58d802f2a97cd84818c3251bc121d052433</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2017</creationdate><topic>Age Factors</topic><topic>BMI percentile</topic><topic>Body Mass Index</topic><topic>Case-Control Studies</topic><topic>Child</topic><topic>Child, Preschool</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Infant</topic><topic>infant growth</topic><topic>Infant, Newborn</topic><topic>Logistic Models</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>obese</topic><topic>Obesity - diagnosis</topic><topic>Obesity - epidemiology</topic><topic>Obesity, Morbid - diagnosis</topic><topic>Obesity, Morbid - epidemiology</topic><topic>Pediatrics</topic><topic>Predictive Value of Tests</topic><topic>Reference Values</topic><topic>Reproducibility of Results</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Sex Factors</topic><topic>weight for length</topic><topic>Weight Gain</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Smego, Allison, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woo, Jessica G., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klein, Jillian, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Suh, Christina, MD, MPH</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bansal, Danesh, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bliss, Sherri, MS</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Daniels, Stephen R., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bolling, Christopher, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Crimmins, Nancy A., MD</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>The Journal of pediatrics</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Smego, Allison, MD</au><au>Woo, Jessica G., PhD</au><au>Klein, Jillian, MD</au><au>Suh, Christina, MD, MPH</au><au>Bansal, Danesh, MD</au><au>Bliss, Sherri, MS</au><au>Daniels, Stephen R., MD</au><au>Bolling, Christopher, MD</au><au>Crimmins, Nancy A., MD</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>High Body Mass Index in Infancy May Predict Severe Obesity in Early Childhood</atitle><jtitle>The Journal of pediatrics</jtitle><addtitle>J Pediatr</addtitle><date>2017-04-01</date><risdate>2017</risdate><volume>183</volume><spage>87</spage><epage>93.e1</epage><pages>87-93.e1</pages><issn>0022-3476</issn><eissn>1097-6833</eissn><abstract>Objective To characterize growth trajectories of children who develop severe obesity by age 6 years and identify clinical thresholds for detection of high-risk children before the onset of obesity. Study design Two lean (body mass index [BMI] 5th to ≤75th percentile) and 2 severely obese (BMI ≥99th percentile) groups were selected from populations treated at pediatric referral and primary care clinics. A population-based cohort was used to validate the utility of identified risk thresholds. Repeated-measures mixed modeling and logistic regression were used for analysis. Results A total of 783 participants of normal weight and 480 participants with severe obesity were included in the initial study. BMI differed significantly between the severely obese and normal-weight cohorts by age 4 months ( P  &lt; .001), at 1 year before the median age at onset of obesity. A cutoff of the World Health Organization (WHO) 85th percentile for BMI at 6, 12, and 18 months was a strong predictor of severe obesity by age 6 years (sensitivity, 51%-95%; specificity, 95%). 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subjects Age Factors
BMI percentile
Body Mass Index
Case-Control Studies
Child
Child, Preschool
Female
Humans
Incidence
Infant
infant growth
Infant, Newborn
Logistic Models
Male
obese
Obesity - diagnosis
Obesity - epidemiology
Obesity, Morbid - diagnosis
Obesity, Morbid - epidemiology
Pediatrics
Predictive Value of Tests
Reference Values
Reproducibility of Results
Risk Assessment
Sex Factors
weight for length
Weight Gain
title High Body Mass Index in Infancy May Predict Severe Obesity in Early Childhood
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