Predictors of early morbidity and mortality in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: data from five randomized, controlled, phase III trials in 3700 patients

Early morbidity and mortality affect patient outcomes in multiple myeloma. Thus, we dissected the incidence and causes of morbidity/mortality during induction therapy (IT) for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM), and developed/validated a predictive risk score. We evaluated 3700 transplant-eligi...

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Veröffentlicht in:Leukemia 2024-03, Vol.38 (3), p.640-647
Hauptverfasser: Mai, Elias K., Hielscher, Thomas, Bertsch, Uta, Salwender, Hans J., Zweegman, Sonja, Raab, Marc S., Munder, Markus, Pantani, Lucia, Mancuso, Katia, Brossart, Peter, Beksac, Meral, Blau, Igor W., Dürig, Jan, Besemer, Britta, Fenk, Roland, Reimer, Peter, van der Holt, Bronno, Hänel, Mathias, von Metzler, Ivana, Graeven, Ullrich, Müller-Tidow, Carsten, Boccadoro, Mario, Scheid, Christof, Dimopoulos, Meletios A., Hillengass, Jens, Weisel, Katja C., Cavo, Michele, Sonneveld, Pieter, Goldschmidt, Hartmut
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container_end_page 647
container_issue 3
container_start_page 640
container_title Leukemia
container_volume 38
creator Mai, Elias K.
Hielscher, Thomas
Bertsch, Uta
Salwender, Hans J.
Zweegman, Sonja
Raab, Marc S.
Munder, Markus
Pantani, Lucia
Mancuso, Katia
Brossart, Peter
Beksac, Meral
Blau, Igor W.
Dürig, Jan
Besemer, Britta
Fenk, Roland
Reimer, Peter
van der Holt, Bronno
Hänel, Mathias
von Metzler, Ivana
Graeven, Ullrich
Müller-Tidow, Carsten
Boccadoro, Mario
Scheid, Christof
Dimopoulos, Meletios A.
Hillengass, Jens
Weisel, Katja C.
Cavo, Michele
Sonneveld, Pieter
Goldschmidt, Hartmut
description Early morbidity and mortality affect patient outcomes in multiple myeloma. Thus, we dissected the incidence and causes of morbidity/mortality during induction therapy (IT) for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM), and developed/validated a predictive risk score. We evaluated 3700 transplant-eligible NDMM patients treated in 2005–2020 with novel agent-based triplet/quadruplet IT. Primary endpoints were severe infections, death, or a combination of both. Patients were divided in a training ( n  = 1333) and three validation cohorts ( n  = 2367). During IT, 11.8%, 1.8%, and 12.5% of patients in the training cohort experienced severe infections, death, or both, respectively. Four major, baseline risk factors for severe infection/death were identified: low platelet count (1), and age (>60 years). A risk score (1 risk factor=1 point) stratified patients in low (39.5%; 0 points), intermediate (41.9%; 1 point), and high (18.6%; ≥2 points) risk. The risk for severe infection/death increased from 7.7% vs. 11.5% vs. 23.3% in the low- vs. intermediate- vs. high-risk groups ( p  
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41375-023-02105-6
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Thus, we dissected the incidence and causes of morbidity/mortality during induction therapy (IT) for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM), and developed/validated a predictive risk score. We evaluated 3700 transplant-eligible NDMM patients treated in 2005–2020 with novel agent-based triplet/quadruplet IT. Primary endpoints were severe infections, death, or a combination of both. Patients were divided in a training ( n  = 1333) and three validation cohorts ( n  = 2367). During IT, 11.8%, 1.8%, and 12.5% of patients in the training cohort experienced severe infections, death, or both, respectively. Four major, baseline risk factors for severe infection/death were identified: low platelet count (&lt;150/nL), ISS III, higher WHO performance status (&gt;1), and age (&gt;60 years). A risk score (1 risk factor=1 point) stratified patients in low (39.5%; 0 points), intermediate (41.9%; 1 point), and high (18.6%; ≥2 points) risk. The risk for severe infection/death increased from 7.7% vs. 11.5% vs. 23.3% in the low- vs. intermediate- vs. high-risk groups ( p  &lt; 0.001). The risk score was independently validated in three trials incorporating quadruplet IT with an anti-CD38 antibody. Our analyses established a robust and easy-to-use score to identify NDMM patients at risk of severe infection/death, covering the latest quadruplet induction therapies. Trial registrations: HOVON-65/GMMG-HD4: EudraCT No. 2004-000944-26. GMMG-MM5: EudraCT No. 2010-019173-16. GMMG-HD6: NCT02495922. EMN02/HOVON-95: NCT01208766. 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Thus, we dissected the incidence and causes of morbidity/mortality during induction therapy (IT) for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM), and developed/validated a predictive risk score. We evaluated 3700 transplant-eligible NDMM patients treated in 2005–2020 with novel agent-based triplet/quadruplet IT. Primary endpoints were severe infections, death, or a combination of both. Patients were divided in a training ( n  = 1333) and three validation cohorts ( n  = 2367). During IT, 11.8%, 1.8%, and 12.5% of patients in the training cohort experienced severe infections, death, or both, respectively. Four major, baseline risk factors for severe infection/death were identified: low platelet count (&lt;150/nL), ISS III, higher WHO performance status (&gt;1), and age (&gt;60 years). A risk score (1 risk factor=1 point) stratified patients in low (39.5%; 0 points), intermediate (41.9%; 1 point), and high (18.6%; ≥2 points) risk. The risk for severe infection/death increased from 7.7% vs. 11.5% vs. 23.3% in the low- vs. intermediate- vs. high-risk groups ( p  &lt; 0.001). The risk score was independently validated in three trials incorporating quadruplet IT with an anti-CD38 antibody. Our analyses established a robust and easy-to-use score to identify NDMM patients at risk of severe infection/death, covering the latest quadruplet induction therapies. Trial registrations: HOVON-65/GMMG-HD4: EudraCT No. 2004-000944-26. GMMG-MM5: EudraCT No. 2010-019173-16. GMMG-HD6: NCT02495922. EMN02/HOVON-95: NCT01208766. GMMG-HD7: NCT03617731.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>38062124</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41375-023-02105-6</doi><tpages>8</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1169-0129</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7166-5232</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4181-6922</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0961-0035</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6082-7710</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9422-6614</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6414-2671</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1797-8657</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8130-5209</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0808-2237</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8990-3254</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7803-0814</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4514-3227</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6226-1252</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 0887-6924
ispartof Leukemia, 2024-03, Vol.38 (3), p.640-647
issn 0887-6924
1476-5551
1476-5551
language eng
recordid cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_10912032
source Springer Nature - Complete Springer Journals
subjects 692/499
692/699/67/1990/804
Antibodies
Cancer Research
CD38 antigen
Clinical trials
Critical Care Medicine
Death
Hematology
Induction therapy
Infections
Intensive
Internal Medicine
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Morbidity
Mortality
Multiple myeloma
Oncology
Risk factors
Risk groups
Training
title Predictors of early morbidity and mortality in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: data from five randomized, controlled, phase III trials in 3700 patients
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