Estimating the burden of A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza in Finland during two seasons
In Finland, the pandemic influenza virus A(H1N1)pdm09 was the dominant influenza strain during the pandemic season in 2009/2010 and presented alongside other influenza types during the 2010/2011 season. The true number of infected individuals is unknown, as surveillance missed a large portion of mil...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Epidemiology and infection 2014-05, Vol.142 (5), p.964-974 |
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description | In Finland, the pandemic influenza virus A(H1N1)pdm09 was the dominant influenza strain during the pandemic season in 2009/2010 and presented alongside other influenza types during the 2010/2011 season. The true number of infected individuals is unknown, as surveillance missed a large portion of mild infections. We applied Bayesian evidence synthesis, combining available data from the national infectious disease registry with an ascertainment model and prior information on A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza and the surveillance system, to estimate the total incidence and hospitalization rate of A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. The estimated numbers of A(H1N1)pdm09 infections in Finland were 211 000 (4% of the population) in the 2009/2010 pandemic season and 53 000 (1% of the population) during the 2010/2011 season. Altogether, 1·1% of infected individuals were hospitalized. Only 1 infection per 25 was ascertained. |
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The true number of infected individuals is unknown, as surveillance missed a large portion of mild infections. We applied Bayesian evidence synthesis, combining available data from the national infectious disease registry with an ascertainment model and prior information on A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza and the surveillance system, to estimate the total incidence and hospitalization rate of A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. The estimated numbers of A(H1N1)pdm09 infections in Finland were 211 000 (4% of the population) in the 2009/2010 pandemic season and 53 000 (1% of the population) during the 2010/2011 season. Altogether, 1·1% of infected individuals were hospitalized. Only 1 infection per 25 was ascertained.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0950-2688</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1469-4409</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1017/S0950268813002537</identifier><identifier>PMID: 24139316</identifier><identifier>CODEN: EPINEU</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press</publisher><subject>Adolescent ; Adult ; Age groups ; Aged ; Bayes Theorem ; Biological and medical sciences ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Epidemics ; Finland - epidemiology ; Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology ; Health care ; Health outcomes ; Health surveillance ; Hospitalization ; Humans ; Infant ; Infections ; Influenza ; Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype ; Influenza virus ; Influenza, Human - epidemiology ; Influenza, Human - virology ; Intensive care ; Microbiology ; Middle Aged ; Miscellaneous ; Models, Statistical ; Original Papers ; Pandemics ; Pandemics - statistics & numerical data ; Population ; Probability ; Swine flu ; Vaccination ; Viral vaccines ; Virology ; Young Adult</subject><ispartof>Epidemiology and infection, 2014-05, Vol.142 (5), p.964-974</ispartof><rights>Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013</rights><rights>Cambridge University Press 2014</rights><rights>2015 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013 The online version of this article is published within an Open Access environment subject to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution licence .</rights><rights>Cambridge University Press 2013 2013 Cambridge University Press</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c556t-e78c8cf42cbeaa1e587e7dae976e21ac15aa7b40e56f71b205d4e2512fa429373</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c556t-e78c8cf42cbeaa1e587e7dae976e21ac15aa7b40e56f71b205d4e2512fa429373</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/24476770$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/24476770$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,724,777,781,800,882,27905,27906,53772,53774,57998,58231</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=28360856$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24139316$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>SHUBIN, M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>VIRTANEN, M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>TOIKKANEN, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LYYTIKÄINEN, O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>AURANEN, K.</creatorcontrib><title>Estimating the burden of A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza in Finland during two seasons</title><title>Epidemiology and infection</title><addtitle>Epidemiol. Infect</addtitle><description>In Finland, the pandemic influenza virus A(H1N1)pdm09 was the dominant influenza strain during the pandemic season in 2009/2010 and presented alongside other influenza types during the 2010/2011 season. The true number of infected individuals is unknown, as surveillance missed a large portion of mild infections. We applied Bayesian evidence synthesis, combining available data from the national infectious disease registry with an ascertainment model and prior information on A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza and the surveillance system, to estimate the total incidence and hospitalization rate of A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. The estimated numbers of A(H1N1)pdm09 infections in Finland were 211 000 (4% of the population) in the 2009/2010 pandemic season and 53 000 (1% of the population) during the 2010/2011 season. Altogether, 1·1% of infected individuals were hospitalized. Only 1 infection per 25 was ascertained.</description><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Age groups</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Bayes Theorem</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Child, Preschool</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Finland - epidemiology</subject><subject>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</subject><subject>Health care</subject><subject>Health outcomes</subject><subject>Health surveillance</subject><subject>Hospitalization</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Infant</subject><subject>Infections</subject><subject>Influenza</subject><subject>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</subject><subject>Influenza virus</subject><subject>Influenza, Human - epidemiology</subject><subject>Influenza, Human - virology</subject><subject>Intensive care</subject><subject>Microbiology</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Miscellaneous</subject><subject>Models, Statistical</subject><subject>Original Papers</subject><subject>Pandemics</subject><subject>Pandemics - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Population</subject><subject>Probability</subject><subject>Swine flu</subject><subject>Vaccination</subject><subject>Viral vaccines</subject><subject>Virology</subject><subject>Young Adult</subject><issn>0950-2688</issn><issn>1469-4409</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2014</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>IKXGN</sourceid><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkU9v1DAQxS0EokvhA3AARUKVyiHg8X9fkKqqpUgFDsA5cpzJNqusvbUTUPn0JN2lLCAkTh5pfvP83gwhT4G-Agr69SdqJWXKGOCUMsn1PbIAoWwpBLX3yWJul3P_gDzKeUUptczoh-SACeCWg1qQ92d56NZu6MKyGK6wqMfUYChiW5wcX8AHeLlp1tQWXWj7EcN3N1XFeRd6F5qiGdPt2LdYZHQ5hvyYPGhdn_HJ7j0kX87PPp9elJcf3747PbksvZRqKFEbb3wrmK_ROUBpNOrGodUKGTgP0jldC4pStRpqRmUjkElgrRPMcs0PyZut7mas19h4DENyfbVJU5R0U0XXVb93QndVLePXatqLtpZOAsc7gRSvR8xDte6yx37KhXHMFUhQmhtl-f-gVAM3Ukzoiz_QVRxTmDZxS1HJDZv_hi3lU8w5YXvnG2g137X6667TzPP9wHcTPw85AUc7wGXv-ja54Lv8izNcUSNn7tmWW-Uhpj0doZXWszm-M-fWdeqaJe5l-Ke9H3q-wcc</recordid><startdate>20140501</startdate><enddate>20140501</enddate><creator>SHUBIN, M.</creator><creator>VIRTANEN, M.</creator><creator>TOIKKANEN, S.</creator><creator>LYYTIKÄINEN, O.</creator><creator>AURANEN, K.</creator><general>Cambridge University Press</general><scope>IKXGN</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7T2</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88A</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AN0</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>7U2</scope><scope>5PM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20140501</creationdate><title>Estimating the burden of A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza in Finland during two seasons</title><author>SHUBIN, M. ; VIRTANEN, M. ; TOIKKANEN, S. ; LYYTIKÄINEN, O. ; AURANEN, K.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c556t-e78c8cf42cbeaa1e587e7dae976e21ac15aa7b40e56f71b205d4e2512fa429373</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2014</creationdate><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Age groups</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Bayes Theorem</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Child</topic><topic>Child, Preschool</topic><topic>Epidemics</topic><topic>Finland - epidemiology</topic><topic>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</topic><topic>Health care</topic><topic>Health outcomes</topic><topic>Health surveillance</topic><topic>Hospitalization</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Infant</topic><topic>Infections</topic><topic>Influenza</topic><topic>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</topic><topic>Influenza virus</topic><topic>Influenza, Human - epidemiology</topic><topic>Influenza, Human - virology</topic><topic>Intensive care</topic><topic>Microbiology</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Miscellaneous</topic><topic>Models, Statistical</topic><topic>Original Papers</topic><topic>Pandemics</topic><topic>Pandemics - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Population</topic><topic>Probability</topic><topic>Swine flu</topic><topic>Vaccination</topic><topic>Viral vaccines</topic><topic>Virology</topic><topic>Young Adult</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>SHUBIN, M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>VIRTANEN, M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>TOIKKANEN, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LYYTIKÄINEN, O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>AURANEN, K.</creatorcontrib><collection>Cambridge Journals Open Access</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Bacteriology Abstracts (Microbiology B)</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Database</collection><collection>Health and Safety Science Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Biology Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Public Health Database</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Sustainability</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>British Nursing Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biological Science Database</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>Safety Science and Risk</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>Epidemiology and infection</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>SHUBIN, M.</au><au>VIRTANEN, M.</au><au>TOIKKANEN, S.</au><au>LYYTIKÄINEN, O.</au><au>AURANEN, K.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Estimating the burden of A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza in Finland during two seasons</atitle><jtitle>Epidemiology and infection</jtitle><addtitle>Epidemiol. Infect</addtitle><date>2014-05-01</date><risdate>2014</risdate><volume>142</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>964</spage><epage>974</epage><pages>964-974</pages><issn>0950-2688</issn><eissn>1469-4409</eissn><coden>EPINEU</coden><abstract>In Finland, the pandemic influenza virus A(H1N1)pdm09 was the dominant influenza strain during the pandemic season in 2009/2010 and presented alongside other influenza types during the 2010/2011 season. The true number of infected individuals is unknown, as surveillance missed a large portion of mild infections. We applied Bayesian evidence synthesis, combining available data from the national infectious disease registry with an ascertainment model and prior information on A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza and the surveillance system, to estimate the total incidence and hospitalization rate of A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. The estimated numbers of A(H1N1)pdm09 infections in Finland were 211 000 (4% of the population) in the 2009/2010 pandemic season and 53 000 (1% of the population) during the 2010/2011 season. Altogether, 1·1% of infected individuals were hospitalized. Only 1 infection per 25 was ascertained.</abstract><cop>Cambridge, UK</cop><pub>Cambridge University Press</pub><pmid>24139316</pmid><doi>10.1017/S0950268813002537</doi><tpages>11</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Adolescent Adult Age groups Aged Bayes Theorem Biological and medical sciences Child Child, Preschool Epidemics Finland - epidemiology Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology Health care Health outcomes Health surveillance Hospitalization Humans Infant Infections Influenza Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype Influenza virus Influenza, Human - epidemiology Influenza, Human - virology Intensive care Microbiology Middle Aged Miscellaneous Models, Statistical Original Papers Pandemics Pandemics - statistics & numerical data Population Probability Swine flu Vaccination Viral vaccines Virology Young Adult |
title | Estimating the burden of A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza in Finland during two seasons |
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