Future projection of radiocesium flux to the ocean from the largest river impacted by Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant
Following the initial fall out from Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP), a significant amount of radiocesium has been discharged from Abukuma River into the Pacific Ocean. This study attempted to numerically simulate the flux of radiocesium into Abukuma River by developing the multiple co...
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description | Following the initial fall out from Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP), a significant amount of radiocesium has been discharged from Abukuma River into the Pacific Ocean. This study attempted to numerically simulate the flux of radiocesium into Abukuma River by developing the multiple compartment model which incorporate the transport process of the radionuclide from the ground surface of the catchment area into the river, a process called wash off. The results from the model show that the sub-basins with a high percentage of forest area release the radionuclides at lower rate compared to the other sub-basins. In addition the results show that the model could predict the seasonal pattern of the observed data. Despite the overestimation observed between the modeled data and the observed data, the values of R
2
obtained from
137
Cs and
134
Cs of 0.98 and 0.97 respectively demonstrate the accuracy of the model. Prediction of the discharge from the basin area for 100 years after the accident shows that, the flux of radiocesium into the Pacific Ocean is still relatively high with an order of magnitude of 10
9
bq.month
−1
while the total accumulation of the discharge is 111 TBq for
137
Cs and 44 TBq for
134
Cs. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1038/srep08408 |
format | Article |
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2
obtained from
137
Cs and
134
Cs of 0.98 and 0.97 respectively demonstrate the accuracy of the model. Prediction of the discharge from the basin area for 100 years after the accident shows that, the flux of radiocesium into the Pacific Ocean is still relatively high with an order of magnitude of 10
9
bq.month
−1
while the total accumulation of the discharge is 111 TBq for
137
Cs and 44 TBq for
134
Cs.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2045-2322</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2045-2322</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1038/srep08408</identifier><identifier>PMID: 25673214</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>London: Nature Publishing Group UK</publisher><subject>704/172/169/827 ; 704/172/169/895 ; Basins ; Catchment areas ; Cesium Radioisotopes ; Fluctuations ; Fukushima Nuclear Accident ; Humanities and Social Sciences ; multidisciplinary ; Nuclear Power Plants ; Oceans and Seas ; Radiation Monitoring ; Radioisotopes ; Rivers ; Rivers - chemistry ; Science ; Seasonal variations ; Transport processes ; Water Pollutants, Radioactive</subject><ispartof>Scientific reports, 2015-02, Vol.5 (1), p.8408-8408, Article 8408</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2015</rights><rights>Copyright Nature Publishing Group Feb 2015</rights><rights>Copyright © 2015, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved 2015 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c548t-bc5905c30fd8a42980d89807eff8de85495a348b5b308437f29deb43b14b10253</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c548t-bc5905c30fd8a42980d89807eff8de85495a348b5b308437f29deb43b14b10253</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4325319/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4325319/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,727,780,784,864,885,27924,27925,41120,42189,51576,53791,53793</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25673214$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Adhiraga Pratama, Mochamad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yoneda, Minoru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shimada, Yoko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Matsui, Yasuto</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamashiki, Yosuke</creatorcontrib><title>Future projection of radiocesium flux to the ocean from the largest river impacted by Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant</title><title>Scientific reports</title><addtitle>Sci Rep</addtitle><addtitle>Sci Rep</addtitle><description>Following the initial fall out from Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP), a significant amount of radiocesium has been discharged from Abukuma River into the Pacific Ocean. This study attempted to numerically simulate the flux of radiocesium into Abukuma River by developing the multiple compartment model which incorporate the transport process of the radionuclide from the ground surface of the catchment area into the river, a process called wash off. The results from the model show that the sub-basins with a high percentage of forest area release the radionuclides at lower rate compared to the other sub-basins. In addition the results show that the model could predict the seasonal pattern of the observed data. Despite the overestimation observed between the modeled data and the observed data, the values of R
2
obtained from
137
Cs and
134
Cs of 0.98 and 0.97 respectively demonstrate the accuracy of the model. Prediction of the discharge from the basin area for 100 years after the accident shows that, the flux of radiocesium into the Pacific Ocean is still relatively high with an order of magnitude of 10
9
bq.month
−1
while the total accumulation of the discharge is 111 TBq for
137
Cs and 44 TBq for
134
Cs.</description><subject>704/172/169/827</subject><subject>704/172/169/895</subject><subject>Basins</subject><subject>Catchment areas</subject><subject>Cesium Radioisotopes</subject><subject>Fluctuations</subject><subject>Fukushima Nuclear Accident</subject><subject>Humanities and Social Sciences</subject><subject>multidisciplinary</subject><subject>Nuclear Power Plants</subject><subject>Oceans and Seas</subject><subject>Radiation Monitoring</subject><subject>Radioisotopes</subject><subject>Rivers</subject><subject>Rivers - chemistry</subject><subject>Science</subject><subject>Seasonal variations</subject><subject>Transport processes</subject><subject>Water Pollutants, Radioactive</subject><issn>2045-2322</issn><issn>2045-2322</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2015</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>C6C</sourceid><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><recordid>eNplkUtvEzEUhS0EolXpgj-ALLEBpICfiWeDhAoBpAq6gLXl8VwnDjPjwR4XKv48F1KiAF74-fn4XB9CHnL2nDNpXpQMEzOKmTvkVDClF0IKcfdofkLOS9kxbFo0ijf3yYnQy5UUXJ2SH-s61wx0ymkHfo5ppCnQ7LqYPJRYBxr6-p3Oic5boLjnRhpyGn4ve5c3UGaa4zVkGofJ-Rk62t7Qdf1SyzYOjr52MfptpB-q78FlepW-IXvVu3F-QO4F1xc4vx3PyOf1m08X7xaXH9--v3h1ufBamXnRet0w7SULnXFKNIZ1BrsVhGA6MFo12kllWt1K_Ae5CqLpoFWy5arlTGh5Rl7udafaDtB5GOfsejtl9JdvbHLR_n0yxq3dpGurJN7mDQo8uRXI6WvFiu0Qi4cei4BUi-VLrYU2yyVD9PE_6C7VPGJ5lqNrjg6bFVJP95TPqWCA4WCGM_srVXtIFdlHx-4P5J8MEXi2BwoejRvIR0_-p_YTjHOtCw</recordid><startdate>20150212</startdate><enddate>20150212</enddate><creator>Adhiraga Pratama, Mochamad</creator><creator>Yoneda, Minoru</creator><creator>Shimada, Yoko</creator><creator>Matsui, Yasuto</creator><creator>Yamashiki, Yosuke</creator><general>Nature Publishing Group UK</general><general>Nature Publishing Group</general><scope>C6C</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88A</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>88I</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2P</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20150212</creationdate><title>Future projection of radiocesium flux to the ocean from the largest river impacted by Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant</title><author>Adhiraga Pratama, Mochamad ; Yoneda, Minoru ; Shimada, Yoko ; Matsui, Yasuto ; Yamashiki, Yosuke</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c548t-bc5905c30fd8a42980d89807eff8de85495a348b5b308437f29deb43b14b10253</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>704/172/169/827</topic><topic>704/172/169/895</topic><topic>Basins</topic><topic>Catchment areas</topic><topic>Cesium Radioisotopes</topic><topic>Fluctuations</topic><topic>Fukushima Nuclear Accident</topic><topic>Humanities and Social Sciences</topic><topic>multidisciplinary</topic><topic>Nuclear Power Plants</topic><topic>Oceans and Seas</topic><topic>Radiation Monitoring</topic><topic>Radioisotopes</topic><topic>Rivers</topic><topic>Rivers - chemistry</topic><topic>Science</topic><topic>Seasonal variations</topic><topic>Transport processes</topic><topic>Water Pollutants, Radioactive</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Adhiraga Pratama, Mochamad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yoneda, Minoru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shimada, Yoko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Matsui, Yasuto</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamashiki, Yosuke</creatorcontrib><collection>Springer Nature OA Free Journals</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Biology Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Science Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Science Database</collection><collection>Biological Science Database</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>Scientific reports</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Adhiraga Pratama, Mochamad</au><au>Yoneda, Minoru</au><au>Shimada, Yoko</au><au>Matsui, Yasuto</au><au>Yamashiki, Yosuke</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Future projection of radiocesium flux to the ocean from the largest river impacted by Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant</atitle><jtitle>Scientific reports</jtitle><stitle>Sci Rep</stitle><addtitle>Sci Rep</addtitle><date>2015-02-12</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>5</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>8408</spage><epage>8408</epage><pages>8408-8408</pages><artnum>8408</artnum><issn>2045-2322</issn><eissn>2045-2322</eissn><abstract>Following the initial fall out from Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP), a significant amount of radiocesium has been discharged from Abukuma River into the Pacific Ocean. This study attempted to numerically simulate the flux of radiocesium into Abukuma River by developing the multiple compartment model which incorporate the transport process of the radionuclide from the ground surface of the catchment area into the river, a process called wash off. The results from the model show that the sub-basins with a high percentage of forest area release the radionuclides at lower rate compared to the other sub-basins. In addition the results show that the model could predict the seasonal pattern of the observed data. Despite the overestimation observed between the modeled data and the observed data, the values of R
2
obtained from
137
Cs and
134
Cs of 0.98 and 0.97 respectively demonstrate the accuracy of the model. Prediction of the discharge from the basin area for 100 years after the accident shows that, the flux of radiocesium into the Pacific Ocean is still relatively high with an order of magnitude of 10
9
bq.month
−1
while the total accumulation of the discharge is 111 TBq for
137
Cs and 44 TBq for
134
Cs.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>25673214</pmid><doi>10.1038/srep08408</doi><tpages>1</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | 704/172/169/827 704/172/169/895 Basins Catchment areas Cesium Radioisotopes Fluctuations Fukushima Nuclear Accident Humanities and Social Sciences multidisciplinary Nuclear Power Plants Oceans and Seas Radiation Monitoring Radioisotopes Rivers Rivers - chemistry Science Seasonal variations Transport processes Water Pollutants, Radioactive |
title | Future projection of radiocesium flux to the ocean from the largest river impacted by Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant |
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