Predicting time to treatment in follicular lymphoma on watchful waiting using baseline metabolic tumour burden

Purpose Asymptomatic patients with follicular lymphoma (FL) and a low tumour burden can be followed without initial therapy, a strategy called watchful waiting (WW). Prediction of the time to treatment (TTT) is still a challenge. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline total metabolic tumou...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology 2023-07, Vol.149 (7), p.2783-2791
Hauptverfasser: Leccisotti, Lucia, Maccora, Daria, Malafronte, Rosalia, D’Alò, Francesco, Maiolo, Elena, Annunziata, Salvatore, Rufini, Vittoria, Giordano, Alessandro, Hohaus, Stefan
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container_title Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology
container_volume 149
creator Leccisotti, Lucia
Maccora, Daria
Malafronte, Rosalia
D’Alò, Francesco
Maiolo, Elena
Annunziata, Salvatore
Rufini, Vittoria
Giordano, Alessandro
Hohaus, Stefan
description Purpose Asymptomatic patients with follicular lymphoma (FL) and a low tumour burden can be followed without initial therapy, a strategy called watchful waiting (WW). Prediction of the time to treatment (TTT) is still a challenge. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline total metabolic tumour volume (TMTV) and whole-body total lesion glycolysis (WB-TLG) to predict TTT in patients with FL on WW. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of 54 patients with FL (grade 1–3a) diagnosed between June 2013 and December 2019, staged with FDG PET/CT, and managed on WW. Median age was 62 years (range 34–85), stage was advanced (III–IV) in 57%, and FLIPI score was intermediate to high (≥ 2) in 52% of the patients. Results The median TMTV and WB-TLG were 7.1 and 43.3, respectively. With a median follow-up of 59 months, 41% of patients started immuno-chemotherapy. The optimal cut-points to identify patients with TTT within 24 months were 14 for TMTV (AUC 0.70; 95% CI 51–88) and 64 for WB-TLG (AUC 0.71; 95% CI 52–89) ( p  
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Prediction of the time to treatment (TTT) is still a challenge. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline total metabolic tumour volume (TMTV) and whole-body total lesion glycolysis (WB-TLG) to predict TTT in patients with FL on WW. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of 54 patients with FL (grade 1–3a) diagnosed between June 2013 and December 2019, staged with FDG PET/CT, and managed on WW. Median age was 62 years (range 34–85), stage was advanced (III–IV) in 57%, and FLIPI score was intermediate to high (≥ 2) in 52% of the patients. Results The median TMTV and WB-TLG were 7.1 and 43.3, respectively. With a median follow-up of 59 months, 41% of patients started immuno-chemotherapy. The optimal cut-points to identify patients with TTT within 24 months were 14 for TMTV (AUC 0.70; 95% CI 51–88) and 64 for WB-TLG (AUC 0.71; 95% CI 52–89) ( p  &lt; 0.005). The probability of not having started treatment within 24 months was 87% for TMTV &lt; 14 and 53% for TMTV ≥ 14 ( p  &lt; 0.005). TMTV was independent of the FLIPI score for TTT prediction. Patients with both FLIPI ≥ 2 and TMTV ≥ 14 had only an 18% probability of not having started treatment at 36 months, while this probability was 75% in patients with TMTV &lt; 14. Conclusion Metabolic tumour volume parameters may add information to clinical scores to better predict TTT and better stratify patients for interventional studies.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0171-5216</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1432-1335</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00432-022-04138-3</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35779106</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Cancer Research ; Chemotherapy ; Glycolysis ; Hematology ; Internal Medicine ; Lymphoma ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Metabolism ; Oncology ; Patients ; Positron emission tomography ; prediction ; probability ; retrospective studies ; therapeutics ; Tumors</subject><ispartof>Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology, 2023-07, Vol.149 (7), p.2783-2791</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2022</rights><rights>2022. The Author(s).</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2022. 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Prediction of the time to treatment (TTT) is still a challenge. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline total metabolic tumour volume (TMTV) and whole-body total lesion glycolysis (WB-TLG) to predict TTT in patients with FL on WW. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of 54 patients with FL (grade 1–3a) diagnosed between June 2013 and December 2019, staged with FDG PET/CT, and managed on WW. Median age was 62 years (range 34–85), stage was advanced (III–IV) in 57%, and FLIPI score was intermediate to high (≥ 2) in 52% of the patients. Results The median TMTV and WB-TLG were 7.1 and 43.3, respectively. With a median follow-up of 59 months, 41% of patients started immuno-chemotherapy. The optimal cut-points to identify patients with TTT within 24 months were 14 for TMTV (AUC 0.70; 95% CI 51–88) and 64 for WB-TLG (AUC 0.71; 95% CI 52–89) ( p  &lt; 0.005). The probability of not having started treatment within 24 months was 87% for TMTV &lt; 14 and 53% for TMTV ≥ 14 ( p  &lt; 0.005). TMTV was independent of the FLIPI score for TTT prediction. Patients with both FLIPI ≥ 2 and TMTV ≥ 14 had only an 18% probability of not having started treatment at 36 months, while this probability was 75% in patients with TMTV &lt; 14. 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Prediction of the time to treatment (TTT) is still a challenge. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline total metabolic tumour volume (TMTV) and whole-body total lesion glycolysis (WB-TLG) to predict TTT in patients with FL on WW. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of 54 patients with FL (grade 1–3a) diagnosed between June 2013 and December 2019, staged with FDG PET/CT, and managed on WW. Median age was 62 years (range 34–85), stage was advanced (III–IV) in 57%, and FLIPI score was intermediate to high (≥ 2) in 52% of the patients. Results The median TMTV and WB-TLG were 7.1 and 43.3, respectively. With a median follow-up of 59 months, 41% of patients started immuno-chemotherapy. The optimal cut-points to identify patients with TTT within 24 months were 14 for TMTV (AUC 0.70; 95% CI 51–88) and 64 for WB-TLG (AUC 0.71; 95% CI 52–89) ( p  &lt; 0.005). The probability of not having started treatment within 24 months was 87% for TMTV &lt; 14 and 53% for TMTV ≥ 14 ( p  &lt; 0.005). TMTV was independent of the FLIPI score for TTT prediction. Patients with both FLIPI ≥ 2 and TMTV ≥ 14 had only an 18% probability of not having started treatment at 36 months, while this probability was 75% in patients with TMTV &lt; 14. Conclusion Metabolic tumour volume parameters may add information to clinical scores to better predict TTT and better stratify patients for interventional studies.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>35779106</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00432-022-04138-3</doi><tpages>9</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6000-2898</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Cancer Research
Chemotherapy
Glycolysis
Hematology
Internal Medicine
Lymphoma
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Metabolism
Oncology
Patients
Positron emission tomography
prediction
probability
retrospective studies
therapeutics
Tumors
title Predicting time to treatment in follicular lymphoma on watchful waiting using baseline metabolic tumour burden
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