Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health

From the 1930s through the 1940s, Lowell Reed and Wade Hampton Frost used mathematical models and mechanical epidemic simulators as research tools and to teach epidemic theory to students at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (then the School of Hygiene and Public Health). Since tha...

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Veröffentlicht in:American journal of epidemiology 2016-03, Vol.183 (5), p.415-422
Hauptverfasser: Lessler, Justin, Cummings, Derek A T
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container_title American journal of epidemiology
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creator Lessler, Justin
Cummings, Derek A T
description From the 1930s through the 1940s, Lowell Reed and Wade Hampton Frost used mathematical models and mechanical epidemic simulators as research tools and to teach epidemic theory to students at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (then the School of Hygiene and Public Health). Since that time, modeling has become an integral part of epidemiology and public health. Models have been used for explanatory and inferential purposes, as well as in planning and implementing public health responses. In this article, we review a selection of developments in the history of modeling of infectious disease dynamics over the past 100 years. We also identify trends in model development and use and speculate as to the future use of models in infectious disease dynamics.
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source Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current); MEDLINE; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Commentaries
Communicable Diseases - epidemiology
Epidemics - history
Epidemics - statistics & numerical data
Epidemiologic Methods
Epidemiology
Epidemiology - history
History, 20th Century
History, 21st Century
Humans
Infectious diseases
Maryland
Mathematical models
Models, Theoretical
Public health
Schools, Public Health - history
Simulators
Universities - history
title Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health
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