Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe
Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fi...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Scientific reports 2013-05, Vol.3 (1), p.1774-1774, Article 1774 |
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| creator | Morand, Serge Owers, Katharine A. Waret-Szkuta, Agnes McIntyre, K. Marie Baylis, Matthew |
| description | Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fifty years, controlling for potential bias due to increased surveillance and detection. NAO variation statistically influenced the outbreak occurrence of eleven of the infectious diseases. Seven diseases were associated with winter NAO positive phases in northern Europe and therefore with above-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with the summer or spring NAO negative phases in northern Europe and therefore with below-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with summer positive or negative NAO phases in southern Mediterranean countries. These findings suggest that there is potential for developing early warning systems, based on climatic variation information, for improved outbreak control and management. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1038/srep01774 |
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Two diseases were associated with summer positive or negative NAO phases in southern Mediterranean countries. 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Marie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Baylis, Matthew</creatorcontrib><title>Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe</title><title>Scientific reports</title><addtitle>Sci Rep</addtitle><addtitle>Sci Rep</addtitle><description>Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fifty years, controlling for potential bias due to increased surveillance and detection. NAO variation statistically influenced the outbreak occurrence of eleven of the infectious diseases. Seven diseases were associated with winter NAO positive phases in northern Europe and therefore with above-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with the summer or spring NAO negative phases in northern Europe and therefore with below-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with summer positive or negative NAO phases in southern Mediterranean countries. 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| subjects | 692/499 692/699/255/1318 692/699/255/1715 704/106 Climate Communicable Diseases - epidemiology Disease Outbreaks Epidemics Europe - epidemiology Humanities and Social Sciences Humans Infectious diseases multidisciplinary Outbreaks Precipitation Science Seasons Temperature Vector-borne diseases |
| title | Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe |
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