Areas with High Hazard Potential for Autochthonous Transmission of Aedes albopictus -Associated Arboviruses in Germany
The intensity and extent of transmission of arboviruses such as dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus have increased markedly over the last decades. Autochthonous transmission of dengue and chikungunya by has been recorded in Southern Europe where the invasive mosquito was already established and vira...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | International journal of environmental research and public health 2018-06, Vol.15 (6), p.1270 |
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| creator | Thomas, Stephanie Margarete Tjaden, Nils Benjamin Frank, Christina Jaeschke, Anja Zipfel, Lukas Wagner-Wiening, Christiane Faber, Mirko Beierkuhnlein, Carl Stark, Klaus |
| description | The intensity and extent of transmission of arboviruses such as dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus have increased markedly over the last decades. Autochthonous transmission of dengue and chikungunya by
has been recorded in Southern Europe where the invasive mosquito was already established and viraemic travelers had imported the virus.
populations are spreading northward into Germany. Here, we model the current and future climatically suitable regions for
establishment in Germany, using climate data of spatially high resolution. To highlight areas where vectors and viraemic travellers are most likely to come into contact, reported dengue and chikungunya incidences are integrated at the county level. German cities with the highest likelihood of autochthonous transmission of
-borne arboviruses are currently located in the western parts of the country: Freiburg im Breisgau, Speyer, and Karlsruhe, affecting about 0.5 million people. In addition, 8.8 million people live in regions considered to show elevated hazard potential assuming further spread of the mosquito: Baden-Württemberg (Upper Rhine, Lake Constance regions), southern parts of Hesse, and North Rhine-Westphalia (Lower Rhine). Overall, a more targeted and thus cost-efficient implementation of vector control measures and health surveillance will be supported by the detailed maps provided here. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.3390/ijerph15061270 |
| format | Article |
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has been recorded in Southern Europe where the invasive mosquito was already established and viraemic travelers had imported the virus.
populations are spreading northward into Germany. Here, we model the current and future climatically suitable regions for
establishment in Germany, using climate data of spatially high resolution. To highlight areas where vectors and viraemic travellers are most likely to come into contact, reported dengue and chikungunya incidences are integrated at the county level. German cities with the highest likelihood of autochthonous transmission of
-borne arboviruses are currently located in the western parts of the country: Freiburg im Breisgau, Speyer, and Karlsruhe, affecting about 0.5 million people. In addition, 8.8 million people live in regions considered to show elevated hazard potential assuming further spread of the mosquito: Baden-Württemberg (Upper Rhine, Lake Constance regions), southern parts of Hesse, and North Rhine-Westphalia (Lower Rhine). Overall, a more targeted and thus cost-efficient implementation of vector control measures and health surveillance will be supported by the detailed maps provided here.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1660-4601</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1661-7827</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1660-4601</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15061270</identifier><identifier>PMID: 29914102</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Switzerland: MDPI AG</publisher><subject>Aedes - virology ; Aedes albopictus ; Animals ; Arbovirus Infections - transmission ; Chikungunya virus ; Climate ; Climate change ; Climatic data ; Disease transmission ; Germany ; Health surveillance ; Humans ; Insect control ; Models, Biological ; Mosquito Vectors - virology ; Mosquitoes ; Population Dynamics ; Precipitation ; Risk Assessment ; Software ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Surveillance ; Travellers ; Vector-borne diseases ; Vectors ; Vectors (Biology) ; Viruses ; Zika virus</subject><ispartof>International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018-06, Vol.15 (6), p.1270</ispartof><rights>2018. This work is licensed under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2018 by the authors. 2018</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c418t-7d86440a166439efa32454ec9b0c23fd8b31b9955bff2345749c3ef520e8426f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c418t-7d86440a166439efa32454ec9b0c23fd8b31b9955bff2345749c3ef520e8426f3</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-0507-2006 ; 0000-0002-9196-570X ; 0000-0002-6456-4628</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6025521/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6025521/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,881,27901,27902,53766,53768</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29914102$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Thomas, Stephanie Margarete</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tjaden, Nils Benjamin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Frank, Christina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jaeschke, Anja</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zipfel, Lukas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wagner-Wiening, Christiane</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Faber, Mirko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Beierkuhnlein, Carl</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stark, Klaus</creatorcontrib><title>Areas with High Hazard Potential for Autochthonous Transmission of Aedes albopictus -Associated Arboviruses in Germany</title><title>International journal of environmental research and public health</title><addtitle>Int J Environ Res Public Health</addtitle><description>The intensity and extent of transmission of arboviruses such as dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus have increased markedly over the last decades. Autochthonous transmission of dengue and chikungunya by
has been recorded in Southern Europe where the invasive mosquito was already established and viraemic travelers had imported the virus.
populations are spreading northward into Germany. Here, we model the current and future climatically suitable regions for
establishment in Germany, using climate data of spatially high resolution. To highlight areas where vectors and viraemic travellers are most likely to come into contact, reported dengue and chikungunya incidences are integrated at the county level. German cities with the highest likelihood of autochthonous transmission of
-borne arboviruses are currently located in the western parts of the country: Freiburg im Breisgau, Speyer, and Karlsruhe, affecting about 0.5 million people. In addition, 8.8 million people live in regions considered to show elevated hazard potential assuming further spread of the mosquito: Baden-Württemberg (Upper Rhine, Lake Constance regions), southern parts of Hesse, and North Rhine-Westphalia (Lower Rhine). Overall, a more targeted and thus cost-efficient implementation of vector control measures and health surveillance will be supported by the detailed maps provided here.</description><subject>Aedes - virology</subject><subject>Aedes albopictus</subject><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Arbovirus Infections - transmission</subject><subject>Chikungunya virus</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatic data</subject><subject>Disease transmission</subject><subject>Germany</subject><subject>Health surveillance</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Insect control</subject><subject>Models, Biological</subject><subject>Mosquito Vectors - virology</subject><subject>Mosquitoes</subject><subject>Population Dynamics</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Software</subject><subject>Spatio-Temporal Analysis</subject><subject>Surveillance</subject><subject>Travellers</subject><subject>Vector-borne diseases</subject><subject>Vectors</subject><subject>Vectors (Biology)</subject><subject>Viruses</subject><subject>Zika virus</subject><issn>1660-4601</issn><issn>1661-7827</issn><issn>1660-4601</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><recordid>eNpVkU1LAzEQhoMofl89SsDzar67uQiLqBUKeqjnkM0mbkq7qUm2or_eSFX0MjMwz7wzwwvAGUaXlEp05Rc2rnvMkcBkgnbAIRYCVUwgvPunPgBHKS0QojUTch8cECkxw4gcgk0TrU7wzeceTv1LCfpDxw4-hWyH7PUSuhBhM-Zg-tyHIYwJzqMe0sqn5MMAg4ON7WyCetmGtTe5AFWTUjBeZ9vBJrZh4-OYCuIHeG_jSg_vJ2DP6WWyp9_5GDzf3c5vptXs8f7hpplVhuE6V5OuFowhXR5hVFqnKWGcWSNbZAh1Xd1S3ErJeescoYxPmDTUOk6QrRkRjh6D663uemxXtjPlp6iXah39Ssd3FbRX_zuD79VL2CiBCOcEF4GLb4EYXkebslqEMQ7lZkUwqhniYiILdbmlTAwpRet-N2CkvnxS_30qA-d_7_rFf4yhn76MkZA</recordid><startdate>20180615</startdate><enddate>20180615</enddate><creator>Thomas, Stephanie Margarete</creator><creator>Tjaden, Nils Benjamin</creator><creator>Frank, Christina</creator><creator>Jaeschke, Anja</creator><creator>Zipfel, Lukas</creator><creator>Wagner-Wiening, Christiane</creator><creator>Faber, Mirko</creator><creator>Beierkuhnlein, Carl</creator><creator>Stark, Klaus</creator><general>MDPI AG</general><general>MDPI</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0507-2006</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9196-570X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6456-4628</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20180615</creationdate><title>Areas with High Hazard Potential for Autochthonous Transmission of Aedes albopictus -Associated Arboviruses in Germany</title><author>Thomas, Stephanie Margarete ; 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Autochthonous transmission of dengue and chikungunya by
has been recorded in Southern Europe where the invasive mosquito was already established and viraemic travelers had imported the virus.
populations are spreading northward into Germany. Here, we model the current and future climatically suitable regions for
establishment in Germany, using climate data of spatially high resolution. To highlight areas where vectors and viraemic travellers are most likely to come into contact, reported dengue and chikungunya incidences are integrated at the county level. German cities with the highest likelihood of autochthonous transmission of
-borne arboviruses are currently located in the western parts of the country: Freiburg im Breisgau, Speyer, and Karlsruhe, affecting about 0.5 million people. In addition, 8.8 million people live in regions considered to show elevated hazard potential assuming further spread of the mosquito: Baden-Württemberg (Upper Rhine, Lake Constance regions), southern parts of Hesse, and North Rhine-Westphalia (Lower Rhine). Overall, a more targeted and thus cost-efficient implementation of vector control measures and health surveillance will be supported by the detailed maps provided here.</abstract><cop>Switzerland</cop><pub>MDPI AG</pub><pmid>29914102</pmid><doi>10.3390/ijerph15061270</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0507-2006</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9196-570X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6456-4628</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Aedes - virology Aedes albopictus Animals Arbovirus Infections - transmission Chikungunya virus Climate Climate change Climatic data Disease transmission Germany Health surveillance Humans Insect control Models, Biological Mosquito Vectors - virology Mosquitoes Population Dynamics Precipitation Risk Assessment Software Spatio-Temporal Analysis Surveillance Travellers Vector-borne diseases Vectors Vectors (Biology) Viruses Zika virus |
| title | Areas with High Hazard Potential for Autochthonous Transmission of Aedes albopictus -Associated Arboviruses in Germany |
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