New Estimates of US Civil War mortality from full-census records

The Civil War was the deadliest conflict in US history. However, incomplete records have made it difficult to estimate the exact death toll both nationally, and especially, at the state level. In this article, we leverage the recently released full count of individual census returns and a sample of...

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Veröffentlicht in:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS 2024-11, Vol.121 (48), p.e2414919121
Hauptverfasser: Barceló, Joan, Jensen, Jeffrey L, Peisakhin, Leonid, Zhai, Haoyu
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container_title Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS
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creator Barceló, Joan
Jensen, Jeffrey L
Peisakhin, Leonid
Zhai, Haoyu
description The Civil War was the deadliest conflict in US history. However, incomplete records have made it difficult to estimate the exact death toll both nationally, and especially, at the state level. In this article, we leverage the recently released full count of individual census returns and a sample of linked records across multiple censuses to provide i) the most precise national estimate of excess mortality to date and ii) reliable state-level estimates of excess mortality among native-born white males. Our national estimate is 698,000 Civil War deaths. This is substantially higher than the conventional historical estimate of 618,000 but lower than the most recent estimate of around 750,000 deaths based on a 1% census sample. Leveraging a novel migration-adjusted census comparison method, we document the extent to which the war's toll was much greater in the Confederate states than in the Union.
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source MEDLINE; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Adult
American Civil War
Census
Censuses
Estimates
Fatalities
History, 20th Century
Humans
Male
Mortality
Mortality - trends
Social Sciences
United States - epidemiology
War
title New Estimates of US Civil War mortality from full-census records
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