Diagnostic Certainty as a Source of Medical Practice Variation in Coronary Heart Disease: Results from a Cross-National Experiment of Clinical Decision Making

The authors examined physician diagnostic certainty as one reason for cross-national medical practice variation. Data are from a factorial experiment conducted in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, estimating 384 generalist physicians’ diagnostic and treatment decisions for videotap...

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Veröffentlicht in:Medical decision making 2009-09, Vol.29 (5), p.606-618
Hauptverfasser: Lutfey, Karen E., Link, Carol L., Marceau, Lisa D., Grant, Richard W., Adams, Ann, Arber, Sara, Siegrist, Johannes, Bönte, Markus, von dem Knesebeck, Olaf, McKinlay, John B.
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container_end_page 618
container_issue 5
container_start_page 606
container_title Medical decision making
container_volume 29
creator Lutfey, Karen E.
Link, Carol L.
Marceau, Lisa D.
Grant, Richard W.
Adams, Ann
Arber, Sara
Siegrist, Johannes
Bönte, Markus
von dem Knesebeck, Olaf
McKinlay, John B.
description The authors examined physician diagnostic certainty as one reason for cross-national medical practice variation. Data are from a factorial experiment conducted in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, estimating 384 generalist physicians’ diagnostic and treatment decisions for videotaped vignettes of actor patients depicting a presentation consistent with coronary heart disease (CHD). Despite identical vignette presentations, the authors observed significant differences across health care systems, with US physicians being the most certain and German physicians the least certain (P < 0.0001). Physicians were least certain of a CHD diagnoses when patients were younger and female (P < 0.0086), and there was additional variation by health care system (as represented by country) depending on patient age (P < 0.0100) and race (P < 0.0021). Certainty was positively correlated with several clinical actions, including test ordering, prescriptions, referrals to specialists, and time to follow-up.
doi_str_mv 10.1177/0272989X09331811
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subjects Aged
Coronary Disease - diagnosis
Decision Making
Female
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Practice Patterns, Physicians
Uncertainty
title Diagnostic Certainty as a Source of Medical Practice Variation in Coronary Heart Disease: Results from a Cross-National Experiment of Clinical Decision Making
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