Variables Measured During Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing as Predictors of Mortality in Chronic Systolic Heart Failure

Abstract Background Data from a cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) test are used to determine prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables. Objectives The study sought to desc...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of the American College of Cardiology 2016-02, Vol.67 (7), p.780-789
Hauptverfasser: Keteyian, Steven J., PhD, Patel, Mahesh, MD, Kraus, William E., MD, Brawner, Clinton A., PhD, McConnell, Timothy R., PhD, Piña, Ileana L., MD, MPH, Leifer, Eric S., PhD, Fleg, Jerome L., MD, Blackburn, Gordon, PhD, Fonarow, Gregg C., MD, Chase, Paul J., PhD, Piner, Lucy, MS, Vest, Marianne, MA, O’Connor, Christopher M., MD, Ehrman, Jonathan K., PhD, Walsh, Mary N., MD, Ewald, Gregory, MD, Bensimhon, Dan, MD, Russell, Stuart D., MD
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container_end_page 789
container_issue 7
container_start_page 780
container_title Journal of the American College of Cardiology
container_volume 67
creator Keteyian, Steven J., PhD
Patel, Mahesh, MD
Kraus, William E., MD
Brawner, Clinton A., PhD
McConnell, Timothy R., PhD
Piña, Ileana L., MD, MPH
Leifer, Eric S., PhD
Fleg, Jerome L., MD
Blackburn, Gordon, PhD
Fonarow, Gregg C., MD
Chase, Paul J., PhD
Piner, Lucy, MS
Vest, Marianne, MA
O’Connor, Christopher M., MD
Ehrman, Jonathan K., PhD
Walsh, Mary N., MD
Ewald, Gregory, MD
Bensimhon, Dan, MD
Russell, Stuart D., MD
description Abstract Background Data from a cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) test are used to determine prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables. Objectives The study sought to describe the strength of the association among variables measured during a CPX test and all-cause mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including the influence of sex and patient effort, as measured by respiratory exchange ratio (RER). Methods Among patients (n = 2,100, 29% women) enrolled in the HF-ACTION (HF-A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of exercise traiNing) trial, 10 CPX test variables measured at baseline (e.g., peak oxygen uptake [V o2 ], exercise duration, percent predicted peak V o2 [%ppV o2 ], ventilatory efficiency) were examined. Results Over a median follow-up of 32 months, there were 357 deaths. All CPX variables, except RER, were related to all-cause mortality (all p < 0.0001). Both %ppV o2 and exercise duration were equally able to predict (Wald chi-square: ∼141) and discriminate (c-index: 0.69) mortality. Peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) was the strongest predictor of mortality among men (Wald chi-square: 129) and exercise duration among women (Wald chi-square: 41). Multivariable analyses showed that %ppV o2 , exercise duration, and peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) were similarly able to predict and discriminate mortality. In men, a 10% 1-year mortality rate corresponded to a peak V o2 of 10.9 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 versus 5.3 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 in women. Conclusions Peak V o2 , exercise duration, and % ppV o2 carried the strongest ability to predict and discriminate the likelihood of death in patients with HFrEF. The prognosis associated with a given peak V o2 differed by sex. (Exercise Training Program to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Individuals With Congestive Heart Failure; NCT00047437 )
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jacc.2015.11.050
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However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables. Objectives The study sought to describe the strength of the association among variables measured during a CPX test and all-cause mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including the influence of sex and patient effort, as measured by respiratory exchange ratio (RER). Methods Among patients (n = 2,100, 29% women) enrolled in the HF-ACTION (HF-A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of exercise traiNing) trial, 10 CPX test variables measured at baseline (e.g., peak oxygen uptake [V o2 ], exercise duration, percent predicted peak V o2 [%ppV o2 ], ventilatory efficiency) were examined. Results Over a median follow-up of 32 months, there were 357 deaths. All CPX variables, except RER, were related to all-cause mortality (all p &lt; 0.0001). Both %ppV o2 and exercise duration were equally able to predict (Wald chi-square: ∼141) and discriminate (c-index: 0.69) mortality. Peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) was the strongest predictor of mortality among men (Wald chi-square: 129) and exercise duration among women (Wald chi-square: 41). Multivariable analyses showed that %ppV o2 , exercise duration, and peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) were similarly able to predict and discriminate mortality. In men, a 10% 1-year mortality rate corresponded to a peak V o2 of 10.9 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 versus 5.3 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 in women. Conclusions Peak V o2 , exercise duration, and % ppV o2 carried the strongest ability to predict and discriminate the likelihood of death in patients with HFrEF. The prognosis associated with a given peak V o2 differed by sex. 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Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.</rights><rights>Copyright Elsevier Limited Feb 23, 2016</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c571t-f3829abc70ca5e41aaa5937799e40db9eccc7f8068a0d459749c37c906be6a683</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c571t-f3829abc70ca5e41aaa5937799e40db9eccc7f8068a0d459749c37c906be6a683</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2015.11.050$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,777,781,882,3537,27905,27906,45976</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26892413$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Keteyian, Steven J., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Patel, Mahesh, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kraus, William E., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Brawner, Clinton A., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McConnell, Timothy R., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Piña, Ileana L., MD, MPH</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Leifer, Eric S., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fleg, Jerome L., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Blackburn, Gordon, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fonarow, Gregg C., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chase, Paul J., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Piner, Lucy, MS</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vest, Marianne, MA</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>O’Connor, Christopher M., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ehrman, Jonathan K., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Walsh, Mary N., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ewald, Gregory, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bensimhon, Dan, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Russell, Stuart D., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>HF-ACTION Investigators</creatorcontrib><title>Variables Measured During Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing as Predictors of Mortality in Chronic Systolic Heart Failure</title><title>Journal of the American College of Cardiology</title><addtitle>J Am Coll Cardiol</addtitle><description>Abstract Background Data from a cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) test are used to determine prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables. Objectives The study sought to describe the strength of the association among variables measured during a CPX test and all-cause mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including the influence of sex and patient effort, as measured by respiratory exchange ratio (RER). Methods Among patients (n = 2,100, 29% women) enrolled in the HF-ACTION (HF-A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of exercise traiNing) trial, 10 CPX test variables measured at baseline (e.g., peak oxygen uptake [V o2 ], exercise duration, percent predicted peak V o2 [%ppV o2 ], ventilatory efficiency) were examined. Results Over a median follow-up of 32 months, there were 357 deaths. All CPX variables, except RER, were related to all-cause mortality (all p &lt; 0.0001). Both %ppV o2 and exercise duration were equally able to predict (Wald chi-square: ∼141) and discriminate (c-index: 0.69) mortality. Peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) was the strongest predictor of mortality among men (Wald chi-square: 129) and exercise duration among women (Wald chi-square: 41). Multivariable analyses showed that %ppV o2 , exercise duration, and peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) were similarly able to predict and discriminate mortality. In men, a 10% 1-year mortality rate corresponded to a peak V o2 of 10.9 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 versus 5.3 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 in women. Conclusions Peak V o2 , exercise duration, and % ppV o2 carried the strongest ability to predict and discriminate the likelihood of death in patients with HFrEF. The prognosis associated with a given peak V o2 differed by sex. (Exercise Training Program to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Individuals With Congestive Heart Failure; NCT00047437 )</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Cardiology</subject><subject>Cardiovascular</subject><subject>Cause of Death - trends</subject><subject>Confidence intervals</subject><subject>Disease Progression</subject><subject>Efficiency</subject><subject>Exercise</subject><subject>Exercise Test - methods</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Follow-Up Studies</subject><subject>Heart attacks</subject><subject>Heart failure</subject><subject>Heart Failure, Systolic - diagnosis</subject><subject>Heart Failure, Systolic - mortality</subject><subject>Heart Failure, Systolic - physiopathology</subject><subject>Heart rate</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Internal Medicine</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical prognosis</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Oxygen Consumption - physiology</subject><subject>peak Vo2</subject><subject>Predictive Value of Tests</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>respiratory exchange ratio</subject><subject>sex</subject><subject>Stroke Volume - physiology</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>survival</subject><subject>Survival Rate - trends</subject><subject>Time Factors</subject><subject>United States - epidemiology</subject><subject>Ventilation</subject><subject>Women</subject><issn>0735-1097</issn><issn>1558-3597</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2016</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqFkkFvEzEQhS0EoiHwBzggS1y4JHjWu-u1hCqh0FKkViC1cLUm3knr4KyDvVuaf1-vUgr0ACdb8jfjefMeYy9BzEFA_XY9X6O180JANQeYi0o8YhOoqmYmK60es4lQspqB0OqAPUtpLYSoG9BP2UFRN7ooQU7Yz28YHS49JX5GmIZILf8wRNdd8gXG1oXt4Dehw7jjRzcUrUvELyj1I4CJf8m8s32IiYcVPwuxR-_6HXcdX1zF0DnLz3epDz5fTghjz4_R-fzLc_ZkhT7Ri7tzyr4eH10sTmannz9-Wrw_ndlKQT9byabQuLRKWKyoBESstFRKaypFu9RkrVWrJutC0ZZZdamtVFaLekk11o2cssN93-2w3FBrqesjerONbpM1mYDO_P3SuStzGa5NqWqAvMApe3PXIIYfQ1ZuNi5Z8h47CkMy0EhV6FJJ_X9U1UqopoFxrNcP0HUYYpc3MVK1FKJR49_FnrIxpBRpdT83CDNGwKzNGAEzRsAAmByBXPTqT8X3Jb88z8C7PUB579eOoknWUWezk5Fsb9rg_t3_8EG59S4bjf477Sj91mFSYYQ5H0M4ZhAqkX2TIG8BZ5PY7Q</recordid><startdate>20160223</startdate><enddate>20160223</enddate><creator>Keteyian, Steven J., PhD</creator><creator>Patel, Mahesh, MD</creator><creator>Kraus, William E., MD</creator><creator>Brawner, Clinton A., PhD</creator><creator>McConnell, Timothy R., PhD</creator><creator>Piña, Ileana L., MD, MPH</creator><creator>Leifer, Eric S., PhD</creator><creator>Fleg, Jerome L., MD</creator><creator>Blackburn, Gordon, PhD</creator><creator>Fonarow, Gregg C., MD</creator><creator>Chase, Paul J., PhD</creator><creator>Piner, Lucy, MS</creator><creator>Vest, Marianne, MA</creator><creator>O’Connor, Christopher M., MD</creator><creator>Ehrman, Jonathan K., PhD</creator><creator>Walsh, Mary N., MD</creator><creator>Ewald, Gregory, MD</creator><creator>Bensimhon, Dan, MD</creator><creator>Russell, Stuart D., MD</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><general>Elsevier Limited</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>7U7</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>5PM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20160223</creationdate><title>Variables Measured During Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing as Predictors of Mortality in Chronic Systolic Heart Failure</title><author>Keteyian, Steven J., PhD ; Patel, Mahesh, MD ; Kraus, William E., MD ; Brawner, Clinton A., PhD ; McConnell, Timothy R., PhD ; Piña, Ileana L., MD, MPH ; Leifer, Eric S., PhD ; Fleg, Jerome L., MD ; Blackburn, Gordon, PhD ; Fonarow, Gregg C., MD ; Chase, Paul J., PhD ; Piner, Lucy, MS ; Vest, Marianne, MA ; O’Connor, Christopher M., MD ; Ehrman, Jonathan K., PhD ; Walsh, Mary N., MD ; Ewald, Gregory, MD ; Bensimhon, Dan, MD ; Russell, Stuart D., MD</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c571t-f3829abc70ca5e41aaa5937799e40db9eccc7f8068a0d459749c37c906be6a683</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2016</creationdate><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Cardiology</topic><topic>Cardiovascular</topic><topic>Cause of Death - trends</topic><topic>Confidence intervals</topic><topic>Disease Progression</topic><topic>Efficiency</topic><topic>Exercise</topic><topic>Exercise Test - methods</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Follow-Up Studies</topic><topic>Heart attacks</topic><topic>Heart failure</topic><topic>Heart Failure, Systolic - diagnosis</topic><topic>Heart Failure, Systolic - mortality</topic><topic>Heart Failure, Systolic - physiopathology</topic><topic>Heart rate</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Internal Medicine</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical prognosis</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Oxygen Consumption - physiology</topic><topic>peak Vo2</topic><topic>Predictive Value of Tests</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>respiratory exchange ratio</topic><topic>sex</topic><topic>Stroke Volume - physiology</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>survival</topic><topic>Survival Rate - trends</topic><topic>Time Factors</topic><topic>United States - epidemiology</topic><topic>Ventilation</topic><topic>Women</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Keteyian, Steven J., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Patel, Mahesh, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kraus, William E., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Brawner, Clinton A., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McConnell, Timothy R., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Piña, Ileana L., MD, MPH</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Leifer, Eric S., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fleg, Jerome L., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Blackburn, Gordon, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fonarow, Gregg C., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chase, Paul J., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Piner, Lucy, MS</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vest, Marianne, MA</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>O’Connor, Christopher M., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ehrman, Jonathan K., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Walsh, Mary N., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ewald, Gregory, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bensimhon, Dan, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Russell, Stuart D., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>HF-ACTION Investigators</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; 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However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables. Objectives The study sought to describe the strength of the association among variables measured during a CPX test and all-cause mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including the influence of sex and patient effort, as measured by respiratory exchange ratio (RER). Methods Among patients (n = 2,100, 29% women) enrolled in the HF-ACTION (HF-A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of exercise traiNing) trial, 10 CPX test variables measured at baseline (e.g., peak oxygen uptake [V o2 ], exercise duration, percent predicted peak V o2 [%ppV o2 ], ventilatory efficiency) were examined. Results Over a median follow-up of 32 months, there were 357 deaths. All CPX variables, except RER, were related to all-cause mortality (all p &lt; 0.0001). Both %ppV o2 and exercise duration were equally able to predict (Wald chi-square: ∼141) and discriminate (c-index: 0.69) mortality. Peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) was the strongest predictor of mortality among men (Wald chi-square: 129) and exercise duration among women (Wald chi-square: 41). Multivariable analyses showed that %ppV o2 , exercise duration, and peak V o2 (ml·kg–1 ·min–1 ) were similarly able to predict and discriminate mortality. In men, a 10% 1-year mortality rate corresponded to a peak V o2 of 10.9 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 versus 5.3 ml·kg–1 ·min–1 in women. Conclusions Peak V o2 , exercise duration, and % ppV o2 carried the strongest ability to predict and discriminate the likelihood of death in patients with HFrEF. The prognosis associated with a given peak V o2 differed by sex. (Exercise Training Program to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Individuals With Congestive Heart Failure; NCT00047437 )</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>26892413</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.jacc.2015.11.050</doi><tpages>10</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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1558-3597
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source MEDLINE; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Adult
Aged
Cardiology
Cardiovascular
Cause of Death - trends
Confidence intervals
Disease Progression
Efficiency
Exercise
Exercise Test - methods
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Heart attacks
Heart failure
Heart Failure, Systolic - diagnosis
Heart Failure, Systolic - mortality
Heart Failure, Systolic - physiopathology
Heart rate
Humans
Internal Medicine
Male
Medical prognosis
Middle Aged
Mortality
Oxygen Consumption - physiology
peak Vo2
Predictive Value of Tests
Prognosis
respiratory exchange ratio
sex
Stroke Volume - physiology
Studies
survival
Survival Rate - trends
Time Factors
United States - epidemiology
Ventilation
Women
title Variables Measured During Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing as Predictors of Mortality in Chronic Systolic Heart Failure
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