Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model
Climate change induces a myriad of effects which influences the global tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency. Here we explore how North Atlantic and Western Pacific TCs are affected under climate change using a present-day and a future (1% pCO2 scenario) ensemble of high resolution simulations. We...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Climate dynamics 2023-09, Vol.61 (5-6), p.2269-2284 |
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| creator | van Westen, René M. Dijkstra, Henk A. Bloemendaal, Nadia |
| description | Climate change induces a myriad of effects which influences the global tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency. Here we explore how North Atlantic and Western Pacific TCs are affected under climate change using a present-day and a future (1% pCO2 scenario) ensemble of high resolution simulations. We find that the number of TCs decreases (
-
45
%
) in the North Atlantic but increases (
+
15
%
) in the Western Pacific. Part of these opposing variations are linked to differences in the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, which gives rise to a different sea surface temperature response and air-sea fluxes between the two basins. The results show the important role of oceanic climate change on TC response. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3 |
| format | Article |
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-
45
%
) in the North Atlantic but increases (
+
15
%
) in the Western Pacific. Part of these opposing variations are linked to differences in the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, which gives rise to a different sea surface temperature response and air-sea fluxes between the two basins. The results show the important role of oceanic climate change on TC response.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0930-7575</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1432-0894</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3</identifier><identifier>PMID: 37521825</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Air temperature ; Air-sea flux ; Atmosphere ; Climate change ; Climate models ; Climatic changes ; Climatology ; Cyclones ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Earth Sciences ; Environmental aspects ; Geophysics/Geodesy ; Hurricanes ; Influence ; Meridional overturning circulation ; Meteorology, Maritime ; Ocean basins ; Ocean circulation ; Ocean temperature ; Oceanography ; Sea surface ; Sea surface temperature ; Simulation ; Surface temperature ; Temperature ; Tropical cyclones ; Wind shear</subject><ispartof>Climate dynamics, 2023-09, Vol.61 (5-6), p.2269-2284</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2023</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2023.</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2023 Springer</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2023. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c579t-43594ba2568702ce2bd2ac7fb01fa1c4e34a2fc84ef089c05601ddf91ef15dfc3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c579t-43594ba2568702ce2bd2ac7fb01fa1c4e34a2fc84ef089c05601ddf91ef15dfc3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37521825$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>van Westen, René M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dijkstra, Henk A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bloemendaal, Nadia</creatorcontrib><title>Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model</title><title>Climate dynamics</title><addtitle>Clim Dyn</addtitle><addtitle>Clim Dyn</addtitle><description>Climate change induces a myriad of effects which influences the global tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency. Here we explore how North Atlantic and Western Pacific TCs are affected under climate change using a present-day and a future (1% pCO2 scenario) ensemble of high resolution simulations. We find that the number of TCs decreases (
-
45
%
) in the North Atlantic but increases (
+
15
%
) in the Western Pacific. Part of these opposing variations are linked to differences in the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, which gives rise to a different sea surface temperature response and air-sea fluxes between the two basins. 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-
45
%
) in the North Atlantic but increases (
+
15
%
) in the Western Pacific. Part of these opposing variations are linked to differences in the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, which gives rise to a different sea surface temperature response and air-sea fluxes between the two basins. The results show the important role of oceanic climate change on TC response.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>37521825</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00382-023-06680-3</doi><tpages>16</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Climate dynamics, 2023-09, Vol.61 (5-6), p.2269-2284 |
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| language | eng |
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| source | SpringerNature Journals |
| subjects | Air temperature Air-sea flux Atmosphere Climate change Climate models Climatic changes Climatology Cyclones Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Environmental aspects Geophysics/Geodesy Hurricanes Influence Meridional overturning circulation Meteorology, Maritime Ocean basins Ocean circulation Ocean temperature Oceanography Sea surface Sea surface temperature Simulation Surface temperature Temperature Tropical cyclones Wind shear |
| title | Mechanisms of tropical cyclone response under climate change in the community earth system model |
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