Spatial–temporal distribution characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China from 2011 to 2021

China is still among the 30 high-burden tuberculosis (TB) countries in the world. Few studies have described the spatial epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary TB (PTB) in Jiangsu Province. The registered incidence data of PTB patients in 95 counties of Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were...

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Veröffentlicht in:Epidemiology and infection 2024-05, Vol.152, p.e84-e84, Article e84
Hauptverfasser: Chen, Ke, Cheng, Liang, Yu, Hao, Zhou, Yong, Zhu, Limei, Li, Zhongqi, Li, Tenglong, Martinez, Leonardo, Liu, Qiao, Wang, Bei
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container_title Epidemiology and infection
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creator Chen, Ke
Cheng, Liang
Yu, Hao
Zhou, Yong
Zhu, Limei
Li, Zhongqi
Li, Tenglong
Martinez, Leonardo
Liu, Qiao
Wang, Bei
description China is still among the 30 high-burden tuberculosis (TB) countries in the world. Few studies have described the spatial epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary TB (PTB) in Jiangsu Province. The registered incidence data of PTB patients in 95 counties of Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were collected from the Tuberculosis Management Information System. Three-dimensional spatial trends, spatial autocorrelation, and spatial–temporal scan analysis were conducted to explore the spatial clustering pattern of PTB. From 2011 to 2021, a total of 347,495 newly diagnosed PTB cases were registered. The registered incidence rate of PTB decreased from 49.78/100,000 in 2011 to 26.49/100,000 in 2021, exhibiting a steady downward trend (χ2 = 414.22, P 0 (P
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Few studies have described the spatial epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary TB (PTB) in Jiangsu Province. The registered incidence data of PTB patients in 95 counties of Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were collected from the Tuberculosis Management Information System. Three-dimensional spatial trends, spatial autocorrelation, and spatial–temporal scan analysis were conducted to explore the spatial clustering pattern of PTB. From 2011 to 2021, a total of 347,495 newly diagnosed PTB cases were registered. The registered incidence rate of PTB decreased from 49.78/100,000 in 2011 to 26.49/100,000 in 2021, exhibiting a steady downward trend (χ2 = 414.22, P &lt; 0.001). The average annual registered incidence rate of PTB was higher in the central and northern regions. Moran’s I indices of the registered incidence of PTB were all &gt;0 (P&lt; 0.05) except in 2016, indicating a positive spatial correlation overall. Local autocorrelation analysis showed that ‘high–high’ clusters were mainly distributed in northern Jiangsu, and ‘low–low’ clusters were mainly concentrated in southern Jiangsu. 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Published by Cambridge University Press</rights><rights>The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited. (the “License”). 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Infect</addtitle><description>China is still among the 30 high-burden tuberculosis (TB) countries in the world. Few studies have described the spatial epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary TB (PTB) in Jiangsu Province. The registered incidence data of PTB patients in 95 counties of Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were collected from the Tuberculosis Management Information System. Three-dimensional spatial trends, spatial autocorrelation, and spatial–temporal scan analysis were conducted to explore the spatial clustering pattern of PTB. From 2011 to 2021, a total of 347,495 newly diagnosed PTB cases were registered. The registered incidence rate of PTB decreased from 49.78/100,000 in 2011 to 26.49/100,000 in 2021, exhibiting a steady downward trend (χ2 = 414.22, P &lt; 0.001). The average annual registered incidence rate of PTB was higher in the central and northern regions. Moran’s I indices of the registered incidence of PTB were all &gt;0 (P&lt; 0.05) except in 2016, indicating a positive spatial correlation overall. Local autocorrelation analysis showed that ‘high–high’ clusters were mainly distributed in northern Jiangsu, and ‘low–low’ clusters were mainly concentrated in southern Jiangsu. 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Infect</addtitle><date>2024-05-15</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>152</volume><spage>e84</spage><epage>e84</epage><pages>e84-e84</pages><artnum>e84</artnum><issn>0950-2688</issn><eissn>1469-4409</eissn><abstract>China is still among the 30 high-burden tuberculosis (TB) countries in the world. Few studies have described the spatial epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary TB (PTB) in Jiangsu Province. The registered incidence data of PTB patients in 95 counties of Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were collected from the Tuberculosis Management Information System. Three-dimensional spatial trends, spatial autocorrelation, and spatial–temporal scan analysis were conducted to explore the spatial clustering pattern of PTB. From 2011 to 2021, a total of 347,495 newly diagnosed PTB cases were registered. The registered incidence rate of PTB decreased from 49.78/100,000 in 2011 to 26.49/100,000 in 2021, exhibiting a steady downward trend (χ2 = 414.22, P &lt; 0.001). The average annual registered incidence rate of PTB was higher in the central and northern regions. Moran’s I indices of the registered incidence of PTB were all &gt;0 (P&lt; 0.05) except in 2016, indicating a positive spatial correlation overall. Local autocorrelation analysis showed that ‘high–high’ clusters were mainly distributed in northern Jiangsu, and ‘low–low’ clusters were mainly concentrated in southern Jiangsu. The results of this study assist in identifying settings and locations of high TB risk and inform policy-making for PTB control and prevention.</abstract><cop>Cambridge, UK</cop><pub>Cambridge University Press</pub><pmid>38745412</pmid><doi>10.1017/S0950268824000785</doi><tpages>8</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5243-1254</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3572-133X</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Autocorrelation
Child
Child, Preschool
China - epidemiology
Clustering
Clusters
Economic development
Epidemics
Epidemiology
Female
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Humans
Incidence
Infant
Infant, Newborn
Infectious diseases
Information management
Information systems
Male
Management information systems
Middle Aged
Original Paper
Software
Spatial analysis
Spatial distribution
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Temporal distribution
Tuberculosis
Tuberculosis, Pulmonary - epidemiology
Young Adult
title Spatial–temporal distribution characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China from 2011 to 2021
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