Personalized prognosis stratification of newly diagnosed glioblastoma applying a statistical decision tree model

Purpose Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most frequent glioma in adults with a high treatment resistance resulting into limited survival. The individual prognosis varies depending on individual prognostic factors, that must be considered while counseling patients with newly diagnosed GBM. The aim of this s...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of neuro-oncology 2024-07, Vol.168 (3), p.425-433
Hauptverfasser: Conrad, Katharina, Löber-Handwerker, Ronja, Hazaymeh, Mohammad, Rohde, Veit, Malinova, Vesna
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container_end_page 433
container_issue 3
container_start_page 425
container_title Journal of neuro-oncology
container_volume 168
creator Conrad, Katharina
Löber-Handwerker, Ronja
Hazaymeh, Mohammad
Rohde, Veit
Malinova, Vesna
description Purpose Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most frequent glioma in adults with a high treatment resistance resulting into limited survival. The individual prognosis varies depending on individual prognostic factors, that must be considered while counseling patients with newly diagnosed GBM. The aim of this study was to elaborate a risk stratification algorithm based on reliable prognostic factors to facilitate a personalized prognosis estimation early on after diagnosis. Methods A consecutive patient cohort with confirmed GBM treated between 2010 and 2021 was retrospectively analyzed. Clinical, radiological, and molecular parameters were assessed and included in the analysis. Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome parameter. After identifying the strongest prognostic factors, a risk stratification algorithm was elaborated with estimated odds of survival. Results A total of 462 GBM patients were analyzed. The strongest prognostic factors were Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), extent of tumor resection, and adjuvant treatment. Patients with CCI ≤ 1 receiving tumor resection had the highest survival odds (88% for 10 months). On the contrary, patients with CCI > 3 receiving no adjuvant treatment had the lowest survival odds (0% for 10 months). The 10-months survival rate in patients with CCI > 3 receiving adjuvant treatment was 56% for patients younger than 70 years and 22% for patients older than 70 years. Conclusion A risk stratification algorithm based on significant prognostic factors allowed a personalized early prognosis estimation at the time of GBM diagnosis, that can contribute to a more personalized patient counseling.
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s11060-024-04683-6
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The individual prognosis varies depending on individual prognostic factors, that must be considered while counseling patients with newly diagnosed GBM. The aim of this study was to elaborate a risk stratification algorithm based on reliable prognostic factors to facilitate a personalized prognosis estimation early on after diagnosis. Methods A consecutive patient cohort with confirmed GBM treated between 2010 and 2021 was retrospectively analyzed. Clinical, radiological, and molecular parameters were assessed and included in the analysis. Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome parameter. After identifying the strongest prognostic factors, a risk stratification algorithm was elaborated with estimated odds of survival. Results A total of 462 GBM patients were analyzed. The strongest prognostic factors were Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), extent of tumor resection, and adjuvant treatment. Patients with CCI ≤ 1 receiving tumor resection had the highest survival odds (88% for 10 months). On the contrary, patients with CCI &gt; 3 receiving no adjuvant treatment had the lowest survival odds (0% for 10 months). The 10-months survival rate in patients with CCI &gt; 3 receiving adjuvant treatment was 56% for patients younger than 70 years and 22% for patients older than 70 years. Conclusion A risk stratification algorithm based on significant prognostic factors allowed a personalized early prognosis estimation at the time of GBM diagnosis, that can contribute to a more personalized patient counseling.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0167-594X</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1573-7373</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-7373</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s11060-024-04683-6</identifier><identifier>PMID: 38639854</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Springer US</publisher><subject>Adjuvant therapy ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Algorithms ; Brain Neoplasms - diagnosis ; Brain Neoplasms - mortality ; Brain Neoplasms - therapy ; Comorbidity ; Decision Trees ; Diagnosis ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Glioblastoma ; Glioblastoma - diagnosis ; Glioblastoma - mortality ; Glioblastoma - therapy ; Glioma ; Humans ; Male ; Medical prognosis ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Middle Aged ; Neurology ; Oncology ; Patients ; Precision Medicine ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; Statistical models ; Survival ; Survival Rate ; Treatment resistance ; Tumors</subject><ispartof>Journal of neuro-oncology, 2024-07, Vol.168 (3), p.425-433</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2024</rights><rights>2024. The Author(s).</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2024. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c426t-38388d8169f6adad50138a849d37b16f6d529d5315b210862f3c791fcf7209d53</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11060-024-04683-6$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11060-024-04683-6$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38639854$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Conrad, Katharina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Löber-Handwerker, Ronja</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hazaymeh, Mohammad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rohde, Veit</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Malinova, Vesna</creatorcontrib><title>Personalized prognosis stratification of newly diagnosed glioblastoma applying a statistical decision tree model</title><title>Journal of neuro-oncology</title><addtitle>J Neurooncol</addtitle><addtitle>J Neurooncol</addtitle><description>Purpose Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most frequent glioma in adults with a high treatment resistance resulting into limited survival. The individual prognosis varies depending on individual prognostic factors, that must be considered while counseling patients with newly diagnosed GBM. The aim of this study was to elaborate a risk stratification algorithm based on reliable prognostic factors to facilitate a personalized prognosis estimation early on after diagnosis. Methods A consecutive patient cohort with confirmed GBM treated between 2010 and 2021 was retrospectively analyzed. Clinical, radiological, and molecular parameters were assessed and included in the analysis. Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome parameter. After identifying the strongest prognostic factors, a risk stratification algorithm was elaborated with estimated odds of survival. Results A total of 462 GBM patients were analyzed. The strongest prognostic factors were Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), extent of tumor resection, and adjuvant treatment. Patients with CCI ≤ 1 receiving tumor resection had the highest survival odds (88% for 10 months). On the contrary, patients with CCI &gt; 3 receiving no adjuvant treatment had the lowest survival odds (0% for 10 months). The 10-months survival rate in patients with CCI &gt; 3 receiving adjuvant treatment was 56% for patients younger than 70 years and 22% for patients older than 70 years. 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Löber-Handwerker, Ronja ; Hazaymeh, Mohammad ; Rohde, Veit ; Malinova, Vesna</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c426t-38388d8169f6adad50138a849d37b16f6d529d5315b210862f3c791fcf7209d53</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>Adjuvant therapy</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Aged, 80 and over</topic><topic>Algorithms</topic><topic>Brain Neoplasms - diagnosis</topic><topic>Brain Neoplasms - mortality</topic><topic>Brain Neoplasms - therapy</topic><topic>Comorbidity</topic><topic>Decision Trees</topic><topic>Diagnosis</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Follow-Up Studies</topic><topic>Glioblastoma</topic><topic>Glioblastoma - diagnosis</topic><topic>Glioblastoma - mortality</topic><topic>Glioblastoma - therapy</topic><topic>Glioma</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical prognosis</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Medicine &amp; Public Health</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Neurology</topic><topic>Oncology</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Precision Medicine</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Statistical models</topic><topic>Survival</topic><topic>Survival Rate</topic><topic>Treatment resistance</topic><topic>Tumors</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Conrad, Katharina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Löber-Handwerker, Ronja</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hazaymeh, Mohammad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rohde, Veit</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Malinova, Vesna</creatorcontrib><collection>Springer Nature OA Free Journals</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; 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The individual prognosis varies depending on individual prognostic factors, that must be considered while counseling patients with newly diagnosed GBM. The aim of this study was to elaborate a risk stratification algorithm based on reliable prognostic factors to facilitate a personalized prognosis estimation early on after diagnosis. Methods A consecutive patient cohort with confirmed GBM treated between 2010 and 2021 was retrospectively analyzed. Clinical, radiological, and molecular parameters were assessed and included in the analysis. Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome parameter. After identifying the strongest prognostic factors, a risk stratification algorithm was elaborated with estimated odds of survival. Results A total of 462 GBM patients were analyzed. The strongest prognostic factors were Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), extent of tumor resection, and adjuvant treatment. Patients with CCI ≤ 1 receiving tumor resection had the highest survival odds (88% for 10 months). On the contrary, patients with CCI &gt; 3 receiving no adjuvant treatment had the lowest survival odds (0% for 10 months). The 10-months survival rate in patients with CCI &gt; 3 receiving adjuvant treatment was 56% for patients younger than 70 years and 22% for patients older than 70 years. Conclusion A risk stratification algorithm based on significant prognostic factors allowed a personalized early prognosis estimation at the time of GBM diagnosis, that can contribute to a more personalized patient counseling.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Springer US</pub><pmid>38639854</pmid><doi>10.1007/s11060-024-04683-6</doi><tpages>9</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adjuvant therapy
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Algorithms
Brain Neoplasms - diagnosis
Brain Neoplasms - mortality
Brain Neoplasms - therapy
Comorbidity
Decision Trees
Diagnosis
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Glioblastoma
Glioblastoma - diagnosis
Glioblastoma - mortality
Glioblastoma - therapy
Glioma
Humans
Male
Medical prognosis
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Middle Aged
Neurology
Oncology
Patients
Precision Medicine
Prognosis
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Statistical models
Survival
Survival Rate
Treatment resistance
Tumors
title Personalized prognosis stratification of newly diagnosed glioblastoma applying a statistical decision tree model
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