Prognosis of CKD Patients Receiving Outpatient Nephrology Care in Italy

Prognosis in nondialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients under regular nephrology care is rarely investigated. Design, setting, participants, & measurements We prospectively followed from 2003 to death or June 2010 a cohort of 1248 patients with CKD stages 3 to 5 and previous nephrology ca...

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Veröffentlicht in:Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology 2011-10, Vol.6 (10), p.2421-2428
Hauptverfasser: De Nicola, Luca, Chiodini, Paolo, Zoccali, Carmine, Borrelli, Silvio, Cianciaruso, Bruno, Di Iorio, Biagio, Santoro, Domenico, Giancaspro, Vincenzo, Abaterusso, Cataldo, Gallo, Ciro, Conte, Giuseppe, Minutolo, Roberto
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container_issue 10
container_start_page 2421
container_title Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology
container_volume 6
creator De Nicola, Luca
Chiodini, Paolo
Zoccali, Carmine
Borrelli, Silvio
Cianciaruso, Bruno
Di Iorio, Biagio
Santoro, Domenico
Giancaspro, Vincenzo
Abaterusso, Cataldo
Gallo, Ciro
Conte, Giuseppe
Minutolo, Roberto
description Prognosis in nondialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients under regular nephrology care is rarely investigated. Design, setting, participants, & measurements We prospectively followed from 2003 to death or June 2010 a cohort of 1248 patients with CKD stages 3 to 5 and previous nephrology care ≥1 year in 25 Italian outpatient nephrology clinics. Cumulative incidence of ESRD or death before ESRD were estimated using the competing-risk approach. Estimated rates (per 100 patient-years) of ESRD and death 8.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.4 to 9.2) and 5.9 (95% CI 5.2 to 6.6), respectively. Risk of ESRD and death increased progressively from stages 3 to 5. ESRD was more frequent than death in stage 4 and 5 CKD, whereas the opposite was true in stage 3 CKD. Younger age, lower body mass index, proteinuria, and high phosphate predicted ESRD, whereas older age, diabetes, previous cardiovascular disease, ESRD, proteinuria, high uric acid, and anemia predicted death (P < 0.05 for all). Among modifiable risk factors, proteinuria accounted for the greatest contribution to the model fit for either outcome. In patients receiving continuity of care in Italian nephrology clinics, ESRD was a more frequent outcome than death in stage 4 and 5 CKD, but the opposite was true in stage 3. Outcomes were predicted by modifiable risk factors specific to CKD. Proteinuria used in conjunction with estimated GFR refined risk stratification. These findings provide information, specific to CKD patients under regular outpatient nephrology care, for risk stratification that complement recent observations in the general population.
doi_str_mv 10.2215/CJN.01180211
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Among modifiable risk factors, proteinuria accounted for the greatest contribution to the model fit for either outcome. In patients receiving continuity of care in Italian nephrology clinics, ESRD was a more frequent outcome than death in stage 4 and 5 CKD, but the opposite was true in stage 3. Outcomes were predicted by modifiable risk factors specific to CKD. Proteinuria used in conjunction with estimated GFR refined risk stratification. 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Design, setting, participants, &amp; measurements We prospectively followed from 2003 to death or June 2010 a cohort of 1248 patients with CKD stages 3 to 5 and previous nephrology care ≥1 year in 25 Italian outpatient nephrology clinics. Cumulative incidence of ESRD or death before ESRD were estimated using the competing-risk approach. Estimated rates (per 100 patient-years) of ESRD and death 8.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.4 to 9.2) and 5.9 (95% CI 5.2 to 6.6), respectively. Risk of ESRD and death increased progressively from stages 3 to 5. ESRD was more frequent than death in stage 4 and 5 CKD, whereas the opposite was true in stage 3 CKD. Younger age, lower body mass index, proteinuria, and high phosphate predicted ESRD, whereas older age, diabetes, previous cardiovascular disease, ESRD, proteinuria, high uric acid, and anemia predicted death (P &lt; 0.05 for all). Among modifiable risk factors, proteinuria accounted for the greatest contribution to the model fit for either outcome. In patients receiving continuity of care in Italian nephrology clinics, ESRD was a more frequent outcome than death in stage 4 and 5 CKD, but the opposite was true in stage 3. Outcomes were predicted by modifiable risk factors specific to CKD. Proteinuria used in conjunction with estimated GFR refined risk stratification. These findings provide information, specific to CKD patients under regular outpatient nephrology care, for risk stratification that complement recent observations in the general population.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>American Society of Nephrology</pub><pmid>21817127</pmid><doi>10.2215/CJN.01180211</doi><tpages>8</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Ambulatory Care - statistics & numerical data
Analysis of Variance
Chi-Square Distribution
Continuity of Patient Care - statistics & numerical data
Disease Progression
Female
Glomerular Filtration Rate
Humans
Incidence
Italy - epidemiology
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
Kidney Diseases - complications
Kidney Diseases - diagnosis
Kidney Diseases - mortality
Kidney Diseases - physiopathology
Kidney Diseases - therapy
Kidney Failure, Chronic - etiology
Kidney Failure, Chronic - mortality
Male
Middle Aged
Nephrology - statistics & numerical data
Nonlinear Dynamics
Original
Proportional Hazards Models
Prospective Studies
Proteinuria - etiology
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Severity of Illness Index
Time Factors
Treatment Outcome
title Prognosis of CKD Patients Receiving Outpatient Nephrology Care in Italy
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