A Clinical-Genetic Risk Score for Predicting Cancer-Associated Venous Thromboembolism: A Development and Validation Study Involving Two Independent Prospective Cohorts

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of death among patients with cancer. The Khorana score was developed for assessing the risk of VTE in outpatients with cancer receiving chemotherapy, but its accuracy in identifying patients at high risk has been questioned. The aim of this study was t...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of clinical oncology 2023-06, Vol.41 (16), p.2911-2925
Hauptverfasser: Muñoz, Andrés, Ay, Cihan, Grilz, Ella, López, Sonia, Font, Carme, Pachón, Vanesa, Castellón, Victoria, Martínez-Marín, Virginia, Salgado, Mercedes, Martínez, Eva, Calzas, Julia, Ortega, Laura, Rupérez, Ana, Salas, Eduardo, Pabinger, Ingrid, Soria, Jose Manuel
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container_end_page 2925
container_issue 16
container_start_page 2911
container_title Journal of clinical oncology
container_volume 41
creator Muñoz, Andrés
Ay, Cihan
Grilz, Ella
López, Sonia
Font, Carme
Pachón, Vanesa
Castellón, Victoria
Martínez-Marín, Virginia
Salgado, Mercedes
Martínez, Eva
Calzas, Julia
Ortega, Laura
Rupérez, Ana
Salas, Eduardo
Pabinger, Ingrid
Soria, Jose Manuel
description Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of death among patients with cancer. The Khorana score was developed for assessing the risk of VTE in outpatients with cancer receiving chemotherapy, but its accuracy in identifying patients at high risk has been questioned. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical-genetic score that improves the assessment of VTE risk in oncology outpatients within 6 months of diagnosis. The new score was developed using the data of 364 outpatients belonging to the Spanish ONCOTHROMB 12-01 population. In this cohort, clinical data associated with the risk of VTE were collected at the time of diagnosis, including the Khorana score. These patients were also genotyped for the 51 genetic variants known to be associated with VTE. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the weight of each genetic and clinical variable in relation to VTE risk, allowing a clinical-genetic risk score (the ONCOTHROMB score) to be developed. The Khorana and the ONCOTHROMB scores were then compared via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration, and the number of patients needed to treat. The new score was then validated in a study of 263 patients in the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study population. Nine genetic variants, tumor site, TNM stage, and a body mass index of > 25 kg/m were found to be associated with VTE and were used to build the ONCOTHROMB score, which better predicted the overall risk of VTE than did the Khorana score (AUC, 0.781 0.580; < .001). Similar AUC results were recorded in the validation study the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study cohort involving patients with the same type of tumor (AUC for the ONCOTHROMB score the Khorana score: 0.686 0.577; < .001) and with all type of tumors (AUC for the ONCOTHROMB score the Khorana score: 0.720 0.561; < .0001). The ONCOTHROMB score for VTE risk in outpatients with cancer, which takes into account both clinical and genetic variables, better identifies patients who might benefit from primary thromboprophylaxis than does the Khorana score.
doi_str_mv 10.1200/JCO.22.00255
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The Khorana score was developed for assessing the risk of VTE in outpatients with cancer receiving chemotherapy, but its accuracy in identifying patients at high risk has been questioned. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical-genetic score that improves the assessment of VTE risk in oncology outpatients within 6 months of diagnosis. The new score was developed using the data of 364 outpatients belonging to the Spanish ONCOTHROMB 12-01 population. In this cohort, clinical data associated with the risk of VTE were collected at the time of diagnosis, including the Khorana score. These patients were also genotyped for the 51 genetic variants known to be associated with VTE. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the weight of each genetic and clinical variable in relation to VTE risk, allowing a clinical-genetic risk score (the ONCOTHROMB score) to be developed. The Khorana and the ONCOTHROMB scores were then compared via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration, and the number of patients needed to treat. The new score was then validated in a study of 263 patients in the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study population. Nine genetic variants, tumor site, TNM stage, and a body mass index of &gt; 25 kg/m were found to be associated with VTE and were used to build the ONCOTHROMB score, which better predicted the overall risk of VTE than did the Khorana score (AUC, 0.781 0.580; &lt; .001). Similar AUC results were recorded in the validation study the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study cohort involving patients with the same type of tumor (AUC for the ONCOTHROMB score the Khorana score: 0.686 0.577; &lt; .001) and with all type of tumors (AUC for the ONCOTHROMB score the Khorana score: 0.720 0.561; &lt; .0001). 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subjects Anticoagulants - therapeutic use
Humans
Neoplasms - complications
Neoplasms - drug therapy
Neoplasms - genetics
ORIGINAL REPORTS
Prospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Thrombosis
Venous Thromboembolism - genetics
title A Clinical-Genetic Risk Score for Predicting Cancer-Associated Venous Thromboembolism: A Development and Validation Study Involving Two Independent Prospective Cohorts
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