Non-parametric analysis of seasonality in birth and multiple sclerosis risk in second generation of migrants in Kuwait

There are inconsistent reports about multiple sclerosis (MS) risk among migrants from low to high MS risk geographical regions. This study assessed the overall MS incidence and evaluated seasonality in birth and subsequent MS risk later in the life in second generation of migrants born and lived in...

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Veröffentlicht in:BMC neurology 2014-08, Vol.14 (1), p.170-170, Article 170
Hauptverfasser: Akhtar, Saeed, Alroughani, Raed, Al-Shammari, Ahmad, Al-Abkal, Jarrah, Ayad, Yasser
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creator Akhtar, Saeed
Alroughani, Raed
Al-Shammari, Ahmad
Al-Abkal, Jarrah
Ayad, Yasser
description There are inconsistent reports about multiple sclerosis (MS) risk among migrants from low to high MS risk geographical regions. This study assessed the overall MS incidence and evaluated seasonality in birth and subsequent MS risk later in the life in second generation of migrants born and lived in Kuwait. We assessed the overall and gender-specific MS risk in second generation of migrants born and lived in Kuwait between January 1, 1950 and April 30, 2013. Data on migrants' MS patients diagnosed and registered in Kuwait National MS Registry were used. Hewitt's non-parametric test was carried out to evaluate the seasonality in migrants' MS births in comparison with the second generation migrants' births in general population. During the study period, an overall risk of migrants' MS births (per 100,000 non-Kuwaiti births in general population) was 23.8 (95% CI: 20.8 - 27.0). Gender-specific MS risk showed that non-Kuwaiti female had statistically significant (p = 0.003) higher risk (28.6; 95% CI: 24.2 - 33.7) than non-Kuwaiti males (18.7; 95% CI: 15.1-23.0). The month-specific distribution of migrants' MS births compared with migrants' births in general population did not differ significantly (χ2 goodness-of-fit test statistic = 9.51, p = 0.575). Hewitt's non-parametric test revealed an evidence of slight but statistically non-significant (p = 0.090) increased tendency of migrants' MS births during September through February. The proportion of migrants' MS births (per 100,000 migrants' births in general population) over the study period was 23.8 (95% CI: 20.8 - 27.0), which was statistically significantly higher than the previously reported Kuwaiti national MS births (16.2; 95% CI: 15.1-17.4) in Kuwait. Non-parametric analysis showed slight but statistically non-significant increased tendency of migrants' MS births from September through February. Knowledge of MS risk factors and how and when they act among genetically vulnerable individuals from gestation to early adulthood will help design prevention strategies.
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This study assessed the overall MS incidence and evaluated seasonality in birth and subsequent MS risk later in the life in second generation of migrants born and lived in Kuwait. We assessed the overall and gender-specific MS risk in second generation of migrants born and lived in Kuwait between January 1, 1950 and April 30, 2013. Data on migrants' MS patients diagnosed and registered in Kuwait National MS Registry were used. Hewitt's non-parametric test was carried out to evaluate the seasonality in migrants' MS births in comparison with the second generation migrants' births in general population. During the study period, an overall risk of migrants' MS births (per 100,000 non-Kuwaiti births in general population) was 23.8 (95% CI: 20.8 - 27.0). Gender-specific MS risk showed that non-Kuwaiti female had statistically significant (p = 0.003) higher risk (28.6; 95% CI: 24.2 - 33.7) than non-Kuwaiti males (18.7; 95% CI: 15.1-23.0). The month-specific distribution of migrants' MS births compared with migrants' births in general population did not differ significantly (χ2 goodness-of-fit test statistic = 9.51, p = 0.575). Hewitt's non-parametric test revealed an evidence of slight but statistically non-significant (p = 0.090) increased tendency of migrants' MS births during September through February. The proportion of migrants' MS births (per 100,000 migrants' births in general population) over the study period was 23.8 (95% CI: 20.8 - 27.0), which was statistically significantly higher than the previously reported Kuwaiti national MS births (16.2; 95% CI: 15.1-17.4) in Kuwait. Non-parametric analysis showed slight but statistically non-significant increased tendency of migrants' MS births from September through February. 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This study assessed the overall MS incidence and evaluated seasonality in birth and subsequent MS risk later in the life in second generation of migrants born and lived in Kuwait. We assessed the overall and gender-specific MS risk in second generation of migrants born and lived in Kuwait between January 1, 1950 and April 30, 2013. Data on migrants' MS patients diagnosed and registered in Kuwait National MS Registry were used. Hewitt's non-parametric test was carried out to evaluate the seasonality in migrants' MS births in comparison with the second generation migrants' births in general population. During the study period, an overall risk of migrants' MS births (per 100,000 non-Kuwaiti births in general population) was 23.8 (95% CI: 20.8 - 27.0). Gender-specific MS risk showed that non-Kuwaiti female had statistically significant (p = 0.003) higher risk (28.6; 95% CI: 24.2 - 33.7) than non-Kuwaiti males (18.7; 95% CI: 15.1-23.0). The month-specific distribution of migrants' MS births compared with migrants' births in general population did not differ significantly (χ2 goodness-of-fit test statistic = 9.51, p = 0.575). Hewitt's non-parametric test revealed an evidence of slight but statistically non-significant (p = 0.090) increased tendency of migrants' MS births during September through February. The proportion of migrants' MS births (per 100,000 migrants' births in general population) over the study period was 23.8 (95% CI: 20.8 - 27.0), which was statistically significantly higher than the previously reported Kuwaiti national MS births (16.2; 95% CI: 15.1-17.4) in Kuwait. Non-parametric analysis showed slight but statistically non-significant increased tendency of migrants' MS births from September through February. Knowledge of MS risk factors and how and when they act among genetically vulnerable individuals from gestation to early adulthood will help design prevention strategies.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>BioMed Central Ltd</pub><pmid>25154872</pmid><doi>10.1186/s12883-014-0170-7</doi><tpages>1</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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source MEDLINE; DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; PubMed Central Open Access; Springer Nature OA Free Journals; Springer Nature - Complete Springer Journals; PubMed Central
subjects Births
Care and treatment
Complications and side effects
Development and progression
Female
Health aspects
Hospitals
Humans
Kuwait - epidemiology
Male
Mortality
Multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis - epidemiology
Neurology
Patient outcomes
Population
Registries
Risk Factors
Seasons
Statistics, Nonparametric
Studies
Transients and Migrants
Vitamin deficiency
title Non-parametric analysis of seasonality in birth and multiple sclerosis risk in second generation of migrants in Kuwait
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