Factors Associated with Attrition in a Longitudinal Cohort of Older Adults in the Community

Retaining participants in longitudinal studies increases their power. We undertook this study in a population-based longitudinal cohort of adults with COPD to determine the factors associated with increased cohort attrition. In the longitudinal population-based Canadian Cohort of Obstructive Lung Disease (CanCOLD) study, 1561 adults > 40 years old were randomly recruited from 9 urban sites. Participants completed in-person visits at 18-month intervals and also were followed up every 3 months over the phone or by email. The cohort retention for the study and the reasons for attrition were analyzed. Hazard ratios and robust standard errors were calculated using Cox regression methods to explore the associations between participants who remained in the study and those who did not. The median follow-up (years) of the study is 9.0 years. The overall mean retention was 77%. Reasons for attrition (23%) were: dropout by participant (39%), loss of contact (27%), investigator-initiated withdrawal (15%), deaths (9%), serious disease (9%), and relocation (2%). Factors independently associated with attrition were lower educational attainment, higher pack-year tobacco consumption, diagnosed cardiovascular disease, and a higher Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale score: adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) were 1.43(1.11, 1.85); 1.01(1.00, 1.01); 1.44(1.13, 1.83); 1.06(1.02, 1.10) respectively. Identification and awareness of risk factors for attrition could direct targeted retention strategies in longitudinal studies. Moreover, the identification of patient characteristics associated with study dropout could address any potential bias introduced by differential dropouts.